Originally <a href='/showthread.php?p=18953034'>posted</a> on 06/19/2013:
For What It's Worth
You're Only As Good As Your Information
Because the foundation for handicapping is putting as many edges in your favor as possible, it's important to seek good, reliable information. In this age of the internet and electronic communication, there is a world of winning information out there waiting to be discovered. The more you learn, the better your chances of success.
Winning Teams Finds Ways To Win; Losing Teams Find Ways To Lose
By concentrating on winning teams, in the right situations, you increase your chances of winning. That's because winning teams don't beat themselves (turnovers, penalties, etc.). On the flip side, losing teams are losers because they make more mistakes at crucial times in a game. Look to 'play on' winning teams as underdogs, and to 'play against' losing teams as favorites.
Statistics Don't Lie
Statistics report strengths and weaknesses in teams. Some teams may win games with poor stats but it is only a matter of time before their poor performance on the playing field catches up with their win-loss record. By finding one team's strength, and identifyiny another team's weaknesses, you can get a feel for hidden advantages.
Letdowns and Lookaheads
Football teams are human, and because they are they play with emotion. When one team comes off a huge effort, they can easily have a letdown the next game. Conversely, if they have a huge look ahead game up next (a primary rival, revenge from a humiliating loss, etc.) they often times aren't as fully focused as they should be. For example: South Carolina host North Carolina opening week, then travels to Georgia the following week in what could be their biggest game of the season.
For What It's Worth
You're Only As Good As Your Information
Because the foundation for handicapping is putting as many edges in your favor as possible, it's important to seek good, reliable information. In this age of the internet and electronic communication, there is a world of winning information out there waiting to be discovered. The more you learn, the better your chances of success.
Winning Teams Finds Ways To Win; Losing Teams Find Ways To Lose
By concentrating on winning teams, in the right situations, you increase your chances of winning. That's because winning teams don't beat themselves (turnovers, penalties, etc.). On the flip side, losing teams are losers because they make more mistakes at crucial times in a game. Look to 'play on' winning teams as underdogs, and to 'play against' losing teams as favorites.
Statistics Don't Lie
Statistics report strengths and weaknesses in teams. Some teams may win games with poor stats but it is only a matter of time before their poor performance on the playing field catches up with their win-loss record. By finding one team's strength, and identifyiny another team's weaknesses, you can get a feel for hidden advantages.
Letdowns and Lookaheads
Football teams are human, and because they are they play with emotion. When one team comes off a huge effort, they can easily have a letdown the next game. Conversely, if they have a huge look ahead game up next (a primary rival, revenge from a humiliating loss, etc.) they often times aren't as fully focused as they should be. For example: South Carolina host North Carolina opening week, then travels to Georgia the following week in what could be their biggest game of the season.