NFL Week 2 - Seattle Seahawks vs LA Rams

[t-wizzle]

http://www.sportsbookreview.com/bett.../nfl-football/
-3.5 still at BetOnline

I do sometimes feel sorry for mental midgets like wizzle and sweep who can't even look at the simple pages like this one

I mean how clueless can they be?

So here's Rocket saying "I told you so" because he thought the sbr odds feed was up to date with Bet Online at SEA -3.5

Despite what SBRODDS shows in their feed, you cannot bet this game at BetOnline

yeah that line was offline for sometime...they actually had -6 open for awhile...than it moved to -7 and they took it offline afterwards

Just an hour later he backtracks and realizes the line was offline.


See this dumbfukk can't even get his story straight. He's so desperate to try and BURY someone that he ends up burying himself.

[Russian Rocket]

I love how you're desperately trying unbury yourself here wizzle, but it's not happening.

1. You don't know what I saw, when and where.
2. You thought that the -3.5 line was appropriate for this matchup
3. You got buried and laughed at once again and it's time for you to crawl back under that rock and start pretending that you know how to gamble

C YA!

[manny24]

Rockles got the golden horseshoe right now look at all those poker badges skin!

[SEAHAWKHARRY]

Its 3.5
Twatzille

[Russian Rocket]

Its 3.5
Twatzille

I like that new name for him Harry- Twatzille. It fits him perfectly!

I use the less advanced one with him - SNITCHarella...he absolutely hates that one though and usually goes to prolong hiding afterwards

[POOLSIDE]

Wizzle reminds me of the girl in this video. Seriously thinking you're the one looking good here?

http://www.dailywire.com/news/8719/watch-sjw-woman-berate-lyft-driver-over-his-chase-stephens

[unde0087]

I actually don't think I got an edge...I asked a simple question about the line that I thought was questionable.

And I was looking for an opinion from people who actually BET football.

An NOT from someone who pretends to bet...not from someone who creates 20 season long threads and abandons each and everyone of them when he starts to lose and definitely not from someone who snitches on other posters when they're mean to him.

You can now go and wipe that Russian c u m off your mouth boy...don't forget to let us know what you're gonna bet for this game (Ticket included)

rocket, that image never gets old.

[Russian Rocket]

rocket, that image never gets old.

It really doesn't man ...I need to make a new one for Snitcharella though- Just waiting on him to start his 1st season-long thread

[KVB]

Wilson has a sprained ankle as is expected to play. There are a few other injuries but I still don't see a line in a lot of places and must be missing something. There seems to be uncertainty on the book's end.

[Russian Rocket]

Wilson has a sprained ankle as is expected to play. There are a few other injuries but I still don't see a line in a lot of places and must be missing something. There seems to be uncertainty on the book's end.

what do you think about that total of 39½?

[SEAHAWKHARRY]

Im gonna buy the half point take Seattle -3 rams just look dead in the water gurley couldnt run against a midlevel run defense he might be taking a step back i tnink tnis runs up to 5 by sunday Russian
Btw wilsons backup was flawless in preseason and can throw a pigskin for sure

[MickeyMan]

Wizzle you know you have to re-evaluate things when that crackhead Sweep is on your side.

At first I couldn't tell if sweep had cancer or was a meth addict, but after seeing that video of his buddy Lkid literally crying on a video that they made together on who knows what sort of drugs because he got banned from sbr, I knew it was the latter.

[t-wizzle]

Wizzle you know you have to re-evaluate things when that crackhead Sweep is on your side.

At first I couldn't tell if sweep had cancer or was a meth addict, but after seeing that video of his buddy Lkid literally crying on a video that they made together on who knows what sort of drugs because he got banned from sbr, I knew it was the latter.

It's not about taking sides Mickey. The only thing that matters in this thread is that rocket was dumb enough to actually think Seattle was a 3.5 pt fave next week when in reality, that line was proven to be available nowhere.

[Russian Rocket]

This dumbfukk doesn't even realize the opening line was released prior to last night's game.

