I found an interesting prop on 5D for Miami/Mets if anyone likes the Over. Over 27.5 (-105) runs/hits/errors. Rafael Montero for the Mets has given up 16 hits and 8 walks in 6.2 ip (9.45 era). 27.5 is low enough that a 5-3 or 5-4 game that doesn't go over the current total of 9 could still hit!
Also on the Dbacks Over 5.5! They should light up Colorado there similar to what the Nats did!
Comment
doubledime
SBR Hall of Famer
04-22-09
9751
#353
Originally posted by Fred The Hammer
I found an interesting prop on 5D for Miami/Mets if anyone likes the Over. Over 27.5 (-105) runs/hits/errors. Rafael Montero for the Mets has given up 16 hits and 8 walks in 6.2 ip (9.45 era). 27.5 is low enough that a 5-3 or 5-4 game that doesn't go over the current total of 9 could still hit!
Also on the Dbacks Over 5.5! They should light up Colorado there similar to what the Nats did!
Thanks Fred. I can see the over hitting in the Miami game. Over weather, starters are no prize, Miami's relievers are NOT rested, and over ball park. Thanks for the prop.
Comment
doubledime
SBR Hall of Famer
04-22-09
9751
#354
Originally posted by Fred The Hammer
I found an interesting prop on 5D for Miami/Mets if anyone likes the Over. Over 27.5 (-105) runs/hits/errors. Rafael Montero for the Mets has given up 16 hits and 8 walks in 6.2 ip (9.45 era). 27.5 is low enough that a 5-3 or 5-4 game that doesn't go over the current total of 9 could still hit!
Also on the Dbacks Over 5.5! They should light up Colorado there similar to what the Nats did!
Well done Fred
Comment
Fred The Hammer
SBR Posting Legend
08-13-13
11581
#355
Originally posted by doubledime
Well done Fred
TY Sir....4-0 tonite! I was in Vegas last weekend for the NFL Draft and my big totals were a 5 inning Over that hit in the 1st inning and Atl/Mil that went Over in the 3rd. Life is good when the games make sense!!
Comment
doubledime
SBR Hall of Famer
04-22-09
9751
#356
Originally posted by Fred The Hammer
TY Sir....4-0 tonite! I was in Vegas last weekend for the NFL Draft and my big totals were a 5 inning Over that hit in the 1st inning and Atl/Mil that went Over in the 3rd. Life is good when the games make sense!!
Jump in anytime!
Comment
doubledime
SBR Hall of Famer
04-22-09
9751
#357
Good morning,
Reliever Plays:
Yesterday: 0-2
YTD: 35-29
Regular Plays:
Yesterday 0
YTD: 0-7
Team Totals:
Yesterday: 1-2
YTD: 19-24
Comment
doubledime
SBR Hall of Famer
04-22-09
9751
#358
Good morning,
Saturday's Reliever Plays:
Mil/Pit over 8
Mia/Mets over 8.5
LAD/SD over 6
Tor/TB over 8 (some 7.5 out there)
Bost/Min over 9
TX/Seat over 8.5
Good luck
Comment
Raiderguy101
SBR MVP
12-20-11
2569
#359
Nice day DD.
Comment
doubledime
SBR Hall of Famer
04-22-09
9751
#360
Originally posted by Raiderguy101
Nice day DD.
Thanks RG
Comment
doubledime
SBR Hall of Famer
04-22-09
9751
#361
Good morning,
Reliever Plays:
Yesterday: 4-2
YTD: 39-31
Regular Plays:
Yesterday 0
YTD: 0-7
Team Totals:
Yesterday: 0
YTD: 19-24
Comment
doubledime
SBR Hall of Famer
04-22-09
9751
#362
Good morning,
Sunday's Reliever Play:
TX/Seat over 8.5
Good luck
Comment
Kenny King
SBR High Roller
02-04-16
168
#363
Last season at this point the combined win/loss record was 31-29. This season we are 39-38. This is combining the regular plays and the reliever plays. That means we are running the same pace as last year! 80 units here we come!
