**** MLB Totals ** 478-343 + 83 units Last Year ****

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  • Raiderguy101
    SBR MVP
    • 12-20-11
    • 2569

    #281
    Originally posted by doubledime
    Wish we could have won the Regular Play
    I think they had 8 runs in the 5th inning. It's too bad they couldn't even get us a push. Oh well, GL today.
    Comment
    • doubledime
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 04-22-09
      • 9751

      #282
      Originally posted by juicername


      Just curious; have you checked moneyline results for teams with rested bullpen vs. team with exhausted bullpen?
      Yesterday, as I mentioned, Washington was the play that qualified for "rested vs exhausted". It won but was too much juice (no pun intended juicername) for me.

      We had some time today and Texas and Toronto fit that criteria today. Not plays just FYI

      DD
      Comment
      • doubledime
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 04-22-09
        • 9751

        #283
        Originally posted by Raiderguy101
        I think they had 8 runs in the 5th inning. It's too bad they couldn't even get us a push. Oh well, GL today.
        You are correct, 4.5 innings without a run
        Comment
        • Fred The Hammer
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 08-13-13
          • 11579

          #284
          I think I found some sweet value for tonite for any player prop fans. I'm a Reds fan so I see almost every Eugenio Suarez atbat and he's been on fire (.371 with 5 hrs)

          Suarez on 5dimes Over 2 (-125) total hits, runs, and rbis!

          They played Milw last week in Cincy and he had totals of 2,4, and 4. He's 4-9 (.444) off Garza lifetime and he's got some protection behind him w/Zack Cozart smoking the ball in the 7th hole. Scott Schebler is directly behind Suarez batting 6th and hes a notorious streak hitter who just had a HR/2 rbis yesterday. Miller Park is also a launching pad....5d limits each prop to $100 but if the line moves then u can hit it again. I just don't see Garza & their pen shutting him down! Good Luck!!
          Comment
          • doubledime
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 04-22-09
            • 9751

            #285
            Originally posted by Fred The Hammer
            I think I found some sweet value for tonite for any player prop fans. I'm a Reds fan so I see almost every Eugenio Suarez atbat and he's been on fire (.371 with 5 hrs)

            Suarez on 5dimes Over 2 (-125) total hits, runs, and rbis!

            They played Milw last week in Cincy and he had totals of 2,4, and 4. He's 4-9 (.444) off Garza lifetime and he's got some protection behind him w/Zack Cozart smoking the ball in the 7th hole. Scott Schebler is directly behind Suarez batting 6th and hes a notorious streak hitter who just had a HR/2 rbis yesterday. Miller Park is also a launching pad....5d limits each prop to $100 but if the line moves then u can hit it again. I just don't see Garza & their pen shutting him down! Good Luck!!
            Thanks for the info. Good luck Fred
            Comment
            • Fred The Hammer
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 08-13-13
              • 11579

              #286
              So of course a guy hitting .371 goes 0-5....lol. He still scored 2 runs so I'll happily take the push! He hit a rocket one-hopper right over 2nd and they had a guy in the shift that I wasn't expecting. That sucked but he reached on 2 errors and scored both times!
              Comment
              • Fred The Hammer
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 08-13-13
                • 11579

                #287
                By the way...Milw now 9-2 Over in their last 11. Davies vs Feldman tomorrow and Davies era is 8.70something
                Comment
                • doubledime
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 04-22-09
                  • 9751

                  #288
                  Good morning,

                  Reliever Plays:

                  Yesterday: 2-0
                  YTD: 25-17

                  Regular Plays:

                  Yesterday 0
                  YTD: 0-6

                  Team Totals:

                  Yesterday: 1-1
                  YTD: 11-14
                  Comment
                  • doubledime
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 04-22-09
                    • 9751

                    #289
                    Good morning,

                    No Regular Play(s) yet. May be back later with one.

                    The Reliever Play:

                    Reds/Mil over 8.5 (almost a regular play, starters, relievers and umpire in our favor but weather is ?)

                    Team Total:

                    Reds over 4

                    Good luck
                    Comment
                    • juicername
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 10-14-15
                      • 6906

                      #290
                      Love it.
                      Comment
                      • doubledime
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 04-22-09
                        • 9751

                        #291
                        Forgot to mention one more factor, Miller Park is an "over" park.
                        Comment
                        • SAX27
                          SBR MVP
                          • 07-03-15
                          • 1324

                          #292
                          You mentioned you were concerned about weather in Milwaukee. Do you know the typical variance when roof is closed vs open? Still gonna run with the over!!

