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  • Winner_13
    SBR MVP
    • 01-04-10
    • 1744

    #1
    Stock question
    Why does the price of silver and gold go up when the economy is doing bad?
    Is it because rich people know that their money is not going to be worth as much because of inflation that they are buying gold and silver??


    thanks SBR
  • fishmonger
    SBR MVP
    • 12-31-08
    • 1492

    #2
    Because when the shit hits the fan and money isn't worth shit people with gold and silver will have the simplest form of currency. But if it REALLY hits the fan those things will not be worth anything either. Food, water, and firearms will be the forms of currency. It will be like the new series "Falling Skies" but no aliens. Worst case though, it should never happen.
    Comment
    • MartinBlank
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 07-20-08
      • 8382

      #3
      Fishmonger is right....

      They can hoard all the gold and silver they want---if the economy worsens to the point where those are the only currencies being traded---they better hope that gold can be melted down and formed into giant f'in rocks-----because the shit will really be hitting the fan.

      I like the "Falling Skies" reference-----add Zombieland in there as well, or Mad Max.

      By the way Monger-----The David Lo Pan avatar kicks ass.
      Comment
      • jjgold
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 07-20-05
        • 388179

        #4
        I need Gold to go down like 50 bucks

        I am short and in fukkin trouble

        Common one time
        Comment
        • Winner_13
          SBR MVP
          • 01-04-10
          • 1744

          #5
          could happen short term, but long term gold goes to like $2500-3000.

          gdluck JJ
          Comment
          • jarvol
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 09-13-10
            • 6074

            #6
            Because every fiat currency since the Roman empire has failed and failed miserably. You only need to view the Ron Paul/Ben Bernanke exchange yesterday to see how the USD is crumbling and will continue to do so.
            Comment
            • jarvol
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 09-13-10
              • 6074

              #7
              Originally posted by jjgold
              I need Gold to go down like 50 bucks

              I am short and in fukkin trouble

              Common one time
              So you are short gold and long the Euro??? Your investments may even be worse than your bets.
              Comment
              • Waterstpub87
                SBR MVP
                • 09-09-09
                • 4102

                #8
                It might be a good thing to be short gold. If the debt ceiling is resolved you will see a lot of short term movement into equities and away from gold.
                Comment
                • jarvol
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 09-13-10
                  • 6074

                  #9
                  Originally posted by Waterstpub87
                  It might be a good thing to be short gold. If the debt ceiling is resolved you will see a lot of short term movement into equities and away from gold.
                  You can lose alot of money in 2 weeks......but hey I applaud you guys wanting to call the top of the 8 year gold bull market.
                  Comment
                  • Waterstpub87
                    SBR MVP
                    • 09-09-09
                    • 4102

                    #10
                    Originally posted by jarvol
                    You can lose alot of money in 2 weeks......but hey I applaud you guys wanting to call the top of the 8 year gold bull market.
                    Uh huh. Just like there was perma-bulls on housing for longer then that. Gold doesn't have cash flows or pay dividends.

                    In the words of Warren Buffet "The problem with commodities is that you are betting on what someone else would pay for them in six months. The commodity itself isn’t going to do anything for you….it is an entirely different game to buy a lump of something and hope that somebody else pays you more for that lump two years from now than it is to buy something that you expect to produce income for you over time.”

                    But hey, even Hitler gets Margin Calls
                    Comment
                    • jarvol
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 09-13-10
                      • 6074

                      #11
                      Originally posted by Waterstpub87
                      Uh huh. Just like there was perma-bulls on housing for longer then that. Gold doesn't have cash flows or pay dividends.

                      In the words of Warren Buffet "The problem with commodities is that you are betting on what someone else would pay for them in six months. The commodity itself isn’t going to do anything for you….it is an entirely different game to buy a lump of something and hope that somebody else pays you more for that lump two years from now than it is to buy something that you expect to produce income for you over time.”
                      People have been saying that for what.......5, 6, 7 years?

                      Just keep buying your Microsofts and Ciscos.
                      Comment
                      • NYSportsGuy210
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 11-07-09
                        • 11347

                        #12
                        Bottom line is precious metals will always go higher in value in the long-run because of the fact that they are "precious" metals. The name in itself implies that these metals get scarcer and scarcer every year because they cannot be made artificially. So no matter what happens, the prices of gold and silver for the long-run will always go up as compared to any sort of temporary fiat currency.
                        Comment
                        • BettingGeek
                          Restricted User
                          • 10-07-10
                          • 3555

                          #13
                          Originally posted by jjgold
                          I need Gold to go down like 50 bucks

                          I am short and in fukkin trouble

                          Common one time
                          Big mistake shorting gold, coach ...
                          Get your ass out ... NOW!!!
                          Comment
                          • Deep_Rest
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 11-29-10
                            • 841

                            #14
                            I sold all my gold, stocks, and converted all my currency into Nuka-Cola caps. Going down into Vault-66 in a month or so.
                            Comment
                            • Gee
                              SBR MVP
                              • 04-08-10
                              • 4547

                              #15
                              Originally posted by Winner_13
                              Why does the price of silver and gold go up when the economy is doing bad? Is it because rich people know that their money is not going to be worth as much because of inflation that they are buying gold and silver?? thanks SBR
                              Supply and Demand. All the monkeys who believe silver and gold are hedges against inflation start scrambling to buy.

