**** MLB Totals ** 478-343 + 83 units Last Year ****

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  • doubledime
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 04-22-09
    • 9751

    #246
    Originally posted by JassieJames
    When are you going to consider the TT an official play, DD?
    At least 2 factors, a significant sample size and winning consistently.
    Comment
    • JassieJames
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 02-03-09
      • 988

      #247
      Originally posted by doubledime
      At least 2 factors, a significant sample size and winning consistently.
      Great, Thank you!!
      Comment
      • doubledime
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 04-22-09
        • 9751

        #248
        Points Awarded:
        JassieJames gave doubledime 6 Betpoint(s) for this post.

        Thanks JJ
        Comment
        • doubledime
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 04-22-09
          • 9751

          #249
          Good morning,

          Reliever Plays:

          Yesterday: 2-1
          YTD: 17-16

          Regular Plays:

          Yesterday 0
          YTD: 0-5

          Team Totals:

          Yesterday: 0-4 (this is why we are just tracking these for now)
          YTD: 8-12

          Good luck
          Comment
          • doubledime
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 04-22-09
            • 9751

            #250
            Good morning,

            The early Reliever Play for Saturday:

            Cubs/Reds over 7 - 7.5 (spiting it 1/2 and 1/2)

            Back later

            Good luck
            Comment
            • Raiderguy101
              SBR MVP
              • 12-20-11
              • 2569

              #251
              Originally posted by doubledime
              Good morning,

              The early Reliever Play for Saturday:

              Cubs/Reds over 7 - 7.5 (spiting it 1/2 and 1/2)

              Back later

              Good luck
              How do you grade it then if you split it? Because you don't put the vig and seem to grade it all on an average juice.

              GL on the season and hope you catch a nice hot streak.
              Comment
              • doubledime
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 04-22-09
                • 9751

                #252
                Originally posted by Raiderguy101
                How do you grade it then if you split it? Because you don't put the vig and seem to grade it all on an average juice.

                GL on the season and hope you catch a nice hot streak.
                For grading purposes I use the higher number since some people are unable to buy points.
                Comment
                • doubledime
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 04-22-09
                  • 9751

                  #253
                  Good afternoon,

                  No Regular Plays:

                  The Reliever Plays for Saturday:

                  St. L/Milw over 9
                  Tor/LAA over 8.5 (bought the 1/2 to -120)


                  Team Totals:

                  WSox under 3
                  LAA over 4.5


                  Good luck
                  Comment
                  • doubledime
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 04-22-09
                    • 9751

                    #254
                    Good morning,

                    Reliever Plays:

                    Yesterday: 2-1
                    YTD: 19-17

                    Regular Plays:

                    Yesterday 0
                    YTD: 0-5

                    Team Totals:

                    Yesterday: 2-0
                    YTD: 10-12
                    Comment
                    • doubledime
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 04-22-09
                      • 9751

                      #255
                      Points Awarded:
                      PokeyAristocrat gave doubledime 1 SBR Point(s) for this post.
                      Thank you Pokey
                      Comment
                      • doubledime
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 04-22-09
                        • 9751

                        #256
                        Good morning,

                        The Regular Play for Sunday:

                        LAD/AZ over 9 -120 (be careful, we're 0-5 on regular plays )

                        The Reliever Plays:

                        Cubs/Reds over 9
                        St. L/Milw over 8.5
                        Det/Min over 8.5
                        Seat/Oak over 8


                        Team Totals:

                        Cubs over 5
                        Oak over 4


                        Good luck
                        Last edited by doubledime; 04-23-17, 08:39 AM.
                        Comment
                        • Fabiodog
                          SBR Sharp
                          • 03-17-13
                          • 319

                          #257
                          Even 8 on Oakland game?,thanks for all your work
                          Comment
                          • doubledime
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 04-22-09
                            • 9751

                            #258
                            Originally posted by Fabiodog
                            Even 8 on Oakland game?,thanks for all your work
                            Not sure of your question
                            Comment
                            • Fabiodog
                              SBR Sharp
                              • 03-17-13
                              • 319

                              #259
                              You did not put over or under
                              Comment
                              • juicername
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 10-14-15
                                • 6906