                          Keep up the hard work!
                          Comment
                          • doubledime
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 04-22-09
                            • 9751

                            #293
                            Originally posted by SAX27
                            You mentioned you were concerned about weather in Milwaukee. Do you know the typical variance when roof is closed vs open? Still gonna run with the over!!

                            Keep up the hard work!
                            Thanks Sax

                            Looks as if the roof will be open. 10 MPH wind in from right but the air density index is a low 62 which is good for overs. Temp will be about 63 degrees.

                            DD
                            Comment
                            • doubledime
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 04-22-09
                              • 9751

                              #294
                              Good afternoon,

                              The Regular Play for Tuesday:

                              Tor/St. L under 7.5 (be careful 0-6 so far this year. If this loses no Regular Plays for awhile)

                              Good luck
                              Comment
                              • Fred The Hammer
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 08-13-13
                                • 11579

                                #295
                                Originally posted by doubledime
                                Good morning,

                                No Regular Play(s) yet. May be back later with one.

                                The Reliever Play:

                                Reds/Mil over 8.5 (almost a regular play, starters, relievers and umpire in our favor but weather is ?)

                                Team Total:

                                Reds over 4

                                Good luck

                                Pounded Reds Over 4! Feldman has been better then I thought so it could be 5-3 Reds or something but they haven't stopped Milw yet!
                                Comment
                                • doubledime
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 04-22-09
                                  • 9751

                                  #296
                                  Good morning,

                                  Reliever Plays:

                                  Yesterday: 1-0
                                  YTD: 26-17

                                  Regular Plays:

                                  Yesterday 0-1
                                  YTD: 0-7

                                  Team Totals:

                                  Yesterday: 0-1
                                  YTD: 11-15
                                  Comment
                                  • doubledime
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 04-22-09
                                    • 9751

                                    #297
                                    Good morning,

                                    The Reliever Plays for Wednesday:

                                    Reds/Milw over 9.5 (I'm splitting 1/2 & 1/2 @ 9-130)
                                    Kc/WSox over 8
                                    Tor/St. L over 8


                                    Good luck
                                    Comment
                                    • DU46
                                      SBR Sharp
                                      • 10-09-09
                                      • 368

                                      #298
                                      Thanks DD. As you said yesterday, might be time to take a break from the regular plays, we're hitting 60% on the relievers, might as well save yourself the time for awhile unless the stars all align on a regular play. Thoroughly appreciate all of your efforts and sharing the wealth with us!
                                      Comment
                                      • HeeluvaGuy
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 02-15-14
                                        • 3449

                                        #299
                                        DD- Congrats on the reliever plays. I love the simplicity of the approach, and the results are second to none.

                                        That said, I'm a tinkerer ...

                                        Im going to do my best to track a live betting approach to the reliever plays. I'll be looking at games trending under early in the game with at least one SP with a high pitch count. The end of the 2nd inning will be my first look, and over 15 pitches per inning will be my threshold for a high pitch count.

                                        Like I said, I will do my best to track this (and post here if Ok with you). But live betting and real life sometimes aren't compatible. So if anyone else is interested and wants to help out, feel free to offer assistance.
                                        Comment
                                        • doubledime
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 04-22-09
                                          • 9751

                                          #300
                                          Originally posted by HeeluvaGuy
                                          DD- Congrats on the reliever plays. I love the simplicity of the approach, and the results are second to none.

                                          That said, I'm a tinkerer ...

                                          Im going to do my best to track a live betting approach to the reliever plays. I'll be looking at games trending under early in the game with at least one SP with a high pitch count. The end of the 2nd inning will be my first look, and over 15 pitches per inning will be my threshold for a high pitch count.

                                          Like I said, I will do my best to track this (and post here if Ok with you). But live betting and real life sometimes aren't compatible. So if anyone else is interested and wants to help out, feel free to offer assistance.
                                          Thank HG Please do post here. I know time can be a problem, but I look forward to your input. I hope we can get a few more people to help you out. I real like your approach. Thanks
                                          Comment
                                          • doubledime
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 04-22-09
                                            • 9751

                                            #301
                                            As I mentioned I will not be posting any more Regular Plays for awhile. I can't remember when I ever went 0-7 (probably did, but sometimes I can't remember what I did last night ) I think sometimes I just over analyze a play too much.

