**** MLB Totals ** 478-343 + 83 units Last Year ****

[doubledime]

U can bet pre game 2nd halves before the game starts...twins game was 3.5 -120 today

Where can you do that?

[HighVoltage]

Where can you do that?

Heritage

[kkwins84]

Where can you do that?

Bookmaker

[doubledime]

Heritage

Bookmaker

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Thanks Sometimes I am so focussed on the issues at hand, I never noticed that they had that.

I may start tracking this.

[DU46]

This could be very interesting to track...what is considered the second half for baseball betting, assuming bottom 5 - end of game?

[Mackballs]

This could be very interesting to track...what is considered the second half for baseball betting, assuming bottom 5 - end of game?

Top 6 to end of game

[DU46]

Top 6 to end of game

Thanks

[doubledime]

This could be very interesting to track...what is considered the second half for baseball betting, assuming bottom 5 - end of game?

Yes it could.

[DU46]

The St. Louis and Washington games are both O/U 3.5 for the 2H of the game...White Sox was O/U 4...FYI for tracking.

[kkwins84]

Yes it could.

So far Baltimore 2nd half went over, Minnesota stayed under

[bozeman]

So far Baltimore 2nd half went over, Minnesota stayed under

just backtrack the above posted plays through SBRodds for the odds and espn.go.com/mlb/scoreboard for by inning results and get a good stats - picking it game by game like that wont give u an accurate picture

[doubledime]

Good morning,

Reliever Plays:

Yesterday: 2-2
YTD: 80-62

Regular Plays:

Yesterday 0
YTD: 1-10

VMI:

Yesterday: 0
YTD: 5-6 -.55 units

[doubledime]

Good morning,

The Reliever Play for Friday:

NYY/Oak over 8

VMI:

SD

Good luck

[DU46]

Just a quick update halfway thru June on the reliever plays:

April: 27-23, 54.0%
May: 36-26, 58.1%
June MTD: 17-13, 56.7%
Total: 80-62, 56.3%

For a point of reference, last June was 98-71, 58.0%. Tracking slightly behind last June from a winning %, but not too far off with the second half of the month coming up. Thanks for all of your efforts DD.

[Kenny King]

To be fair to the 1st post I want to add the Regular Plays into the total since they are official. The overall record is 81-71, which is still far better than I could do on my own so don't take this as being negative.

[doubledime]

Just a quick update halfway thru June on the reliever plays:

April: 27-23, 54.0%
May: 36-26, 58.1%
June MTD: 17-13, 56.7%
Total: 80-62, 56.3%

For a point of reference, last June was 98-71, 58.0%. Tracking slightly behind last June from a winning %, but not too far off with the second half of the month coming up. Thanks for all of your efforts DD.

Thanks DU

[doubledime]

To be fair to the 1st post I want to add the Regular Plays into the total since they are official. The overall record is 81-71, which is still far better than I could do on my own so don't take this as being negative.

Not taken as being negative at all. It is what it is.

[doubledime]

Good morning,

Reliever Plays:

Yesterday: 1-0
YTD: 81-62

Regular Plays:

Yesterday 0
YTD: 1-10

VMI:

Yesterday: 0
YTD: 5-6 -.55 units

[doubledime]

Good morning,

The Reliever Play for Saturday:

SD/Milw over 9.5

This opened at 9 overnight, but as I post it's 9.5 so I am using that number.

That's it for the day

Good luck

[CamNewtonOutfit]

Is this completely mechanical? u dont cancel picks bc of other reasons besides the rules?

[doubledime]

Is this completely mechanical? u dont cancel picks bc of other reasons besides the rules?

95% correct. These are based on the bullpens rest/work, bullpen ERA etc. The only metric (5%) other than bullpen factors, is the average pitches of the starters. Weather, umpires, ballpark etc. do not enter into the equation.

[doubledime]

Good morning,

Reliever Plays:

Yesterday: 1-0
YTD: 82-62

Regular Plays:

Yesterday 0
YTD: 1-10

VMI:

Yesterday: 0
YTD: 5-6 -.55 units

[doubledime]

Good morning,

The Reliever Plays for Sunday:

LAD/Reds over 10.5
SD/Mil over 8.5
Clev/Min over 10.5
NYY/Oak over 9.5-10 (about 1/2 and 1/2 at the books as of this post)

Good luck

[Mackballs]

Wow, as I went to put in all four for today, the price changed on every single one of them consecutively. They all went up 5 cent in a matter of seconds but the totals stayed the same. I think that's a good sign.