                                #260
                                Originally posted by Fabiodog
                                You did not put over or under
                                Both bullpens have logged 11 innings L3 games so my bet would be over.
                                Comment
                                • doubledime
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 04-22-09
                                  • 9751

                                  #261
                                  Originally posted by Fabiodog
                                  You did not put over or under
                                  Over is the play. As the younger generation says...."My Bad" Fixed now, thanks and thanks juice
                                  Comment
                                  • doubledime
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 04-22-09
                                    • 9751

                                    #262
                                    Originally posted by juicername
                                    Both bullpens have logged 11 innings L3 games so my bet would be over.
                                    Juice is correct but here is some more info:


                                    Seattle Bullpen use:1 day: 2 pitchers, 72 pitches, 15 outs 3 days: 7 pitchers, 178 pitches, 34 outs
                                    Oakland Bullpen use:1 day: 4 pitchers, 48 pitches, 9 outs 3 days: 7 pitchers, 176 pitches, 33 outs

                                    Seattle Bullpen ERA 5.97
                                    Oakland Bullpen ERA 3.80
                                    Comment
                                    • juicername
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 10-14-15
                                      • 6906

                                      #263
                                      Originally posted by doubledime
                                      Juice is correct but here is some more info:


                                      Seattle Bullpen use:1 day: 2 pitchers, 72 pitches, 15 outs 3 days: 7 pitchers, 178 pitches, 34 outs
                                      Oakland Bullpen use:1 day: 4 pitchers, 48 pitches, 9 outs 3 days: 7 pitchers, 176 pitches, 33 outs

                                      Seattle Bullpen ERA 5.97
                                      Oakland Bullpen ERA 3.80


                                      Just curious; have you checked moneyline results for teams with rested bullpen vs. team with exhausted bullpen?
                                      Comment
                                      • doubledime
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 04-22-09
                                        • 9751

                                        #264
                                        Originally posted by juicername


                                        Just curious; have you checked moneyline results for teams with rested bullpen vs. team with exhausted bullpen?
                                        I have not. Giving it a quick look, today the biggest disparity is Washington and the Mets. Washington with the advantage in the bullpen.

                                        Comment
                                        • HeeluvaGuy
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 02-15-14
                                          • 3449

                                          #265
                                          BOL today DD. I have been laying low and am off to a slow start (at least posting-wise) in MLB, but I have been following your thread. Now that we're close to a month in, I think things will pick up a bit.

                                          Time permitting, I'm going to try to figure out a way to qualify (as opposed to just quantify) bullpen usage. I'm a big believer in your reliever approach, but I think you would agree that not every reliever pitch has the same value.

                                          Along those lines, if anyone had a list of #1 setup guys and #1 closers by team I would appreciate you sharing.
                                          Comment
                                          • bballs84
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 11-11-09
                                            • 5461

                                            #266
                                            Originally posted by doubledime
                                            Juice is correct but here is some more info:


                                            Seattle Bullpen use:1 day: 2 pitchers, 72 pitches, 15 outs 3 days: 7 pitchers, 178 pitches, 34 outs
                                            Oakland Bullpen use:1 day: 4 pitchers, 48 pitches, 9 outs 3 days: 7 pitchers, 176 pitches, 33 outs

                                            Seattle Bullpen ERA 5.97
                                            Oakland Bullpen ERA 3.80
                                            These numbers a little deceiving no? As rested their top 3 in pen yesterday and still got W
                                            Comment
                                            • SpookyFellow
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 08-01-09
                                              • 1687

                                              #267
                                              Yes
                                              Comment
                                              • doubledime
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 04-22-09
                                                • 9751

                                                #268
                                                Originally posted by HeeluvaGuy
                                                BOL today DD. I have been laying low and am off to a slow start (at least posting-wise) in MLB, but I have been following your thread. Now that we're close to a month in, I think things will pick up a bit.

                                                Time permitting, I'm going to try to figure out a way to qualify (as opposed to just quantify) bullpen usage. I'm a big believer in your reliever approach, but I think you would agree that not every reliever pitch has the same value.

