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  • doubledime
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 04-22-09
    • 9751

    #841
    Good morning,

    FYI: Yesterday, although the Reliever Plays were 0-3, if one would have played the second half before the game started, they would have went 2-1. Today there is a situation (game) where I have the xFIP as an under for the first 5 innings, but the Reliever Play would be an over. That game is NYY/WS. (under 6 first 5 and over 4 the second half). I am not posting either, but it will be interesting to see what happens.


    The Reliever Play for Thursday:

    Mil/Cin over 10 (second half is 3.5 runs for those interested)
    Min/Bost over 10 (second half is 3.5 runs for those interested)

    VMI Play:

    Houston

    xFIP:

    StL/AZ under 5.5
    Cubs.Wash under 5
    Mets/Mia over 5


    Good luck
    Comment
    • thekoreanmang
      SBR MVP
      • 03-17-14
      • 1422

      #842
      VMI and xFIP plays picking up momentum!

      VMI is going on a 7-0 run if I'm not mistaken while xFIP are going on a 12-9 run in the same timespan.
      Comment
      • doubledime
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 04-22-09
        • 9751

        #843
        Originally posted by thekoreanmang
        VMI and xFIP plays picking up momentum!

        VMI is going on a 7-0 run if I'm not mistaken while xFIP are going on a 12-9 run in the same timespan.
        Comment
        • doubledime
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 04-22-09
          • 9751

          #844
          Originally posted by Click_Clack
          Rolled eyes at recap and no plays: C'mon Double D, where's those winners brotha
          See post #833, I said I would not be posting any plays on Wednesday.
          Comment
          • doubledime
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 04-22-09
            • 9751

            #845
            Good morning,

            Reliever Plays:

            Yesterday: 1-1
            YTD: 88-71

            Regular Plays:

            Yesterday 0
            YTD: 1-10

            VMI:

            Yesterday: 1-0
            YTD: 14-8 +7.80

            xFIP:

            Yesterday: 3-0
            YTD: 20-14
            Comment
            • Midoohadi
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 02-25-17
              • 514

              #846
              Originally posted by doubledime
              Good morning,

              Reliever Plays:

              Yesterday: 1-1
              YTD: 88-71

              Regular Plays:

              Yesterday 0
              YTD: 1-10

              VMI:

              Yesterday: 1-0
              YTD: 14-8 +7.80

              xFIP:

              Yesterday: 3-0
              YTD: 20-14
              So the VMI and xFIP are hitting at a rate of 60.7 % so far, will you consider playing them as official plays or how many picks do you usually track before you think an angle is worth playing etc. thanks for your work! BOL
              Comment
              • doubledime
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 04-22-09
                • 9751

                #847
                Originally posted by Midoohadi
                So the VMI and xFIP are hitting at a rate of 60.7 % so far, will you consider playing them as official plays or how many picks do you usually track before you think an angle is worth playing etc. thanks for your work! BOL
                I personally want to evaluate these at the All Star break, but for now any followers can use them to bounce their own handicapping off of.
                Comment
                • doubledime
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 04-22-09
                  • 9751

                  #848
                  Good afternoon,

                  The Reliever Play for Friday:

                  Cubs/Cinci over 9.5 (Second half is 3.5 runs for those interested)

                  The VMI Play:

                  Col

                  The xFIP Plays:

                  Phil/Mets over 4.5
                  Col/AZ under 5
                  LAD/SD under 4
                  Clev/Det under 6
                  NYY/Hou under 4
                  TX/WS over 5.5
                  Set/LAA over 5


                  Just to review once again, VMI plays are based on the Visual Memory Index. (Google it for an explanation) and the xFIP plays are based on the expected Fielding Independent Pitching. We are posting these for tracking purposes.

