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  • CamNewtonOutfit
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 09-26-16
    • 525

    #666
    Im not a fan of the over on this, how are these plays determined?

    Originally posted by doubledime
    good morning,

    the regular play for sunday:

    mia/pit over 8.5 -120

    the reliever plays:

    mia/pit over 8.5
    kc/sd over 8.5

    no vmi play

    good luck
    Comment
    • andyh64000
      SBR Rookie
      • 05-03-17
      • 10

      #667
      Originally posted by CamNewtonOutfit
      Im not a fan of the over on this, how are these plays determined?
      What don't you like about it? In addition to his reliever angle...two middle of the road starters, an over umpire, warm weather, medium humidity, and a fairly strong wind blowing out to left.
      Comment
      • Robin Shot
        SBR Rookie
        • 03-25-17
        • 34

        #668
        Originally posted by CamNewtonOutfit
        Im not a fan of the over on this, how are these plays determined?
        Comment
        • juicername
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 10-14-15
          • 6906

          #669
          Originally posted by Robin Shot
          It's the same guy who doesn't know how averages work.
          Comment
          • Mackballs
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 12-01-16
            • 5810

            #670
            Originally posted by CamNewtonOutfit
            Im not a fan of the over on this, how are these plays determined?
            You are a fan of Cam Newton, though.
            Comment
            • thekoreanmang
              SBR MVP
              • 03-17-14
              • 1422

              #671
              Originally posted by CamNewtonOutfit
              Im not a fan of the over on this, how are these plays determined?
              Don't like it? Don't bet it. Simple. There is more than enough info on prior posts in this thread. Be a big boy and read them.

              Don't be entitled just because your parents raised you that way.
              Comment
              • CamNewtonOutfit
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 09-26-16
                • 525

                #672
                Nova is an uber talented starter he throws a lot of heat and has a high strike out rate i mean yes the bullpen could blow it. i would honestly not bet against Florida either because theyve been on a hot streak i wouldnt touch this game with a 10 meter cattle prod.
                Comment
                • Robin Shot
                  SBR Rookie
                  • 03-25-17
                  • 34

                  #673
                  We don't care. Go away.
                  Originally posted by CamNewtonOutfit
                  Nova is an uber talented starter he throws a lot of heat and has a high strike out rate i mean yes the bullpen could blow it. i would honestly not bet against Florida either because theyve been on a hot streak i wouldnt touch this game with a 10 meter cattle prod.
                  Comment
                  • Click_Clack
                    SBR High Roller
                    • 09-05-12
                    • 219

                    #674
                    Lol cam hittin' you guys with the his dab ������
                    Comment
                    • doubledime
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 04-22-09
                      • 9751

                      #675
                      Originally posted by CamNewtonOutfit
                      Im not a fan of the over on this, how are these plays determined?
                      If your speaking of the Regular Play here you go:

                      The Relief staff has pitched 74 and 81 pitches yesterday and 211 and 232 over the last 3 days
                      The closers are below average
                      The Bullpen ERA is 5.47 and 3.73
                      The starters only average 92 and 86 pitches per game
                      The wind is blowing out to left at 12MPH
                      There is an over umpire
                      Home/Away record is 65-49 combined to the over
                      The VMI is +2.69 and +2.78 for the two teams
                      I capped the game at 9.3 runs

                      Of course it could loose, but I will play this every time with all these factors leaning to the over.

                      Good luck whatever you decide.
                      Comment
                      • CamNewtonOutfit
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 09-26-16
                        • 525

                        #676
                        throwin some heat over in PA!