Comment
DU46
SBR Sharp
10-09-09
368
#364
Thanks for looking at that Kenny, I was going to do that myself to see where we were running compared to last year...after this year is done it might be interesting to look at the monthly W-L record and see if there is a pattern developing where maybe reliever plays aren't effective until after May 1 or something along those lines.
Comment
doubledime
SBR Hall of Famer
04-22-09
9751
#365
Originally posted by Kenny King
Last season at this point the combined win/loss record was 31-29. This season we are 39-38. This is combining the regular plays and the reliever plays. That means we are running the same pace as last year! 80 units here we come!
Let's hope you are correct.
Comment
doubledime
SBR Hall of Famer
04-22-09
9751
#366
Originally posted by DU46
Thanks for looking at that Kenny, I was going to do that myself to see where we were running compared to last year...after this year is done it might be interesting to look at the monthly W-L record and see if there is a pattern developing where maybe reliever plays aren't effective until after May 1 or something along those lines.
That is something to consider.
Comment
doubledime
SBR Hall of Famer
04-22-09
9751
#367
Good morning,
Reliever Plays:
Yesterday: 0-1
YTD: 39-32
Regular Plays:
Yesterday 0
YTD: 0-7
Team Totals:
Yesterday: 0
YTD: 19-24
Comment
doubledime
SBR Hall of Famer
04-22-09
9751
#368
Good morning,
Earlier this season I start posting, for tracking purposes only, some team totals. I based them on several metrics such as, starter, relievers, wind, ump etc. They have not been profitable. Once again I may be over analyzing each game. Therefore, I will be posting Team Totals based solely on the relievers. The problem is there will be many games since many times, a game will have one relief staff that has been worked hard while the other team has a rested staff. Of course when both relief staff have pitched a lot of pitches over the last 1, 2 and 3 days, it will qualify as a Reliever Play, but if only one team's relief staff has pitched a lot of pitches, the other team will be posted as a over Team Total. (For Tracking Purposes Only)
If anyone has any questions please let me know.
DD
Comment
doubledime
SBR Hall of Famer
04-22-09
9751
#369
Good afternoon,
The Reliever Plays for Monday
Wash/Balt over 8.5 -120
Good luck
Comment
doubledime
SBR Hall of Famer
04-22-09
9751
#370
Good afternoon,
The TT for Monday (Based solely on the relief staff, see above Post #368):
Mia o 3.5
SF o 3.5
Col o 4.5
Cle o 4
LAA o 3.5
Reds o 3.5
SD o 3.5
Good luck
Comment
HighVoltage
SBR Wise Guy
05-31-09
562
#371
Originally posted by doubledime
Good afternoon,
The TT for Monday (Based solely on the relief staff, see above Post #368):
Mia o 3.5
SF o 3.5
Col o 4.5
Cle o 4
LAA o 3.5
Reds o 3.5
SD o 3.5
Good luck
Have you back-tested these plays? Thanks for all you do!
Comment
DU46
SBR Sharp
10-09-09
368
#372
Good morning DD,
I went back and broke down the monthly record for the reliever plays last year. You started tracking / posting them in May:
April of this season was 27-23, 54.0%, and May so far is 13-8, 61.9%. It will be interesting to see if this season follows a similar path as last year (hoping it does!). If so, it might be reasonable as we go into next year to only play reliever plays from May 1 - Aug 31...obviously a lot of season left, but if it follows a similar trend as last year, we will be in good shape!
Comment
Mackballs
SBR Hall of Famer
12-01-16
5810
#373
Originally posted by DU46
Good morning DD,
I went back and broke down the monthly record for the reliever plays last year. You started tracking / posting them in May:
April of this season was 27-23, 54.0%, and May so far is 13-8, 61.9%. It will be interesting to see if this season follows a similar path as last year (hoping it does!). If so, it might be reasonable as we go into next year to only play reliever plays from May 1 - Aug 31...obviously a lot of season left, but if it follows a similar trend as last year, we will be in good shape!