                  Good luck
                  Comment
                  • doubledime
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 04-22-09
                    • 9751

                    #849
                    Good morning,

                    Reliever Plays:

                    Yesterday: 0-1
                    YTD: 88-72

                    Regular Plays:

                    Yesterday 0
                    YTD: 1-10

                    VMI:

                    Yesterday: 1-0
                    YTD: 15-8 +9.10

                    xFIP:

                    Yesterday: 1-2
                    YTD: 21-16
                    Comment
                    • doubledime
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 04-22-09
                      • 9751

                      #850
                      Good morning,

                      The Regular Play for Saturday:

                      LAD/SD over 8 -125

                      The Reliever Plays :

                      LAD/SD over 8 -125
                      Bost/Tor over 8 -115


                      No VMI

                      xFIP first 5 innings:

                      LAD/SD over 4.5
                      TX/WS over 5.5


                      Good luck
                      Comment
                      • doubledime
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 04-22-09
                        • 9751

                        #851
                        Good morning,

                        Reliever Plays:

                        Yesterday: pushed
                        YTD: 88-72

                        Regular Plays:

                        Yesterday: pushed
                        YTD: 1-10

                        VMI:

                        Yesterday: 0
                        YTD: 15-8 +9.10

                        xFIP:

                        Yesterday: 1-1
                        YTD: 22-17
                        Comment
                        • doubledime
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 04-22-09
                          • 9751

                          #852
                          Points Awarded:
                          hockey129 gave doubledime 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.

                          Thank you hockey
                          Comment
                          • doubledime
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 04-22-09
                            • 9751

                            #853
                            Good morning,

                            The Reliever Play for Sunday:

                            Min/KC over 10

                            xFIP First Five Innings Plays:

                            Mia/Mil over 5.5
                            Min/KC over 5.5
                            Atl/Oak over 4.5


                            Had Wash/St. Louis ready to post at under 4 but it's gone to 3.5 so the value is gone.

                            No VMI Play(s)

                            Good luck
                            Comment
                            • doubledime
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 04-22-09
                              • 9751

                              #854
                              First of all, I want to begin with the fact that I never have been good at picking sides in baseball.

                              That said, I have had some time to work the xFIP for predicting first five innings totals and I noticed a correlation to picking sides using xFIP.

                              Here are the first five innings xFIP side plays. Some are favorites some are dogs. I DO NOT recommend playing them but let's all watch and see how they do together.

                              Philly
                              SF
                              Col
                              Balt (probably the strongest)
                              TX
                              Seat

                              Good luck
                              Comment
                              • doubledime
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 04-22-09
                                • 9751

                                #855
                                Originally posted by doubledime
                                First of all, I want to begin with the fact that I never have been good at picking sides in baseball.

                                That said, I have had some time to work the xFIP for predicting first five innings totals and I noticed a correlation to picking sides using xFIP.

                                Here are the first five innings xFIP side plays. Some are favorites some are dogs. I DO NOT recommend playing them but let's all watch and see how they do together.

                                Philly
                                SF
                                Col
                                Balt (probably the strongest)
                                TX
                                Seat

                                Good luck
                                Well, these had a nice start going 4-1-1 + 3.05 units. I will keep posting them, time permitting.
                                Comment
                                • thekoreanmang
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 03-17-14
                                  • 1422

                                  #856
                                  Originally posted by doubledime
                                  Well, these had a nice start going 4-1-1 + 3.05 units. I will keep posting them, time permitting.
                                  Very nice, my mang.
                                  Comment
                                  • doubledime
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 04-22-09
                                    • 9751

                                    #857
                                    Points Awarded:
                                    thekoreanmang gave doubledime 2 Betpoint(s) for this post.
                                    hockey129 gave doubledime 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.

                                    Thank you for the points, always appreciated
                                    Comment
                                    • doubledime
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 04-22-09
                                      • 9751

                                      #858
                                      Originally posted by thekoreanmang
                                      Very nice, my mang.
                                      Comment
                                      • doubledime
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 04-22-09
                                        • 9751

                                        #859
                                        Good morning,

                                        The Reliever Plays:

                                        Mia/St. Louis over 9.5
                                        LAA/Min over 9.5
                                        WS/Oak over 8.5


                                        xFIP first 5 innings:

                                        Reds/Col under 6.5
                                        Tor/NYY under 5
                                        Bos/TX under 6
                                        WS/Oak over 4.5


                                        xFIP first 5 innings sides:

                                        Wash
                                        Phil
                                        Reds
                                        Oak
                                        Seat
                                        (probably the strongest)

                                        No VMI Plays

                                        Good luck
                                        Comment
                                        • doubledime
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 04-22-09
                                          • 9751

                                          #860
                                          Good morning,

                                          Reliever Plays:

                                          Yesterday: 0-1
                                          YTD: 88-73

                                          Regular Plays:

                                          Yesterday: 0
                                          YTD: 1-10

                                          VMI:

                                          Yesterday: 0
                                          YTD: 15-8 +9.10

                                          xFIP first 5 innings totals:

                                          Yesterday: 2-1
                                          YTD: 24-18

                                          xFIP first 5 innings sides:

                                          Yesterday: 3-1
                                          YTD: 3-1 +3.05

                                          Last edited by doubledime; 07-04-17, 06:23 AM.
                                          Comment
                                          • k310
                                            SBR High Roller
                                            • 10-11-11
                                            • 111

                                            #861
                                            Comment
                                            • k310
                                              SBR High Roller
                                              • 10-11-11
                                              • 111

                                              #862
                                              Thank you DD!


