2012-13 NFL picks

**Dfjay9** · 01-20-13, 09:42 PM

Originally posted by Dexter

lol....9 is no different then 7.5.

I think we differ here. I view 3, 4, 6, 7, 9, and 10 as key numbers. With the big ones being 3, 7, and 10 of course.

**No coincidences** · 01-20-13, 09:53 PM

Well that sucked. Thought I was cruising at the half.

Pats always do this when I back them.

**No coincidences** · 01-20-13, 10:00 PM

Starting to think Ray Lewis literally made a deal with the devil.

**BigDofBA** · 01-20-13, 10:00 PM

The Pats do the same thing to me. If I bet against them, it's like 35-0 before I can blink an eye.

If I back them, Brady becomes human and starts throwing picks, and their defense can't stop anyone.

**No coincidences** · 01-20-13, 10:01 PM

Originally posted by BigDofBA

The Pats do the same thing to me. If I bet against them, it's like 35-0 before I can blink an eye.

If I back them, Brady becomes human and starts throwing picks, and their defense can't stop anyone.

It's happened literally every time I've bet them, which isn't much.

**BigDofBA** · 01-20-13, 10:03 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

Starting to think Ray Lewis literally made a deal with the devil.

Yeah, this Ravens team has had injury issues too.

Also, this isn't a great Ravens defense like they have had in the past. I have no idea how they kept the Patriots under 14. This Ravens defense ranked 17th in the league.

**No coincidences** · 01-20-13, 10:06 PM

1-1, +0.6U today
106-84, +40.33U thread

**PAULYPOKER** · 01-20-13, 10:45 PM

Originally posted by Dexter

lol....9 is no different then 7.5. im not sure why people view 9 as this big/huge #....the fact that this stayed under 10 was the most telling part of this movement.

pauly - do you remember my 15/1 ravens play to win the superbowl?

i would bump it but bumping your own posts is kind of toolish...

Maybe for you but I grin when I win especially my 9-1 playoff record with futures cashing out the ass to boot..............

**Dexter** · 01-20-13, 10:57 PM

Originally posted by PAULYPOKER

Maybe for you but I grin when I win especially my 9-1 playoff record with futures cashing out the ass to boot..............

should i hedge my 15/1 ravens play or hammer the purple some more?

youre a steelers fan, so you're not bias...

(note ray lewis picture hanging above paulys bed)**

**PAULYPOKER** · 01-20-13, 10:59 PM

Originally posted by Dexter

should i hedge my 15/1 ravens play or hammer the purple some more?

youre a steelers fan, so you're not bias...

(note ray lewis picture hanging above paulys bed)**

The RaYvens will not be denied period

**No coincidences** · 02-03-13, 12:10 AM

SF -165 (6.6U to win 4)

Hate to be on the same play as Landers, but it is what it is.

**detroitlionsfan** · 02-03-13, 12:17 AM

Originally posted by No coincidences

SF -165 (6.6U to win 4)

Hate to be on the same play as Landers, but it is what it is.

were did you get that line ?

**No coincidences** · 02-03-13, 12:48 AM

Originally posted by detroitlionsfan

were did you get that line ?

Blowdog.

**Dexter** · 02-03-13, 01:42 AM

Originally posted by No coincidences

SF -165 (6.6U to win 4)

Hate to be on the same play as Landers, but it is what it is.

why would you lay such a heavy price in a game (superbowl) where the winner typically wins straight up? i dont get this play at all, especially considering this is not a must win for you...unless your factoring other sports in that you're cold in?

**jihadvillager** · 02-03-13, 10:52 AM

probably doesnt see vegas paying out the + money public moneyline ravens bet on such a big game

**italianbandit** · 02-03-13, 12:57 PM

Good luck coins, the Niners will win, but I think the best bet was them at -3.5. They should win by 10-14 points. Their defense should shine here. Have a fun Super Bowl.