[doubledime]

Wow, as I went to put in all four for today, the price changed on every single one of them consecutively. They all went up 5 cent in a matter of seconds but the totals stayed the same. I think that's a good sign.

Let's hope it's a good sign.

[doubledime]

Over the last few weeks I have been researching more first and "second half" lines in bases. The more I dig down, the more I am thinking there may be more value in these. The reason, less variables that could negatively contribute to the outcome. Example, let's say you play an over based on the relievers, but one or both starters have great days. The reliever may give up a lot of runs, but it's not enough to make up for the great job by the starters. Earlier this week, a poster mentioned just playing the second half overs for the reliever games. I have begun to track those and they are 3-3 the last 3 days. For example today, all 4 of the Reliever Plays have a second half line of 3.5 runs, it does not matter if the game line is 10.5 runs or 8 runs, the second half line is 3.5 runs. As a matter, of fact ALL the games today have a second half line of 3.5 runs except the Colorado game! What does this tell us..... The posted game total is almost entirely based on the starters and, if we apply all the other factors such as wind, umpires, ball park and of course bullpen performance, we may have a significant edge. At least that's what I think one could ascertain from this.

Also, I have been working with xFIP (expected Fielding Independent Pitching) (Google it for an explanation), to pick first half sides and first half and game totals. I am in the embryonic stages of my research/tracking but I will let everyone know if there is any value in this.

DD

[blumpkin]

DD you ever look into team totals?

[doubledime]

DD you ever look into team totals?

I am fairly confident that applying what I mentioned in my last post, one could use it to predict team totals also.

[bozeman]

Over the last few weeks I have been researching more first and "second half" lines in bases. The more I dig down, the more I am thinking there may be more value in these. The reason, less variables that could negatively contribute to the outcome. Example, let's say you play an over based on the relievers, but one or both starters have great days. The reliever may give up a lot of runs, but it's not enough to make up for the great job by the starters. Earlier this week, a poster mentioned just playing the second half overs for the reliever games. I have begun to track those and they are 3-3 the last 3 days. For example today, all 4 of the Reliever Plays have a second half line of 3.5 runs, it does not matter if the game line is 10.5 runs or 8 runs, the second half line is 3.5 runs. As a matter, of fact ALL the games today have a second half line of 3.5 runs except the Colorado game! What does this tell us..... The posted game total is almost entirely based on the starters and, if we apply all the other factors such as wind, umpires, ball park and of course bullpen performance, we may have a significant edge. At least that's what I think one could ascertain from this.

Also, I have been working with xFIP (expected Fielding Independent Pitching) (Google it for an explanation), to pick first half sides and first half and game totals. I am in the embryonic stages of my research/tracking but I will let everyone know if there is any value in this.

DD

doubledime - not only u r great capper and researcher - u also r geniunly trying to win games and improve your systems. Keep it up my man!

[JerseyGodFather]

doubledime - not only u r great capper and researcher - u also r geniunly trying to win games and improve your systems. Keep it up my man!

The Bozeman has returned

[bozeman]

lmao - were gonna play paintball today - its a rainout while all weather sites show zero precipitation and overcast only

[bozeman]

I was actually sick of those 20 post ghosts like NLCHAD who seem to be someones second account and attack positive critics in someones thread. Looked into Lakercrazies thread this morning. Lakercrazy would have picked up around a dozen units extra if bet only 1 to 5 innings since I posted my info. But those Ghost accounts seems to resist that reality. Its like they are created by sportsbook CS who want Lakercrazy steam accounts to win less.

Anyways Doubledime proves to us he is a real deal.

[doubledime]

doubledime - not only u r great capper and researcher - u also r geniunly trying to win games and improve your systems. Keep it up my man!

Points Awarded:

bozeman gave doubledime 2 Betpoint(s) for this post.

Nomination(s):

This post was nominated 1 time . To view the nominated thread please click here. People who nominated: bozeman

Thanks bozeman

[NLChad11]

I never attacked any of the great posters that I follow and I never will. I commented on how Bozeman makes ridiculous statements before the outcome of a game and he went bonkers and hasn't shut up since. He goes off like a 3 year old and says he's gone on vacation for 2 months but obviously he can't stay away from the forum because it's his life. I guess I'd be the same way if I was 30 years old and living in my parents basement.

[NLChad11]

Knew you'd be back Bozeman. How long were you gone, 15 hours? Lol