                                              This is one of a couple threads that I check in after I have determined my leans.

                                              This morning they jumped out at me - the Reliever Plays and the xFIP First 5 Innings (totals). I thought today was a good day for both and added them to my plays for the day.


                                              User/Phone GameDate Sport Description Risk/Win Win/Loss
                                              Amount
                                              Result Date Placed
                                              INTERNET / -1 Ticket #: 56446856
                                              Jul 03 03:05 PM
                                              MLB STRAIGHT BET
                                              [901] METS (NEW YORK) +1½-130
                                              ( S MATZ -L / S STRASBURG -R )
                                              130 / 100 100 WIN
                                              WIN
                                              07/03/2017 01:18 PM
                                              INTERNET / -1 Ticket #: 56446863
                                              Jul 03 04:05 PM
                                              MLB STRAIGHT BET
                                              [1910] 1H YANKEES (NEW YORK) u5-120
                                              ( M STROMAN -R / M TANAKA -R )
                                              120 / 100 100 WIN
                                              WIN
                                              07/03/2017 01:18 PM
                                              INTERNET / -1 Ticket #: 56446858
                                              Jul 03 04:05 PM
                                              MLB STRAIGHT BET
                                              [910] YANKEES (NEW YORK) -141
                                              ( M STROMAN -R / M TANAKA -R )
                                              141 / 100 100 WIN
                                              WIN
                                              07/03/2017 01:18 PM
                                              INTERNET / -1 Ticket #: 56446857
                                              Jul 03 04:15 PM
                                              MLB STRAIGHT BET
                                              [905] MARLINS (MIAMI) o10-110
                                              ( J LOCKE -L / A WAINWRIGHT-R )
                                              110 / 100 100 WIN
                                              WIN
                                              07/03/2017 01:18 PM
                                              INTERNET / -1 Ticket #: 56446864
                                              Jul 03 05:05 PM
                                              MLB STRAIGHT BET
                                              [1912] 1H RANGERS (TEXAS) u6-120
                                              ( R PORCELLO -R / M PEREZ -L )
                                              120 / 100 100 WIN
                                              WIN
                                              07/03/2017 01:18 PM
                                              INTERNET / -1 Ticket #: 56446862
                                              Jul 03 05:10 PM
                                              MLB STRAIGHT BET
                                              [1908] 1H ROCKIES (COLORADO) u6½+105
                                              ( L CASTILLO -R / J HOFFMAN -R )
                                              100 / 105 105 WIN
                                              WIN
                                              07/03/2017 01:18 PM
                                              INTERNET / -1 Ticket #: 56446859
                                              Jul 03 05:10 PM
                                              MLB STRAIGHT BET
                                              [913] ANGELS (LOS ANGELES) o9½-110
                                              ( A MEYER -R / A MEJIA -L )
                                              110 / 100 100 WIN
                                              WIN
                                              07/03/2017 01:18 PM
                                              INTERNET / -1 Ticket #: 56446865
                                              Jul 03 06:05 PM
                                              MLB STRAIGHT BET
                                              [1915] 1H WHITE SOX (CHICAGO) o4½-120
                                              ( C RODON -L / J COTTON -R )
                                              120 / 100 100 WIN
                                              WIN
                                              07/03/2017 01:18 PM
                                              INTERNET / -1 Ticket #: 56446860
                                              Jul 03 06:05 PM
                                              MLB STRAIGHT BET
                                              [915] WHITE SOX (CHICAGO) o8½-115
                                              ( C RODON -L / J COTTON -R )
                                              115 / 100 100 WIN
                                              WIN
                                              07/03/2017 01:18 PM
                                              INTERNET / -1 Ticket #: 56446861
                                              Jul 03 07:10 PM
                                              MLB STRAIGHT BET
                                              [917] ROYALS (KANSAS CITY) +1½-170
                                              ( I KENNEDY -R / A MOORE -R )
                                              170 / 100 100 WIN
                                              WIN
                                              07/03/2017 01:18 PM
                                              Comment
                                              • hockey129
                                                SBR Hustler
                                                • 06-24-17
                                                • 87

                                                #863
                                                I don't listen to you doubledime and I fire units at all your plays! You are the man. 🤑🤑🤑
                                                Comment
                                                • doubledime
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 04-22-09
                                                  • 9751

                                                  #864
                                                  Originally posted by k310
                                                  Thank you DD!


