on3's MLB 2026 Opening Day System

[TrojanMan8]

Disclaimer: I'm not grecycle and would not do as good of a job as he does every year, so I will gladly hand it over to him or abandon this thread if he wants to resume.

Link to last year's thread: https://www.sportsbookreview.com/for...ing-day-system

[TrojanMan8]

Explanation of the system summarized from last year's thread:

Regular System:

• 3- or 4-game series (only first 3 games are played)
• First game has a home favorite above -145
• Odds above -190 are played on the runline instead

Filtered System:

• Same criteria as the regular system, AND:
• First game total over 9

5/2 System:

• Same criteria as the filtered system
• Series starts on the B bet after the A bet loses
• B bet to win 5 units and C bet to win back lost B bet plus 2 units

The Regular and Filtered systems are played using labby lines. The 5/2 system is played separately.

The labby lines are used for a combination of Regular and Filtered plays. Filtered plays are also Regular plays, so the system effectively plays them twice with the labby. (The 5/2 are Filtered plays that lost the A bet, so you would technically be playing the B and C bets of the Filtered plays 3 times if playing the 5/2 and the labby lines).

The labby lines need two numbers for each play. Tracking for this system uses 10s when adding new numbers to the line and 20 is treated as 1U (2x10), but your units may vary. A win eliminates two numbers from the labby line and a loss is added as a new number to the labby line. New numbers (10) are added as needed for new plays or to spread risk. It may be easiest to consider all plays as 1 total labby line as opposed to having separate labby lines for A, B, and C bets.

Using opening day as an example, there were 3 regular plays so the system started with 6 10s.
10 10 10 10 10 10

SEA and LAD won, while KC lost, so 4 numbers are eliminated and the KC loss (31.60 at -158 odds) is added to the line.
10 10 10 10 10 10 31.60

At the end of the day, there were 3 numbers left on the line: 10 10 31.60. The day 2 line (post #13) shows there were 5 total numbers; 3 on the A bet and 2 on the B bet. This means that 2 10s were then added to the lines, giving:
10 10 31.60 10 10

To spread risk, the numbers are averaged. The total line is 71.60 (4x10 + 31.60) divided by the 5 numbers, giving a new line of 5 x 14.32. Day 2 shows an A bet and a B bet and numbers are moved between the A, B, and C lines as needed. Therefore, 2 numbers are shown on the B line and 3 were left on the A line, giving:
Labby Line (20$ = 1unit)
(A) 3 * 14.32
(B) 2 * 14.32
(C)

For the next play, the numbers are rounded up to the next tenth for the next play, so TB is at 1.44U = 14.40 x 2 = 28.80. TB lost the run line last night, so 28.80 will now be added to the line.
14.32 14.32 14.32 14.32 14.32 28.80.

To summarize the lines above:
Day 1 before games: 10 10 10 10 10 10
Day 1 after games (2W, 1L, 2 numbers added): 10 10 31.60 10 10
Day 2 before games (Day 1 after line averaged): 14.32 14.32 14.32 14.32 14.32
Day 2 after games (1L): 14.32 14.32 14.32 14.32 14.32 28.80

[TrojanMan8]

UPDATED for 03/26/2026

System(s) record Chase :

Regular system: 0-0; Profit: 0 units
Filtered System: 0-0; Profit: 0 units
5/2 chase: 0-0; profit: 0 units

Total (3 systems) : 0-0; Profit: 0 unit (Series chase lost : )

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)

Game 1 (A) win = 0-0; 0-0; 0-0
Game 2 (B) win = 0-0; 0-0; 0-0
Game 3 (C) win = 0-0; 0-0

Labby Line ($20 = 1unit)
(A) 10-10-10-10 (10x16 total)
(B)
(C)


REGULAR FOR 03/26/2026

(A) BAL ML -145 to win 1U
(A) CHC RL +113 to risk 1U
(A) HOU ML -186 to win 1U
(A) LAD RL -136 to win 1U
(A) MIL RL +113 to risk 1U
(A) PHI ML -175 to win 1U
(A) SEA RL -186 to win 1U

Close play (ML vs no play)
Close play (RL vs ML)
Play updated since original post

Filtered
(A) LAD RL -136 to win 1U

5/2
No Play

[TrojanMan8]

One other note. I think grecycle used a specific book to track. I remember not having access to that book, so I'm using scores and odds.