Didn't you post this early today retard?
the dumbass SNITCH continues to prove how fukking clueless he is on the subject...Matty boy just tell us what number will make you happy for next Sunday's game- you'll lose regardless of what side you pick















I suspect that after this there will be silence from our RAT...that will last for days...or weeks...or months - until I bump this thread once again to laugh at his sorry clueless ass.

[t-wizzle]

Didn't you post this early today retard?
the dumbass SNITCH continues to prove how fukking clueless he is on the subject...Matty boy just tell us what number will make you happy for next Sunday's game- you'll lose regardless of what side you pick

You've already made it clear you think Seattle should be -13.5 so we should be expecting a large wager once the books come out with a line.

[t-wizzle]

Rocket is editing posts 17 minutes after the fact. Fukkin guy is definitely sitting at his computer hitting the refresh button over and over again.

[Russian Rocket]

You've already made it clear you think Seattle should be -13.5 so we should be expecting a large wager once the books come out with a line.

and that's how the surrender looks like Ladies and Gentlemen

Airbetting fraud who's been literately dismembered here by anyone who bets real money and posts tickets, now wants to see my wager.

Are we going to play this game again Wizzle? Didn't you learn a hard lesson about 4 months ago when you questioned my hockey bet?

I'm going to wait for you RAT to show us a ticket of you wager...and then maybe...and that's a big MAYBE, I'll post something for ya.




PS: guys like me don't manually refresh the page- we write a little snippet for ourselves that does the refresh for us...try to suck in this shit for a minute yeeeer clueless uneducated hillbilly

[Russian Rocket]

This dumbfukk doesn't even realize the opening line was released prior to last night's game.

The only thing that matters in this thread is that rocket was dumb enough to actually think Seattle was a 3.5 pt fave next week when in reality, that line was proven to be available nowhere.

HAHAHAHAHAHA WHAT A CLUELESS AND CONFUSED THIS FUKKING BITCH IS

[KVB]

what do you think about that total of 39½?

It’s only week two so it’s tough to form an opinion. From a numbers perspective, here’s my research so far. There are many ways to handicap, you know that, and here’s a sample of them.

First there is an unsophisticated group of bettors who use a lot of common stats, it doesn’t matter which ones, and a lot of averages to come to a number. It’s absolutely non-predictive, but worth a look because it represents a very public type gauge, taking into account some quantified public perception; it is especially helpful when graphed over time. That forecast of the unsophisticated bettors give Seattle a 20-13 win. That’s only 33 points.

Now the next forecast is by far the sharpest year to year, long term forecast. It tends to follow wild market swings, having bad streaks or sets of bets being followed by good ones. I’ve seen less and less middle of the road weeks and sometimes it takes patience but it gets there. Truthfully, the forecast is dynamic, meant to be played against a sharper market, and is really most effective after 4 weeks of data. At that point, sharper participants enter the marketplace. It is weaker in the early season but still worth a look. That forecast has Seattle winning 20-7, not far from the above forecast…and only 27 points.

Now let’s look at a third forecast. Here, we take into account a number of statistics and player matchups to get a little more sophisticated. It is not as dynamic as the last but really stacks some relevant percentages, giving a great start to work from. In terms of TOTALS, this forecast is often in line with the opening lines, even early in the season. This forecast has Los Angeles winning with 21 points, and Seattle scoring 17 or 20 points, both cases with essentially equal probability. That’s 38 or 41 points, and it happens to encircle the 39.5 (the raw score had a total of 40.0 points exactly.)

It is only week two and both of the latter forecasts will get much more competitive as the season progresses. They simply aren’t as good early in the season but I can see why the line is at 39.5 (see forecast 3 and consider teaser numbers). I can also see why there will be pressure on the UNDER (I think we all can, especially given the Monday night debacle.)

But the NFL can only drop a line so low before OVER bets are triggered. It makes no difference to market moving money whether this line is at was at 38.5 or 40.5. Putting it in the middle of this “no-man’s zone” is an early feeler, a test to some bettors but it sidelines anyone approaching that 3^rd style forecast, forcing them to gamble. It also has protection from some teaser odds. So it looks like the books really want to split the money.