                                                  This is one of a couple threads that I check in after I have determined my leans.

                                                  This morning they jumped out at me - the Reliever Plays and the xFIP First 5 Innings (totals). I thought today was a good day for both and added them to my plays for the day.


                                                  User/Phone GameDate Sport Description Risk/Win Win/Loss
                                                  Amount
                                                  Result Date Placed
                                                  INTERNET / -1 Ticket #: 56446856
                                                  Jul 03 03:05 PM
                                                  MLB STRAIGHT BET
                                                  [901] METS (NEW YORK) +1½-130
                                                  ( S MATZ -L / S STRASBURG -R )
                                                  130 / 100 100 WIN
                                                  WIN
                                                  07/03/2017 01:18 PM
                                                  INTERNET / -1 Ticket #: 56446863
                                                  Jul 03 04:05 PM
                                                  MLB STRAIGHT BET
                                                  [1910] 1H YANKEES (NEW YORK) u5-120
                                                  ( M STROMAN -R / M TANAKA -R )
                                                  120 / 100 100 WIN
                                                  WIN
                                                  07/03/2017 01:18 PM
                                                  INTERNET / -1 Ticket #: 56446858
                                                  Jul 03 04:05 PM
                                                  MLB STRAIGHT BET
                                                  [910] YANKEES (NEW YORK) -141
                                                  ( M STROMAN -R / M TANAKA -R )
                                                  141 / 100 100 WIN
                                                  WIN
                                                  07/03/2017 01:18 PM
                                                  INTERNET / -1 Ticket #: 56446857
                                                  Jul 03 04:15 PM
                                                  MLB STRAIGHT BET
                                                  [905] MARLINS (MIAMI) o10-110
                                                  ( J LOCKE -L / A WAINWRIGHT-R )
                                                  110 / 100 100 WIN
                                                  WIN
                                                  07/03/2017 01:18 PM
                                                  INTERNET / -1 Ticket #: 56446864
                                                  Jul 03 05:05 PM
                                                  MLB STRAIGHT BET
                                                  [1912] 1H RANGERS (TEXAS) u6-120
                                                  ( R PORCELLO -R / M PEREZ -L )
                                                  120 / 100 100 WIN
                                                  WIN
                                                  07/03/2017 01:18 PM
                                                  INTERNET / -1 Ticket #: 56446862
                                                  Jul 03 05:10 PM
                                                  MLB STRAIGHT BET
                                                  [1908] 1H ROCKIES (COLORADO) u6½+105
                                                  ( L CASTILLO -R / J HOFFMAN -R )
                                                  100 / 105 105 WIN
                                                  WIN
                                                  07/03/2017 01:18 PM
                                                  INTERNET / -1 Ticket #: 56446859
                                                  Jul 03 05:10 PM
                                                  MLB STRAIGHT BET
                                                  [913] ANGELS (LOS ANGELES) o9½-110
                                                  ( A MEYER -R / A MEJIA -L )
                                                  110 / 100 100 WIN
                                                  WIN
                                                  07/03/2017 01:18 PM
                                                  INTERNET / -1 Ticket #: 56446865
                                                  Jul 03 06:05 PM
                                                  MLB STRAIGHT BET
                                                  [1915] 1H WHITE SOX (CHICAGO) o4½-120
                                                  ( C RODON -L / J COTTON -R )
                                                  120 / 100 100 WIN
                                                  WIN
                                                  07/03/2017 01:18 PM
                                                  INTERNET / -1 Ticket #: 56446860
                                                  Jul 03 06:05 PM
                                                  MLB STRAIGHT BET
                                                  [915] WHITE SOX (CHICAGO) o8½-115
                                                  ( C RODON -L / J COTTON -R )
                                                  115 / 100 100 WIN
                                                  WIN
                                                  07/03/2017 01:18 PM
                                                  INTERNET / -1 Ticket #: 56446861
                                                  Jul 03 07:10 PM
                                                  MLB STRAIGHT BET
                                                  [917] ROYALS (KANSAS CITY) +1½-170
                                                  ( I KENNEDY -R / A MOORE -R )
                                                  170 / 100 100 WIN
                                                  WIN
                                                  07/03/2017 01:18 PM
                                                  We're glad it worked out for you
                                                  Comment
                                                  • doubledime
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 04-22-09
                                                    • 9751