                        Comment
                        • DU46
                          SBR Sharp
                          • 10-09-09
                          • 368

                          #677
                          Don't be a fk stick. DD is nothing but class. Either add something of value to the thread or take your keyboard warrior bull sh1t and gtfo.
                          Comment
                          • Cubs4ever
                            SBR Hustler
                            • 06-04-17
                            • 55

                            #678
                            This shit always has to happen.
                            Comment
                            • J.M. Disciple
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 11-16-10
                              • 5154

                              #679
                              Dang accidently bet under.... Went and checked my balance and thought there was a glitch being SD scored 11 runs.... Misbet for the loss 😞

                              Onto next week! Keep up the great work in this thread. Following since the beginning.
                              Comment
                              • doubledime
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 04-22-09
                                • 9751

                                #680
                                Good morning,

                                Reliever Plays:

                                Yesterday: 1-1
                                YTD: 72-59

                                Regular Plays:

                                Yesterday 0-1
                                YTD: 1-10

                                VMI:

                                Yesterday: 0
                                YTD: 5-5 +.45 units
                                Comment
                                • doubledime
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 04-22-09
                                  • 9751

                                  #681
                                  Some comments about yesterday:

                                  Yesterday was a classic example why we call this gambling. IMHO you really could not ask for more reasons to play the over in the Pit/FL game. As I stated earlier I would play a game like that every time, but yesterday was not meant to be. Also It speaks volumes about over analyzing.

                                  I also would like to say thanks for all the posters commenting on Cam's posts. I have been doing this longer than most here and I have learned over the years to be able to pick out, for the most part, the "rookies" vs the "veterans" I'll let everyone decide on their own which one Cam falls under.

                                  DD
                                  Comment
                                  • Catchn_Picks
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 09-02-11
                                    • 2984

                                    #682
                                    Originally posted by doubledime
                                    Some comments about yesterday:

                                    Yesterday was a classic example why we call this gambling. IMHO you really could not ask for more reasons to play the over in the Pit/FL game. As I stated earlier I would play a game like that every time, but yesterday was not meant to be. Also It speaks volumes about over analyzing.

                                    I also would like to say thanks for all the posters commenting on Cam's posts. I have been doing this longer than most here and I have learned over the years to be able to pick out, for the most part, the "rookies" vs the "veterans" I'll let everyone decide on their own which one Cam falls under.

                                    DD
                                    When you combine solid handicapping with some online class...you have someone worthy of tailing. Your Reliever plays have been solid all year so far and I ain't going anywhere. And the crowd agrees! BOL and GLTA.

                                    Comment
                                    • NLChad11
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 03-18-17
                                      • 709

                                      #683
                                      Cam is the typical poster that immediately turns into a crybaby once someone he follows has a couple losses. Probably terrible money management and he blew his bankroll on 3 bets. DD you are a great guy in here, along with Laker Crazy and Reesp I follow you 3 as much as possible. And you all are much appreciated by the good guys in this forum. Thanks for posting and GL to all after a tough week.
                                      Comment
                                      • doubledime
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 04-22-09
                                        • 9751

                                        #684
                                        Originally posted by Catchn_Picks
                                        When you combine solid handicapping with some online class...you have someone worthy of tailing. Your Reliever plays have been solid all year so far and I ain't going anywhere. And the crowd agrees! BOL and GLTA.


                                        Comment
                                        • doubledime
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 04-22-09
                                          • 9751

                                          #685
                                          Originally posted by NLChad11
                                          Cam is the typical poster that immediately turns into a crybaby once someone he follows has a couple losses. Probably terrible money management and he blew his bankroll on 3 bets. DD you are a great guy in here, along with Laker Crazy and Reesp I follow you 3 as much as possible. And you all are much appreciated by the good guys in this forum. Thanks for posting and GL to all after a tough week.

                                          Comment
                                          • doubledime
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 04-22-09
                                            • 9751

                                            #686
                                            Good morning,

                                            The Reliever Plays for Monday:

                                            Reds/SD over 8 -120 (bought the 1/2)
                                            Balt/WS over 10.5


                                            No VMI

                                            Good luck
                                            Comment
                                            • thekoreanmang
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 03-17-14
                                              • 1422

                                              #687
                                              Originally posted by doubledime
                                              Good morning,

                                              The Reliever Plays for Monday:

                                              Reds/SD over 8 -120 (bought the 1/2)
                                              Balt/WS over 10.5