                                                Along those lines, if anyone had a list of #1 setup guys and #1 closers by team I would appreciate you sharing.
                                                Thanks HG. As you know the Reliever Plays are just a one dimensional look at a game. Any input from you to be more targeted (therefore a higher winning percentage) would be greatly appreciated as always!!!
                                                Comment
                                                • doubledime
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 04-22-09
                                                  • 9751

                                                  #269
                                                  Originally posted by bballs84
                                                  These numbers a little deceiving no? As rested their top 3 in pen yesterday and still got W
                                                  Good information for sure BB, but there are are only so many hours in a day, and I do do have another life and have to use my limited time to look at stats with a "broad brush" approach with my Reliever Plays. However, I encourage anyone who can contribute this type of information, to do so. Our goal should always be to strive for more winning plays
                                                  DD
                                                  Comment
                                                  • bballs84
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 11-11-09
                                                    • 5461

                                                    #270
                                                    No problem BOL Dime
                                                    Comment
                                                    • HeeluvaGuy
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 02-15-14
                                                      • 3449

                                                      #271
                                                      Originally posted by bballs84
                                                      These numbers a little deceiving no? As rested their top 3 in pen yesterday and still got W
                                                      This is one of the things I'm interested in looking into. The ultimate question is: Will it improve results? Logically it should, but it may require some subjective analysis, which poses its own challenges. As I understand DD's current approach, he had a threshold number of pitches that qualifies/disqualifies a play. If nothing else, that approach is easily measured.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • doubledime
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 04-22-09
                                                        • 9751

                                                        #272
                                                        Originally posted by HeeluvaGuy
                                                        This is one of the things I'm interested in looking into. The ultimate question is: Will it improve results? Logically it should, but it may require some subjective analysis, which poses its own challenges. As I understand DD's current approach, he had a threshold number of pitches that qualifies/disqualifies a play. If nothing else, that approach is easily measured.
                                                        I look at number of pitches and the number of relievers used the last one day and last three days. Also, I look at the ERA of the bullpen and and rating of the closers. Finally, I look at the average pitch count of the starting pitcher which should be a factor on how early the relievers enter the game.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Fabiodog
                                                          SBR Sharp
                                                          • 03-17-13
                                                          • 319

                                                          #273
                                                          Awesome job today with the totals
                                                          Comment
                                                          • JassieJames
                                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                                            • 02-03-09
                                                            • 988

                                                            #274
                                                            Clean Sweep???????
                                                            Comment
                                                            • doubledime
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 04-22-09
                                                              • 9751

                                                              #275
                                                              Fabiodog gave doubledime 2 Betpoint(s) for this post.
                                                              Fabiodog gave doubledime 25 Betpoint(s) for this post.

                                                              Thank you Fabio for the generous points, appreciate them.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • doubledime
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 04-22-09
                                                                • 9751

                                                                #276
                                                                Originally posted by Fabiodog
                                                                Awesome job today with the totals
                                                                Wish we could have won the Regular Play
                                                                Comment
                                                                • wlulaxer
                                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                                  • 12-24-12
                                                                  • 285

                                                                  #277
                                                                  Thanks for posting DD, always enjoy the threads
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • doubledime
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 04-22-09
                                                                    • 9751

                                                                    #278
                                                                    Originally posted by wlulaxer
                                                                    Thanks for posting DD, always enjoy the threads

                                                                    Thanks wlulaxer and thanks for the points.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • doubledime
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 04-22-09
                                                                      • 9751

                                                                      #279
                                                                      Good morning,

                                                                      Reliever Plays:

                                                                      Yesterday: 4-0
                                                                      YTD: 23-17

                                                                      Regular Plays:

                                                                      Yesterday 0-1
                                                                      YTD: 0-6

                                                                      Team Totals:

                                                                      Yesterday: 0-1-1
                                                                      YTD: 10-13
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • doubledime
                                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                        • 04-22-09
                                                                        • 9751

                                                                        #280
                                                                        Good morning,

                                                                        No Regular Plays

                                                                        The Reliever Plays for Monday:

                                                                        Reds/Milw over 8
                                                                        SD/AZ over 9


                                                                        The Team Totals:

                                                                        AZ over 4.5
                                                                        TX over 4.5


                                                                        Good luck
                                                                        Comment
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