**No coincidences** · 02-03-13, 01:19 PM

Originally posted by Dexter

why would you lay such a heavy price in a game (superbowl) where the winner typically wins straight up? i dont get this play at all, especially considering this is not a must win for you...unless your factoring other sports in that you're cold in?

Just to be on the safe side.

Adding four more units at -170 right now (6.8 to win 4).

**No coincidences** · 02-03-13, 05:55 PM

Pinny's at +188/-210 vs. Bovada's +150/-170.

Unbelievable. 40 cents difference.

**BigDofBA** · 02-03-13, 06:02 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

Pinny's at +188/-210 vs. Bovada's +150/-170.

Unbelievable. 40 cents difference.

Bovada's lines are always off like this. It's an uber square book. They usually juice the square side and give you a better number. Right now they're giving you the Niners at -4 (-115) when it's -4.5 (-110) everywhere else.

Also, this is the most publicly bet on event ever so I wouldn't by half point line moves as most this money coming in is public money.

Just my opinion.

**No coincidences** · 02-03-13, 06:04 PM

Originally posted by BigDofBA

Bovada's lines are always off like this. It's an uber square book. They usually juice the square side and give you a better number. Right now they're giving you the Niners at -4 (-115) when it's -4.5 everywhere else.

Bovada's lines typically offer better numbers on a dog -- not a favorite. Especially strange when the dog is relatively popular with the public. And you rarely, if ever, see a 40 cent difference in the ML -- especially for a big game, let alone the Super Bowl.

Sharp books are either incredibly confident in the Niners, or taking a huge gamble that they'll win and cover.

**No coincidences** · 02-03-13, 06:09 PM

Greek ML -220 vs. Bovada's -170.

You rarely, if ever, see this kind of difference in any event on a ML this low.

**BigDofBA** · 02-03-13, 06:18 PM

Well anyway, I'm the Ravens tonight but GL with your play.

I will say that I felt a lot better knowing Landers was on the 49ers ML.

**No coincidences** · 02-03-13, 06:19 PM

Originally posted by BigDofBA

Well anyway, I'm the Ravens tonight but GL with your play.

I will say that I felt a lot better knowing Landers was on the 49ers ML.

Good luck Big D.

**BigDofBA** · 02-03-13, 06:26 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

Good luck Big D.

I'm always a sucker for the overtime prop every year. It's +850.

I'm not playing it this year so the game will probably goto overtime. LOL.

**No coincidences** · 02-03-13, 06:43 PM

SF ML +120 live (5U to win 6)

**italianbandit** · 02-04-13, 11:11 AM

I didn't think the Niners defense would give up 34 points( including that KO return). Ravens played well. You should have cashed though, Crabtree was held.

**No coincidences** · 02-04-13, 11:25 AM

Originally posted by italianbandit

I didn't think the Niners defense would give up 34 points( including that KO return). Ravens played well. You should have cashed though, Crabtree was held.

Yeah, the Niners D was the biggest problem not only last night, but really the entire postseason. Very disappointing given how well they played during the regular season. I think Justin Smith's injury was worse than he led on, and Aldon Smith was a ghost out there. Not impressed by SF's secondary. Every time the Niners needed a stop, they didn't get it. Just surprised by how pedestrian they looked this entire postseason.

Oh well. Live and learn.

**italianbandit** · 02-04-13, 12:27 PM

Patrick Willis also underperformed.

**PAULYPOKER** · 02-04-13, 12:36 PM

At least you only pissed 45% of your YTD winnings away.............

**No coincidences** · 02-04-13, 01:55 PM

Originally posted by PAULYPOKER

At least you only pissed 45% of your YTD winnings away.............

Again, act like you've been there before.

You claim to do this for a living and it's your only source of income, yet here you are -- no surprise -- trolling threads at SBR. You have issues, man. Serious issues. I'd like to know what the real story is here, because it ain't the bullshit you're selling. Have you ever posted an actual ticket or proof of any big bet here? Ever?