White Sox 76% - There can actually be good value even with huge favorites at times, and this is probably one of those times. Redman has been getting solidly hit of late, and Chicago's offense will take advantage here again. Garland had a few iffy outings after a string of strong ones, but even the bad ones were not as bad as they seem on paper. Even if Garland does get hit, the White Sox will still have a very good chance of winning. The White Sox are likely to get at least 7 runs, which is more than they will need even if Garland has an off day. This game involves a poor team headed down and a good team headed up, and as such the White Sox have a huge statistical edge.
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Oakland 62% - This game comes down to what trend of Zito's will prevail; his dominance over Seattle, or his recent inability to control his pitches at home. Statistically, he is likely to have a better outing here, but that comes with a high degree of uncertainty, which gives this game a low confidence number. Washburn's reasonable likelihood of a quality start combined with Oakland closer Street's likely unavailability for this game gives a boost to Seattle's chances. Seattle, however, has not been playing well of late, and will also be without Richie Sexson. Oakland does rate a solid edge, but with a very low confidence number.Comment -
Nice picks, ganchrowComment