[BanjoHitter58]

Happy 2026 season!! Thanks Tojan for doing this. Much apprecated!!

I'm pretty sure he used pinnacle.com

[TrojanMan8]

That rings a bell. Since I don't have access to Pinnacle, I used scoresandodds.com to track publicly since it can be validated by everyone.

Obviously, lines vary with each book and folks can adjust their plays based on their own lines, risk tolerance, etc.

[TrojanMan8]

UPDATED for 03/27/2026

System(s) record Chase :

Regular system: 0-0; Profit: 0 units
Filtered System: 0-0; Profit: 0 units
5/2 chase: 0-0; profit: 0 units

Total (3 systems) : 0-0; Profit: 0 unit (Series chase lost : )

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)

Game 1 (A) win = 0-0; 0-0; 0-0
Game 2 (B) win = 0-0; 0-0; 0-0
Game 3 (C) win = 0-0; 0-0

Labby Line (20$ = 1unit)
(A) 6 * 16.44
(B) 4 * 16.44
(C)

REGULAR FOR 03/27/2026

(B) HOU ML -169 to win 1.65U
(B) SEA ML -175 to win 1.65U
(A) ATL ML -143 to win 1.65U no play
(A) MIA RL +109 to risk 1.65U
(A) TOR ML -169 to risk 1.65U

Close play (ML vs no play)
Close play (RL vs ML)
Play updated since original post

Filtered
No Play - watching TOR O/U

5/2
No Play

[TrojanMan8]

ATL is now below -145 and may not be a play today. Will check again closer to first pitch.

[TrojanMan8]

UPDATED for 03/28/2026

System(s) record Chase :

Regular system: 0-0; Profit: 0 units
Filtered System: 0-0; Profit: 0 units
5/2 chase: 0-0; profit: 0 units

Total (3 systems) : 0-0; Profit: 0 unit (Series chase lost : )

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)

Game 1 (A) win = 0-0; 0-0; 0-0
Game 2 (B) win = 0-0; 0-0; 0-0
Game 3 (C) win = 0-0; 0-0

Labby Line ($20 = 1unit)
(A) 2 * 23.43
(B) 4 * 23.43
(C) 2 * 23.43

Regular
(C) HOU ML -136 to win 2.35U
(B) CHC RL -118 to win 2.35U
(B) MIA RL +113 to risk 2.35U

Close play - RL vs ML

Filtered
No Play

5/2
No Play

[loutrigs]

You guys need to fix the records

[TrojanMan8]

You guys need to fix the records

Records are updated when all series are completed, so usually Sundays, Wednesdays, and Thursdays.

[takethepnts]

Records are updated when all series are completed, so usually Sundays, Wednesdays, and Thursdays.

EXCELLENT thank you .

[slewfan]

JMO

Anyone who plays a so called ''system'' is being ridiculous. Anyone who puts a system out there (especially someone else's system) is totally brain dead... Too lazy to do the handicapping work necessary to find some success...

[takethepnts]

JMO

Anyone who plays a so called ''system'' is being ridiculous. Anyone who puts a system out there (especially someone else's system) is totally brain dead... Too lazy to do the handicapping work necessary to find some success...

Everyone's entitled to their own opinion - and everyone wagers for different reasons and at different levels . Some follow it religiously , and some use it as a guide .

Others im sure just wager for a few dollars a unit and run it recreationally.

These chases have been posted since around 2009 .... for about 6 yrs longer then your account here .

No one has to follow or read anything they don't believe in
... this is the beauty..we can all make our own choices .

The system delivered 8 units I believe ( 8 and 0 ) on week one and over 5 days . Not bad . Call it BLIND luck if you will . But it makes things interesting to say fhe least.

Thats just my opinion though. To each his and her own

Have a super weekend

[Optional]

JMO

Anyone who plays a so called ''system'' is being ridiculous. Anyone who puts a system out there (especially someone else's system) is totally brain dead... Too lazy to do the handicapping work necessary to find some success...

So everyone should only think about betting how you do? "The right way"?

