Has anyone ever looked into this

[thebestthereis]

A few times this year I bet sides in the same games. I would take the run-line favorite AND the ML dog in the same game. Now I know roughly 18% of games are decided by one run, but my filter is only to play games that offer at least +125 or more on BOTH sides. I have done OK but only did it a few days.

You do not bet big favorites because the run-line offer no value, same goes for games where the ML dog is say +110. You look for teams/games in the -140 thru -160 range for the favorite in general. This way each game you win at least +125 or more UNLESS the favorite wins by 1 run then you lose both sides. Not sure if anyone ever look at these outcomes in the past.

[pimike]

Is this Iwinyourmoney?

[smitch124]

A few times this year I bet sides in the same games. I would take the run-line favorite AND the ML dog in the same game. Now I know roughly 18% of games are decided by one run, but my filter is only to play games that offer at least +125 or more on BOTH sides. I have done OK but only did it a few days.

You do not bet big favorites because the run-line offer no value, same goes for games where the ML dog is say +110. You look for teams/games in the -140 thru -160 range for the favorite in general. This way each game you win at least +125 or more UNLESS the favorite wins by 1 run then you lose both sides. Not sure if anyone ever look at these outcomes in the past.

I have seen it tried quite a few times. Usually the one testing the theory starts with a nice run of small wins, then when the favorite wins 3 out of 4 games by one run effectively wiping out the profit and then some, they usually drop it. Basically, there is no edge in these types of bets.

[thebestthereis]

ya it looks good but i know it won't work. just screwed around with it a little, made very little. long term you cannot win

[netinfo]

What are the odds that a favorite wins by one run in two (or three) consecutive games?

If the odds are slim, then one possible strategy would be to wait for the favorite to win by one run in the first game (or first two games), and then bet the next game.

netinfo