Im not a fan of the over on this, how are these plays determined?
Originally posted by doubledime
good morning,
the regular play for sunday:
mia/pit over 8.5 -120
the reliever plays:
mia/pit over 8.5
kc/sd over 8.5
no vmi play
good luck
Comment
andyh64000
SBR Rookie
05-03-17
10
#667
Originally posted by CamNewtonOutfit
Im not a fan of the over on this, how are these plays determined?
What don't you like about it? In addition to his reliever angle...two middle of the road starters, an over umpire, warm weather, medium humidity, and a fairly strong wind blowing out to left.
Comment
Robin Shot
SBR Rookie
03-25-17
34
#668
Originally posted by CamNewtonOutfit
Im not a fan of the over on this, how are these plays determined?
Comment
juicername
SBR Hall of Famer
10-14-15
6906
#669
Originally posted by Robin Shot
It's the same guy who doesn't know how averages work.
Comment
Mackballs
SBR Hall of Famer
12-01-16
5810
#670
Originally posted by CamNewtonOutfit
Im not a fan of the over on this, how are these plays determined?
You are a fan of Cam Newton, though.
Comment
thekoreanmang
SBR MVP
03-17-14
1422
#671
Originally posted by CamNewtonOutfit
Im not a fan of the over on this, how are these plays determined?
Don't like it? Don't bet it. Simple. There is more than enough info on prior posts in this thread. Be a big boy and read them.
Don't be entitled just because your parents raised you that way.
Comment
CamNewtonOutfit
SBR Wise Guy
09-26-16
525
#672
Nova is an uber talented starter he throws a lot of heat and has a high strike out rate i mean yes the bullpen could blow it. i would honestly not bet against Florida either because theyve been on a hot streak i wouldnt touch this game with a 10 meter cattle prod.
Comment
Robin Shot
SBR Rookie
03-25-17
34
#673
We don't care. Go away.
Originally posted by CamNewtonOutfit
Nova is an uber talented starter he throws a lot of heat and has a high strike out rate i mean yes the bullpen could blow it. i would honestly not bet against Florida either because theyve been on a hot streak i wouldnt touch this game with a 10 meter cattle prod.
Comment
Click_Clack
SBR High Roller
09-05-12
219
#674
Lol cam hittin' you guys with the his dab
Comment
doubledime
SBR Hall of Famer
04-22-09
9751
#675
Originally posted by CamNewtonOutfit
Im not a fan of the over on this, how are these plays determined?
If your speaking of the Regular Play here you go:
The Relief staff has pitched 74 and 81 pitches yesterday and 211 and 232 over the last 3 days
The closers are below average
The Bullpen ERA is 5.47 and 3.73
The starters only average 92 and 86 pitches per game
The wind is blowing out to left at 12MPH
There is an over umpire
Home/Away record is 65-49 combined to the over
The VMI is +2.69 and +2.78 for the two teams
I capped the game at 9.3 runs
Of course it could loose, but I will play this every time with all these factors leaning to the over.
Good luck whatever you decide.
Comment
CamNewtonOutfit
SBR Wise Guy
09-26-16
525
#676
throwin some heat over in PA!
Comment
DU46
SBR Sharp
10-09-09
368
#677
Don't be a fk stick. DD is nothing but class. Either add something of value to the thread or take your keyboard warrior bull sh1t and gtfo.
Comment
Cubs4ever
SBR Hustler
06-04-17
55
#678
This shit always has to happen.
Comment
J.M. Disciple
SBR Hall of Famer
11-16-10
5154
#679
Dang accidently bet under.... Went and checked my balance and thought there was a glitch being SD scored 11 runs.... Misbet for the loss 😞
Onto next week! Keep up the great work in this thread. Following since the beginning.
Comment
doubledime
SBR Hall of Famer
04-22-09
9751
#680
Good morning,
Reliever Plays:
Yesterday: 1-1
YTD: 72-59
Regular Plays:
Yesterday 0-1
YTD: 1-10
VMI:
Yesterday: 0
YTD: 5-5 +.45 units
Comment
doubledime
SBR Hall of Famer
04-22-09
9751
#681
Some comments about yesterday:
Yesterday was a classic example why we call this gambling. IMHO you really could not ask for more reasons to play the over in the Pit/FL game. As I stated earlier I would play a game like that every time, but yesterday was not meant to be. Also It speaks volumes about over analyzing.
I also would like to say thanks for all the posters commenting on Cam's posts. I have been doing this longer than most here and I have learned over the years to be able to pick out, for the most part, the "rookies" vs the "veterans" I'll let everyone decide on their own which one Cam falls under.
DD
Comment
Catchn_Picks
SBR MVP
09-02-11
2984
#682
Originally posted by doubledime
Some comments about yesterday:
Yesterday was a classic example why we call this gambling. IMHO you really could not ask for more reasons to play the over in the Pit/FL game. As I stated earlier I would play a game like that every time, but yesterday was not meant to be. Also It speaks volumes about over analyzing.
I also would like to say thanks for all the posters commenting on Cam's posts. I have been doing this longer than most here and I have learned over the years to be able to pick out, for the most part, the "rookies" vs the "veterans" I'll let everyone decide on their own which one Cam falls under.
