Boston 67% - Baltimore has real problems going against lefties, and Lester has shown the ability to be effective. Cabrera had a good start last time out, but his problems with control are fundamental to who he is, and he will always be vulnerable because of them. Facing Boston at Fenway will not give him any breaks, and he is likely to have an off day here. Boston's penchant for winning at home, combined with Baltimore's problems against lefties and Cabrera's shakiness adds up to a strong overall edge for Boston.
Houston 58% - Backe has thrown two strong games since returning from the DL, and while he doesn't have the same stuff he used to have, it may be benefiting him since he is now trying to be more of a pitcher instead of a thrower. He should be able to keep Houston in the game by matching the performance of Williams, who doesn't bring anything special to the table. Playing at home, and with a modest starting pitching edge gives Houston a decent edge overall.
Houston 58% - Backe has thrown two strong games since returning from the DL, and while he doesn't have the same stuff he used to have, it may be benefiting him since he is now trying to be more of a pitcher instead of a thrower. He should be able to keep Houston in the game by matching the performance of Williams, who doesn't bring anything special to the table. Playing at home, and with a modest starting pitching edge gives Houston a decent edge overall.