I'd wager the readers of a thread like this would feel sorry for a bitter angry handicapper who looks down on those that actually bet for fun and enjoyment. Some bettors prefer to spend the time you grind handicapping for yourself having a life with family or friends whilst still enjoying the excitement of a bet on ganeday.

It's just a different perspective on betting. Probably a more sensible betting perspective really.

Braindead seems a bit projective.

These guys have been enjoying their betting this way year after year after year.

[TrojanMan8]

That's the crazy thing about free will. You can pick and choose different things that may give you an edge. Some may believe in a system and some believe in handicapping by looking at stats, matchups, weather, etc. Some may even use a combination of both! Gadzooks! Regardless, these are all data points that folks may or may not use to inform themselves before wagering.

As a community, we're all looking for different insights to beat the books. Do you have a thread somewhere that can show the brain dead how to handicap? Any constructive resources that you can contribute for the lazy folks to read when they find a bit of motivation?

[TrojanMan8]

UPDATED for 03/29/2026

System(s) record Chase :

Regular system: 0-0; Profit: 0 units
Filtered System: 0-0; Profit: 0 units
5/2 chase: 0-0; profit: 0 units

Total (3 systems) : 0-0; Profit: 0 unit (Series chase lost : )

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)

Game 1 (A) win = 0-0; 0-0; 0-0
Game 2 (B) win = 0-0; 0-0; 0-0
Game 3 (C) win = 0-0; 0-0

Labby Line ($20 = 1unit)
(A) 2 * 28.15
(B) 3 * 28.15
(C)

Regular
(C) MIA RL +113 to risk 2.82U

Close play - RL vs ML

Filtered
No Play

5/2
No Play

[takethepnts]

THANKS for tracking sir.

[takethepnts]

So everyone should only think about betting how you do? "The right way"?

I'd wager the readers of a thread like this would feel sorry for a bitter angry handicapper who looks down on those that actually bet for fun and enjoyment. Some bettors prefer to spend the time you grind handicapping for yourself having a life with family or friends whilst still enjoying the excitement of a bet on ganeday.

It's just a different perspective on betting. Probably a more sensible betting perspective really.

Braindead seems a bit projective.

These guys have been enjoying their betting this way year after year after year.

SPOT ON sir. Have a super wknd .

[takethepnts]

That's the crazy thing about free will. You can pick and choose different things that may give you an edge. Some may believe in a system and some believe in handicapping by looking at stats, matchups, weather, etc. Some may even use a combination of both! Gadzooks! Regardless, these are all data points that folks may or may not use to inform themselves before wagering.

As a community, we're all looking for different insights to beat the books. Do you have a thread somewhere that can show the brain dead how to handicap? Any constructive resources that you can contribute for the lazy folks to read when they find a bit of motivation?

Exactly. Every little bit counts and the Beauty is .. if you don't agree with an angle or you don't appreciate a thread ... Click the button and move along . No need for name calling and putting people down because they may or may not operate on your wavelength.

Parents , and later good solid friends and managers taught me ... if you don't have something positive ( or nice ) to say.. say nothing .

Happy Sunday sir .

[slewfan]

So everyone should only think about betting how you do? "The right way"?

I'd wager the readers of a thread like this would feel sorry for a bitter angry handicapper who looks down on those that actually bet for fun and enjoyment. Some bettors prefer to spend the time you grind handicapping for yourself having a life with family or friends whilst still enjoying the excitement of a bet on ganeday.

It's just a different perspective on betting. Probably a more sensible betting perspective really.

Braindead seems a bit projective.

These guys have been enjoying their betting this way year after year after year.

YES....YES..... YESSSSSSS... WHATEVER YOU SAY MR BITTER ANGRY MAN...

If you don't want my opinion, then just put me on block. But you can't because you suffer from SDS...

Braindead was strong, I agree.

People can bet however they want. I'm still entitled to my opinion. Nobody asked you anyway...