In reality, the books know money is coming on the UNDER and that line could test 38. At 38, some OVER buying begins to trigger, regardless of forecast. But if it were to press through to 37 then that triggers the kind of buying that tends to win bets…the best number after public steam has pushed the line.

Remember, triggering those OVER buys also stops UNDER orders as well. I suspect the books have every intention of playing with this total number in order to generate action. I would also suspect that they will carefully tier down on UNDER moves so as not to trigger those automatic OVER bets, or move quickly to mitigate them. If this appears to be happening then, depending on other general market factors, I may be in the market for an OVER.

There should be no hurry to get the UNDER, the game is not ending in 39 points. In my opinion, the UNDER doesn’t lose “value” until 38. If the answer is indeed the UNDER, you know it’s going to be an ass game, killing the teaser in the process and giving everyone what they expect.

Speaking of significant numbers and teasers, if the books go with 39.5, I wonder how many 6 point teasers this weekend will have UNDER 45.5.

Sometimes the books will “sell” plays to the marketplace, sometimes it works out for the player, sometimes it doesn’t. But make no mistake, the book is keeping track.

[TheMoneyShot]

Jeff Fisher looked like an a$$hole on Monday Night Football.

[sweep]

yeah that line was offline for sometime...they actually had -6 open for awhile...than it moved to -7 and they took it offline afterwards

No shit Sherlock, stupid russian twink. Even if u could bet into it, limits would be peanuts. Go get your skates outa mommys basement, nhl right around the corner you square peg

[Russian Rocket]

Brokedikk JUNKIE with a needle in his arm still cannot afford a two-bill donation to a children's charity...WHAT A FUKK UP!!!

Pay what you owe TWAT and stop begging for points on the forum, before I call your MOM and ask her to kick you out of that shit hole that you call home.

FOR SALE: Pizza Poker Entry: Sunday 6/26

Whoever needs the password ship me 50betpoints and pm

First to ship 200 gets my seat....leggo!

[Russian Rocket]

Even if u could bet into it, limits would be peanuts.

the low limits that your sorry janitor ass cannot afford

[sweep]

Transfer #12699519
Amount 111
Withdraw Account Russian Rocket
Deposit Account Sports Book Review
Date 9/12/2016 7:45:52 PM
Type Sportsbook Withdraw
Notes Points transfer to sportsbook.

[Russian Rocket]

Can this hillbilly really be this stupid?



PIZZA PIZZA lowlife!

---

You are the lowest SCUM on this forum...you can't get any lower than stiffing children's charity, junkie

Na zdorovie!

[JayDr3am]

Jeff Fisher looked like an a$$hole on Monday Night Football.

this post made me laugh, he really did

[Jayvegas420]

Whats wrong with janitors?

[PorkChop]

Vegas yet to even open this line. Only NFL game not available yet Sunday

(it will be Seattle - 6 / 39)

[sweep]

Rockles got the golden horseshoe right now look at all those poker badges skin!

Silly russian has no life hence all the poker badges..

Last time his dick got wet was in a rain storm

[manny24]

Whats wrong with janitors?

nothing at all Jay as long as they act lije men and honor their ewagers

[Russian Rocket]

Whats wrong with janitors?

broke dikk janitors like lowlife perma-fried junkie sweep, who cannot afford their own food and still at the age 40 live at their moms' house, shouldn't be allowed to make bets on this site

other than that, there is absolutely nothing wrong with them Jay

[sweep]

nothing at all Jay as long as they act lije men and honor their ewagers

Father of the year checking in, puts videos of his 8 year old on a degenerate gambling forum LOL.

WHITE TRASH

[Russian Rocket]

WHAT A PATHETIC LOWLIFE POINTS BEGGAR & A CHARITY STIFF!

[Russian Rocket]

you really can't make this shit up with this dirty ugly piece of shit scumbag

[sweep]

respect the hustle rocket, this forum is based on points. You seemed to have forgot that now that u made all these imaginary friends



ROFLMAO