DD
When you combine solid handicapping with some online class...you have someone worthy of tailing. Your Reliever plays have been solid all year so far and I ain't going anywhere. And the crowd agrees! BOL and GLTA.
Comment
NLChad11
SBR Wise Guy
03-18-17
709
#683
Cam is the typical poster that immediately turns into a crybaby once someone he follows has a couple losses. Probably terrible money management and he blew his bankroll on 3 bets. DD you are a great guy in here, along with Laker Crazy and Reesp I follow you 3 as much as possible. And you all are much appreciated by the good guys in this forum. Thanks for posting and GL to all after a tough week.
Comment
doubledime
SBR Hall of Famer
04-22-09
9751
#684
Originally posted by Catchn_Picks
When you combine solid handicapping with some online class...you have someone worthy of tailing. Your Reliever plays have been solid all year so far and I ain't going anywhere. And the crowd agrees! BOL and GLTA.
Comment
doubledime
SBR Hall of Famer
04-22-09
9751
#685
Originally posted by NLChad11
Cam is the typical poster that immediately turns into a crybaby once someone he follows has a couple losses. Probably terrible money management and he blew his bankroll on 3 bets. DD you are a great guy in here, along with Laker Crazy and Reesp I follow you 3 as much as possible. And you all are much appreciated by the good guys in this forum. Thanks for posting and GL to all after a tough week.
Comment
doubledime
SBR Hall of Famer
04-22-09
9751
#686
Good morning,
The Reliever Plays for Monday:
Reds/SD over 8 -120 (bought the 1/2)
Balt/WS over 10.5
No VMI
Good luck
Comment
thekoreanmang
SBR MVP
03-17-14
1422
#687
Originally posted by doubledime
Good morning,
The Reliever Plays for Monday:
Reds/SD over 8 -120 (bought the 1/2)
Balt/WS over 10.5
No VMI
Good luck
Good luck, baby! BetOnline has O10 (-118) for BAL/CWS.
Comment
doubledime
SBR Hall of Famer
04-22-09
9751
#688
Originally posted by thekoreanmang
Good luck, baby! BetOnline has O10 (-118) for BAL/CWS.
Thanks Kman Most of books now have it at 10 -115
Comment
doubledime
SBR Hall of Famer
04-22-09
9751
#689
Good morning,
Reliever Plays:
Yesterday: 2-0
YTD: 74-59
Regular Plays:
Yesterday 0
YTD: 1-10
VMI:
Yesterday: 0
YTD: 5-5 +.45 units
Comment
doubledime
SBR Hall of Famer
04-22-09
9751
#690
Good morning,
The Reliever Plays for Tuesday:
Atl/Wash over 9.5
Balt/WS over 10 / 10.5 (spitting 10 -130 and 10.5 -105 net -117.5 juice)
VMI:
Oak
Good luck
Comment
DU46
SBR Sharp
10-09-09
368
#691
Thanks DD
Comment
CamNewtonOutfit
SBR Wise Guy
09-26-16
525
#692
AGREE AGREE
Balt/WS over 10 / 10.5 (spitting 10 -130 and 10.5 -105 net -117.5 juice)
Comment
doubledime
SBR Hall of Famer
04-22-09
9751
#693
Originally posted by CamNewtonOutfit
AGREE AGREE
Balt/WS over 10 / 10.5 (spitting 10 -130 and 10.5 -105 net -117.5 juice)
Comment
doubledime
SBR Hall of Famer
04-22-09
9751
#694
Good morning,
Reliever Plays:
Yesterday: 1-1
YTD: 75-60
Regular Plays:
Yesterday 0
YTD: 1-10
VMI:
Yesterday: 0-1
YTD: 5-6 -.55 units
Comment
doubledime
SBR Hall of Famer
04-22-09
9751
#695
Points Awarded:
thekoreanmang gave doubledime 2 Betpoint(s) for this post.
Thanks Kman
Comment
doubledime
SBR Hall of Famer
04-22-09
9751
#696
Good afternoon,
The Reliever Plays:
Atl/Wash over 9.5
Mil/SL over 9
NYY/LAA over 7.5 -117 (bought the hook)
No VMI Plays
Good luck
Comment
Midoohadi
SBR Wise Guy
02-25-17
514
#697
pitching change in the brewers game, does it matter man? BOL
Comment
doubledime
SBR Hall of Famer
04-22-09
9751
#698
Originally posted by Midoohadi
pitching change in the brewers game, does it matter man? BOL
Just saw your post. No, it does not matter since these plays are based solely on the relief staffs, their work and rest the last 1 - 3 days and the bullpen ERA. The only difference the starter makes is the starters average number of pitches they through per game, but that's not as important as the other metrics.
DD
Comment
JayLA
SBR Hall of Famer
09-11-12
7806
#699
But that game is likely voided due to the pitching change if we didn't/couldn't change to action...right? Sucks
Comment
NLChad11
SBR Wise Guy
03-18-17
709
#700
Fortunately there was no pitching change Garza and Leake both started. And the over hit already so we're good.