[Optional]

These guys are too polite to come back at you but it needed to be done

[TrojanMan8]

UPDATED for 03/30/2026

System(s) record Chase :

Regular system: 8-1; Profit: -2.20 units
Filtered System: 1-0; Profit: 1.00 unit
5/2 chase: 0-0; profit: 0 units

Total (3 systems) : 9-1; Profit: -1.20 units (Series chase lost : MIA -6.82 units)

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)

Game 1 (A) win = 5-4; 1-0; 0-0
Game 2 (B) win = 2-2; 0-0; 0-0
Game 3 (C) win = 1-1; 0-0

Labby Line ($20 = 1unit)
(A) 20 * 16.86
(B)
(C)

Regular
(A) CHC RL +104 to risk 1.69U
(A) KC ML -168 to win 1.69U
(A) LAD RL +105 to risk 1.69U
(A) MIA ML -149 to win 1.69U
(A) MIL ML -163 to win 1.69U
(A) PHI ML -177 to win 1.69U
(A) TOR RL -131 to win 1.69U

Updated since original post

watching ML:
ATL ML -136

Filtered
(A) CHC RL +104 to risk 1.69U
(A) KC ML -168 to win 1.69U
(A) PHI ML -177 to win 1.69U

5/2
No Play

[TrojanMan8]

UPDATED for 03/31/2026

System(s) record Chase :

Regular system: 8-1; Profit: -2.20 units
Filtered System: 1-0; Profit: 1.00 unit
5/2 chase: 0-0; profit: 0 units

Total (3 systems) : 9-1; Profit: -1.20 units (Series chase lost : MIA -6.82 units)

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)

Game 1 (A) win = 5-4; 1-0; 0-0
Game 2 (B) win = 2-2; 0-0; 0-0
Game 3 (C) win = 1-1; 0-0

Labby Line ($20 = 1unit)
(A) 6 * 28.09
(B) 12 * 28.09
(C)

Regular
(B) LAD RL -126 to win 2.81U
(B) MIA ML -156 to win 2.81U
(B) MIL ML -131 to win 2.81U
(B) PHI RL +102 to risk 2.81U - close play RL vs ML
(B) TOR RL -120 to win 2.81U

Filtered
(B) PHI RL +102 to risk 2.81U - close play RL vs ML

5/2
(A) PHI RL +102 to risk 5.00U - close play RL vs ML

[TrojanMan8]

UPDATED for 04/01/2026

System(s) record Chase :

Regular system: 8-1; Profit: -2.20 units
Filtered System: 1-0; Profit: 1.00 unit
5/2 chase: 0-0; profit: 0 units

Total (3 systems) : 9-1; Profit: -1.20 units (Series chase lost : MIA -6.82 units)

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)

Game 1 (A) win = 5-4; 1-0; 0-0
Game 2 (B) win = 2-2; 0-0; 0-0
Game 3 (C) win = 1-1; 0-0

Labby Line ($20 = 1unit)
(A) 6 * 32.78
(B) 4 * 32.78
(C) 2 * 32.78

Regular
(C) PHI RL -126 to win 3.28U


Filtered
(C) PHI RL -126 to win 3.28U

5/2
(B) PHI RL -126 to win 7.00U

[slewfan]

These guys are too polite to come back at you but it needed to be done

Yah... They show more class than me. That's for sure.

[Optional]

Yah... They show more class than me. That's for sure.

We have other positives ;-)

[TrojanMan8]

UPDATED for 04/02/2026

System(s) record Chase :

Regular system: 14-2; Profit: -6.98 units
Filtered System: 3-1; Profit: -5.84 units
5/2 chase: 0-1; profit: -7.00 units

Total (3 systems) : 17-4; Profit: -19.82 units (Series chase lost : MIA -6.82 units, PHI -10.30 units, PHI -10.30 units)

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)

Game 1 (A) win = 7-9; 3-1; 0-1
Game 2 (B) win = 6-3; 0-1; 0-1
Game 3 (C) win = 1-2; 0-1

Labby Line ($20 = 1unit)
(A) 14 * 40.94
(B)
(C)

Regular
No Play


Filtered
No Play

5/2
No Play

[TrojanMan8]

UPDATED for 04/03/2026

System(s) record Chase :

Regular system: 14-2; Profit: -6.98 units
Filtered System: 3-1; Profit: -5.84 units
5/2 chase: 0-1; profit: -7.00 units

Total (3 systems) : 17-4; Profit: -19.82 units (Series chase lost : MIA -6.82 units, PHI -10.30 units, PHI -10.30 units)