                                              No VMI

                                              Good luck
                                              Good luck, baby! BetOnline has O10 (-118) for BAL/CWS.
                                              Comment
                                              • doubledime
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 04-22-09
                                                • 9751

                                                #688
                                                Originally posted by thekoreanmang
                                                Good luck, baby! BetOnline has O10 (-118) for BAL/CWS.
                                                Thanks Kman Most of books now have it at 10 -115
                                                Comment
                                                • doubledime
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 04-22-09
                                                  • 9751

                                                  #689
                                                  Good morning,

                                                  Reliever Plays:

                                                  Yesterday: 2-0
                                                  YTD: 74-59

                                                  Regular Plays:

                                                  Yesterday 0
                                                  YTD: 1-10

                                                  VMI:

                                                  Yesterday: 0
                                                  YTD: 5-5 +.45 units
                                                  Comment
                                                  • doubledime
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 04-22-09
                                                    • 9751

                                                    #690
                                                    Good morning,

                                                    The Reliever Plays for Tuesday:

                                                    Atl/Wash over 9.5
                                                    Balt/WS over 10 / 10.5
                                                    (spitting 10 -130 and 10.5 -105 net -117.5 juice)

                                                    VMI:

                                                    Oak

                                                    Good luck
                                                    Comment
                                                    • DU46
                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                      • 10-09-09
                                                      • 368

                                                      #691
                                                      Thanks DD
                                                      Comment
                                                      • CamNewtonOutfit
                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                        • 09-26-16
                                                        • 525

                                                        #692
                                                        AGREE AGREE

                                                        Balt/WS over 10 / 10.5 (spitting 10 -130 and 10.5 -105 net -117.5 juice)
                                                        Comment
                                                        • doubledime
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 04-22-09
                                                          • 9751

                                                          #693
                                                          Originally posted by CamNewtonOutfit
                                                          AGREE AGREE

                                                          Balt/WS over 10 / 10.5 (spitting 10 -130 and 10.5 -105 net -117.5 juice)
                                                          Comment
                                                          • doubledime
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 04-22-09
                                                            • 9751

                                                            #694
                                                            Good morning,

                                                            Reliever Plays:

                                                            Yesterday: 1-1
                                                            YTD: 75-60

                                                            Regular Plays:

                                                            Yesterday 0
                                                            YTD: 1-10

                                                            VMI:

                                                            Yesterday: 0-1
                                                            YTD: 5-6 -.55 units
                                                            Comment
                                                            • doubledime
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 04-22-09
                                                              • 9751

                                                              #695
                                                              Points Awarded:
                                                              thekoreanmang gave doubledime 2 Betpoint(s) for this post.

                                                              Thanks Kman
                                                              Comment
                                                              • doubledime
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 04-22-09
                                                                • 9751

                                                                #696
                                                                Good afternoon,

                                                                The Reliever Plays:

                                                                Atl/Wash over 9.5
                                                                Mil/SL over 9
                                                                NYY/LAA over 7.5 -117
                                                                (bought the hook)

                                                                No VMI Plays

                                                                Good luck
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Midoohadi
                                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                                  • 02-25-17
                                                                  • 514

                                                                  #697
                                                                  pitching change in the brewers game, does it matter man? BOL
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • doubledime
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 04-22-09
                                                                    • 9751

                                                                    #698
                                                                    Originally posted by Midoohadi
                                                                    pitching change in the brewers game, does it matter man? BOL
                                                                    Just saw your post. No, it does not matter since these plays are based solely on the relief staffs, their work and rest the last 1 - 3 days and the bullpen ERA. The only difference the starter makes is the starters average number of pitches they through per game, but that's not as important as the other metrics.

                                                                    DD
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • JayLA
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 09-11-12
                                                                      • 7806

                                                                      #699
                                                                      But that game is likely voided due to the pitching change if we didn't/couldn't change to action...right? Sucks
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • NLChad11
                                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                                        • 03-18-17
                                                                        • 709

                                                                        #700
                                                                        Fortunately there was no pitching change Garza and Leake both started. And the over hit already so we're good.
                                                                        Comment
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