                                                    #865
                                                    Points Awarded:
                                                    dorksonastick gave doubledime 2 Betpoint(s) for this post.
                                                    k310 gave doubledime 2 Betpoint(s) for this post.
                                                    Thank you for the points guys
                                                    Comment
                                                    • doubledime
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 04-22-09
                                                      • 9751

                                                      #866
                                                      Good morning,

                                                      Reliever Plays:

                                                      Yesterday: 3-0
                                                      YTD: 91-73

                                                      Regular Plays:

                                                      Yesterday: 0
                                                      YTD: 1-10

                                                      VMI:

                                                      Yesterday: 0
                                                      YTD: 15-8 +9.10

                                                      xFIP first 5 innings totals:

                                                      Yesterday: 4-0
                                                      YTD: 28-18

                                                      xFIP first 5 innings sides:

                                                      Yesterday: 1-3
                                                      YTD: 4-4 +.05
                                                      Comment
                                                      • doubledime
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 04-22-09
                                                        • 9751

                                                        #867
                                                        Originally posted by hockey129
                                                        I don't listen to you doubledime and I fire units at all your plays! You are the man. 螺螺螺
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Kenny King
                                                          SBR High Roller
                                                          • 02-04-16
                                                          • 168

                                                          #868
                                                          Has anyone been playing and/or tracking the 2nd half plays?
                                                          Comment
                                                          • doubledime
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 04-22-09
                                                            • 9751

                                                            #869
                                                            Good morning,

                                                            The Reliever Plays for Tuesday:

                                                            Mia/St. Louis over 9 -120
                                                            Bost/TX over 9


                                                            Back with the rest later

                                                            Good luck
                                                            Comment
                                                            • doubledime
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 04-22-09
                                                              • 9751

                                                              #870
                                                              Good morning,

                                                              No VMI Plays today

                                                              Waiting for lines for the xFIP Plays

                                                              Good luck
                                                              Comment
                                                              • doubledime
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 04-22-09
                                                                • 9751

                                                                #871
                                                                Points Awarded:
                                                                hockey129 gave doubledime 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.

                                                                Thanks Hockey
                                                                Comment
                                                                • HeeluvaGuy
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 02-15-14
                                                                  • 3449

                                                                  #872
                                                                  Happy 4th DD!
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • doubledime
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 04-22-09
                                                                    • 9751

                                                                    #873
                                                                    Originally posted by HeeluvaGuy
                                                                    Happy 4th DD!
                                                                    Thanks and same to you HG!
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • doubledime
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 04-22-09
                                                                      • 9751

                                                                      #874
                                                                      Good morning,

                                                                      I hope everyone enjoys their 4th. It's really is amazing what our Founding Fathers did in order for us to have the great country we have today. (No disrespect to those who do not live in the USA)

                                                                      Remember we are just posting these for tracking purposes!!!

                                                                      xFIP first 5 innings totals:

                                                                      Mia/St. L over 4.5
                                                                      Cin/Col over 5.5
                                                                      WS/Oak over 4.5
                                                                      TB/Cub under 4.5
                                                                      SD/Clev under 4.5
                                                                      Hou/Atl under 5


                                                                      xFIP first 5 innings sides:

                                                                      There were 6 plays, however, all but one had a line too high, in my opinion, to play. The only one with any value was:

                                                                      SD

                                                                      The others, which will not go toward the tracking record were Was, Col, Sea, Mil, and Hous. Personally, I feel that is too many at such a high price(s) to play.

                                                                      Good luck
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • doubledime
                                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                        • 04-22-09
                                                                        • 9751

                                                                        #875
                                                                        Points Awarded:
                                                                        matt711 gave doubledime 2 Betpoint(s) for this post.

                                                                        Thanks Matt
                                                                        Comment
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