                                            That said I will still be posting Reliever Plays and with HG's help we may be able to win some extra thru live betting. I will continue to post Team Totals for tracking purposes only, unless they continue to lose.

                                            DD
                                            Comment
                                            • DU46
                                              SBR Sharp
                                              • 10-09-09
                                              • 368

                                              #302
                                              Thanks DD, the reliever plays are off to a strong start this season, hopefully it continues!
                                              Comment
                                              • doubledime
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 04-22-09
                                                • 9751

                                                #303
                                                Originally posted by DU46
                                                Thanks DD, the reliever plays are off to a strong start this season, hopefully it continues!
                                                Thanks DU, let's hope it does.
                                                Comment
                                                • jalein
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 11-19-08
                                                  • 1005

                                                  #304
                                                  what is meant when splitting an Over 1/2 and 1/2??
                                                  Comment
                                                  • doubledime
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 04-22-09
                                                    • 9751

                                                    #305
                                                    Originally posted by jalein
                                                    what is meant when splitting an Over 1/2 and 1/2??
                                                    1/2 my play at 9.5 -105 and 1/2 my play at 9 -130
                                                    Comment
                                                    • HeeluvaGuy
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 02-15-14
                                                      • 3449

                                                      #306
                                                      My live experiment:

                                                      KC/CWS o7 +110 mid 5th inning

                                                      CIN/MIL never trended under
                                                      Comment
                                                      • doubledime
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 04-22-09
                                                        • 9751

                                                        #307
                                                        Originally posted by HeeluvaGuy
                                                        My live experiment:

                                                        KC/CWS o7 +110 mid 5th inning

                                                        CIN/MIL never trended under
                                                        On it
                                                        Comment
                                                        • doubledime
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 04-22-09
                                                          • 9751

                                                          #308
                                                          Originally posted by HeeluvaGuy
                                                          My live experiment:

                                                          KC/CWS o7 +110 mid 5th inning

                                                          CIN/MIL never trended under
                                                          wish I just played this and not the full game
                                                          Comment
                                                          • HeeluvaGuy
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 02-15-14
                                                            • 3449

                                                            #309
                                                            Originally posted by doubledime
                                                            wish I just played this and not the full game
                                                            This approach may end up being more art that science. Over 6.5 was available in the prior inning, but at -125. I'm not normally comfortable paying that, so I waited for a better price (unfortunately after one more run scored), and took a push instead of a win. That's the way it goes, I guess.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • doubledime
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 04-22-09
                                                              • 9751

                                                              #310
                                                              Good morning,

                                                              Reliever Plays:

                                                              Yesterday: 1-1
                                                              YTD: 27-18

                                                              Regular Plays:

                                                              Yesterday 0
                                                              YTD: 0-7

                                                              Team Totals:

                                                              Yesterday: 0
                                                              YTD: 11-15
                                                              Comment
                                                              • doubledime
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 04-22-09
                                                                • 9751

                                                                #311
                                                                Goodmorning,

                                                                The Reliever Plays:

                                                                LAD/SF over 7 -7.5 (Splitting again)
                                                                SD/AZ over 10 -120
                                                                Oak/LAA over 8


                                                                Note: The first 2 plays have under leaning umpires, for full disclosure

                                                                Team Total:

                                                                Seattle over 4.5


                                                                Good luck
                                                                Comment
                                                                • doubledime
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 04-22-09
                                                                  • 9751

                                                                  #312
                                                                  Good morning,

                                                                  Reliever Plays:

                                                                  Yesterday: 0-3
                                                                  YTD: 27-21

                                                                  Regular Plays:

                                                                  Yesterday 0
                                                                  YTD: 0-7

                                                                  Team Totals:

                                                                  Yesterday: 0-1
                                                                  YTD: 11-16
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • doubledime
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 04-22-09
                                                                    • 9751

                                                                    #313
                                                                    Friday is a PASS

                                                                    Good luck
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • PokeyAristocrat
                                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                                      • 01-08-17
                                                                      • 261

                                                                      #314
                                                                      Great stuff on the relievers so far DD
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • doubledime
                                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                        • 04-22-09
                                                                        • 9751

                                                                        #315
                                                                        Originally posted by PokeyAristocrat
                                                                        Great stuff on the relievers so far DD
                                                                        Thanks pokey
                                                                        Comment
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