                              Gold is never a horrible investment though, but there are better.
                              Comment
                              • Balco10
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 09-11-10
                                • 5478

                                #16
                                Watch Tech sky rocket through the rest of the summer. Google up $66 after hours. Apple could easily see $400 by year end.
                                A deal will be made for the worst or better. Either way metals are golden!
                                Comment
                                • dabomguy11
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 01-28-11
                                  • 558

                                  #17
                                  It is also related to the fact that as inflation devalues our dollar, it takes more dollars to buy the same amount of gold, thus increasing the price of gold compared to the dollar.
                                  Comment
                                  • Balco10
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 09-11-10
                                    • 5478

                                    #18
                                    Gold at $2500 by Dec 21st 2012...show be a great place to be and enjoy social unrest!
                                    Oh my god are we in the Jimmy Carter days again???

                                    My 4 years son ask me if Jimmy was crocked?
                                    Comment
                                    • eleuropeano
                                      SBR Sharp
                                      • 05-06-11
                                      • 392

                                      #19
                                      Gold has a fixed supply. Can't produce more of it. With a currency, on the other hand, just watch Bernanke crank the printing presses with another quantitative easing program. So you can't devalue gold artificially, like you can a currency.
                                      Comment
                                      • jjgold
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 07-20-05
                                        • 388179

                                        #20
                                        I think Gold and other commodities now are over valued

                                        Its speculators just driving prices up or should i say gamblers
                                        Comment
                                        • gamemastere
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 09-15-10
                                          • 1546

                                          #21
                                          everyone should sell there gold and buy SBR points
                                          Comment
                                          • Waterstpub87
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 09-09-09
                                            • 4102

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by gamemastere
                                            everyone should sell there gold and buy SBR points
                                            Comment
                                            • sprinter319
                                              SBR Rookie
                                              • 07-08-11
                                              • 7

                                              #23
                                              Bernanke has been hinting at firing up the printing press for Round 3 of Quantitative Easing...aka there's going to be a lot more dollars in circulation soon, which lowers the overall value of the dollar, which makes hard assets and commodities like oil, gold, silver, copper, even wheat go up in price.
                                              Comment
                                              • jarvol
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 09-13-10
                                                • 6074

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by jjgold
                                                I think Gold and other commodities now are over valued

                                                Its speculators just driving prices up or should i say gamblers
                                                Always best to let price action dictate your trade than trying to catch a falling knife. Why would you get short before their prices start to go down? Gold has gone straight up for 2 weeks since it bottomed at the same place it did back in May. Dumb, dumb trade to get short before it broke that support without a tight stop.
                                                Comment
                                                • jarvol
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 09-13-10
                                                  • 6074

                                                  #25
                                                  Looks like shorting commodites are gonna kill some goons again today.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • MEATHEAD
                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                    • 08-16-10
                                                    • 309

                                                    #26
                                                    I've got a few oz's of gold I bought back in the 90's for around 300 a oz. Seems like a good investment so far.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • alling
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 05-13-10
                                                      • 1405

                                                      #27
                                                      metals and oil are the next bubble
                                                      Comment
                                                      • jarvol
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 09-13-10
                                                        • 6074

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by alling
                                                        metals and oil are the next bubble
                                                        LOL! They have a long ways to go before they enter bubble territory then since oil was at $147 a couple of years ago and silver was nearly $50 just a few months ago.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • jarvol
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 09-13-10
                                                          • 6074

                                                          #29
                                                          Another day, another dollar lost by jjgold shorting gold. Fading his investments is even better than fading his spreadsheet.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Iced
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 01-04-11
                                                            • 1614

                                                            #30
                                                            Gold has continued to soar, passing over $1600 per ounce for the first time in history.

                                                            I think it will hit $1700 per ounce over the next year.

                                                            The dollar and euro are -EV, gold and silver are +EV.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • agharah1
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 09-07-10
                                                              • 2304

                                                              #31
                                                              Realistically, precious metals aren't so much a hedge against inflation as they are a hedge against economic uncertainty. Inflation is related to an expansion of the monetary supply, and if you want to protect your wealth from inflation then the most effective way to do so is to follow all that new money. If it goes to stocks, go there. If it goes to oil, go there. If it goes to China or Brazil, go there.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • dice
                                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                                • 11-28-09
                                                                • 669

                                                                #32
                                                                All valuation of commodities and currencies are "perceived" value. Since the dollar is no longer guaranteed by gold, there is no true valuation relationship between gold and the dollar. The U.S. dollar went off the gold standard in the 1970s. We have a gold and silver bubble, new buyers beware. Could the price of gold go higher? Yes. Could the price of gold go lower? Yes.

                                                                With this being said... is the U.S. ready to see inflation and devaluation of the dollar? Likely. Will investing in gold save you? Unlikely.

                                                                Hope this answers your question.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • scratbandit
                                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                                  • 09-07-09
                                                                  • 548

                                                                  #33
                                                                  I bought aug. 159 puts on the gld. In the short term I.e. next 5 weeks we should see a dip to about 1555.75 JJ... for support so I think you are correct. Did you use options as I am assuming you probably did. As soon as the debt deal is signed we should be ok. We have a choppy week ahead that is for sure. We have a strong earning this week with over 100 companies reporting so hopefully gold will hold in the 1600 1615 range for the rest of the week. Its possible resistance is 1653 so there is some upside potential there. Good trade for the short term.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Deep_Rest
                                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                                    • 11-29-10
                                                                    • 841

                                                                    #34
                                                                    All this up and down action is a day traders wet dream. All-in guys!
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • NYSportsGuy210
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 11-07-09
                                                                      • 11347

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Those ca$h for gold guys are making out like bandits.
                                                                      Comment
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