Nice work. Look at that August record last year. Straight heat DD.
Comment
doubledime
SBR Hall of Famer
04-22-09
9751
#374
Originally posted by HighVoltage
Have you back-tested these plays? Thanks for all you do!
No I have not Thanks for the points
Points Awarded:
HighVoltage gave doubledime 2 Betpoint(s) for this post.
Comment
doubledime
SBR Hall of Famer
04-22-09
9751
#375
Originally posted by DU46
Good morning DD,
I went back and broke down the monthly record for the reliever plays last year. You started tracking / posting them in May:
April of this season was 27-23, 54.0%, and May so far is 13-8, 61.9%. It will be interesting to see if this season follows a similar path as last year (hoping it does!). If so, it might be reasonable as we go into next year to only play reliever plays from May 1 - Aug 31...obviously a lot of season left, but if it follows a similar trend as last year, we will be in good shape!
Thanks DU for breaking it down. Great analysis.
Comment
doubledime
SBR Hall of Famer
04-22-09
9751
#376
Good morning,
Reliever Plays:
Yesterday: 1-0
YTD: 40-32
Regular Plays:
Yesterday 0
YTD: 0-7
Team Totals:
Yesterday: 3-3
YTD: 22-27
Comment
DU46
SBR Sharp
10-09-09
368
#377
Originally posted by doubledime
Thanks DU for breaking it down. Great analysis.
Happy to help...hopefully we can dial it in to the most profitable months for reliever plays!
Comment
doubledime
SBR Hall of Famer
04-22-09
9751
#378
Good afternoon,
No Releiver Plays
Team Totals:
St.L o 4
Mets o3.5
LAD o 4
Clev o 4.5
LAA o 3.5
NYY o4
Atl under 3.5
Good luck
Comment
Kenny King
SBR High Roller
02-04-16
168
#379
Man what a boost towards 80+ units! I jumped on the team totals for the first time last night! Thank you DD!
Comment
doubledime
SBR Hall of Famer
04-22-09
9751
#380
Originally posted by Kenny King
Man what a boost towards 80+ units! I jumped on the team totals for the first time last night! Thank you DD!
Thank KK
Comment
doubledime
SBR Hall of Famer
04-22-09
9751
#381
Good morning,
Reliever Plays:
Yesterday: 0
YTD: 40-32
Regular Plays:
Yesterday 0
YTD: 0-7
Team Totals:
Yesterday: 5-1-1
YTD: 27-28
Comment
doubledime
SBR Hall of Famer
04-22-09
9751
#382
Good morning,
Cubs/Col over 10 -115
KC/TB over 7.5
Seat/Phil over 8.5
Team Totals (Remember we are just posting these to track)
LAD o 4.5
Oak o 4
Clev o 4
Balt o 3.5
TX o 4.5
Seat under 3.5
Bost o 4.5
Comment
slamuels2021
SBR High Roller
10-21-16
201
#383
Hey DD,
Great work as always! Question for ya: If seat/Phils are an over, then shouldn't Seatt team totals be over too? If not, I would then think that the Phils team total should for sure be an over?
Thanks!
Comment
doubledime
SBR Hall of Famer
04-22-09
9751
#384
Originally posted by slamuels2021
Hey DD,
Great work as always! Question for ya: If seat/Phils are an over, then shouldn't Seatt team totals be over too? If not, I would then think that the Phils team total should for sure be an over?
Thanks!
That is correct, but since it's a Reliever Play, I did not want to double up with two Team Totals. DD
Comment
Fred The Hammer
SBR Posting Legend
08-13-13
11581
#385
Bought a half-run Over 8.5 (-138) Boston/Milwaukee. My biggest play of the year. Hit Anderson/Colon Over 8.5 in Vegas and it was 4-4 in the 4th! I didn't even know Kendrick was still in baseball....he sucks and Anderson has been getting hit lately! This is another 5-4 game by the 6th/7th inning imo and we won't even need the lousy Milw pen to save the day!