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)

Game 1 (A) win = 7-9; 3-1; 0-1
Game 2 (B) win = 6-3; 0-1; 0-1
Game 3 (C) win = 1-2; 0-1

Labby Line ($20 = 1unit)
(A) 14 * 40.94
(B)
(C)

Regular
(A) DET ML -180 to win 4.10U
(A) NYY ML -168 to win 4.10U
(A) TEX ML -166 to win 4.10U

Filtered
No Play

5/2
No Play

[TrojanMan8]

UPDATED for 04/04/2026

System(s) record Chase :

Regular system: 14-2; Profit: -6.98 units
Filtered System: 3-1; Profit: -5.84 units
5/2 chase: 0-1; profit: -7.00 units

Total (3 systems) : 17-4; Profit: -19.82 units (Series chase lost : MIA -6.82 units, PHI -10.30 units, PHI -10.30 units)

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)

Game 1 (A) win = 7-9; 3-1; 0-1
Game 2 (B) win = 6-3; 0-1; 0-1
Game 3 (C) win = 1-2; 0-1

Labby Line ($20 = 1unit)
(A) 9 * 49.60
(B) 2 * 49.60
(C)

Regular
(B) TEX ML -143 to win 4.96U

Filtered
No Play

5/2
No Play

[TrojanMan8]

UPDATED for 04/05/2026

System(s) record Chase :

Regular system: 14-2; Profit: -6.98 units
Filtered System: 3-1; Profit: -5.84 units
5/2 chase: 0-1; profit: -7.00 units

Total (3 systems) : 17-4; Profit: -19.82 units (Series chase lost : MIA -6.82 units, PHI -10.30 units, PHI -10.30 units)

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)

Game 1 (A) win = 7-9; 3-1; 0-1
Game 2 (B) win = 6-3; 0-1; 0-1
Game 3 (C) win = 1-2; 0-1

Labby Line ($20 = 1unit)
(A) 10 * 57.38
(B)
(C) 2 * 57.38

Regular
(C) TEX ML -126 to win 5.74U

Filtered
No Play

5/2
No Play

[TrojanMan8]

UPDATED for 04/06/2026

System(s) record Chase :

Regular system: 16-3; Profit: -20.54 units
Filtered System: 3-1; Profit: -5.84 units
5/2 chase: 0-1; profit: -7.00 units

Total (3 systems) : 19-5; Profit: -33.38 units (Series chase lost : MIA -6.82 units, PHI -10.30 units, PHI -10.30 units, TEX -21.76 units)

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)

Game 1 (A) win = 9-10; 3-1; 0-1
Game 2 (B) win = 6-4; 0-1; 0-1
Game 3 (C) win = 1-3; 0-1

Labby Line ($20 = 1unit)
(A) 13 * 64.98
(B)
(C)

Regular
No Play

Filtered
No Play

5/2
No Play

[TrojanMan8]

UPDATED for 04/07/2026

System(s) record Chase :

Regular system: 16-3; Profit: -20.54 units
Filtered System: 3-1; Profit: -5.84 units
5/2 chase: 0-1; profit: -7.00 units

Total (3 systems) : 19-4; Profit: -33.38 units (Series chase lost : MIA -6.82 units, PHI -10.30 units, PHI -10.30 units, TEX -21.76 units)

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)

Game 1 (A) win = 9-10; 3-1; 0-1
Game 2 (B) win = 6-4; 0-1; 0-1
Game 3 (C) win = 1-3; 0-1

Labby Line ($20 = 1unit)
(A) 13 * 64.98
(B)
(C)

Regular
(A) NYM ML -155 to win 6.50U
(A) NYY RL -118 to win 6.50U

Filtered
No Play

5/2
No Play

[TrojanMan8]

UPDATED for 04/08/2026

System(s) record Chase :

Regular system: 18-3; Profit: -7.54 units
Filtered System: 3-1; Profit: -5.84 units
5/2 chase: 0-1; profit: -7.00 units

Total (3 systems) : 21-4; Profit: -20.38 units (Series chase lost : MIA -6.82 units, PHI -10.30 units, PHI -10.30 units, TEX -21.76 units)

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)

Game 1 (A) win = 11-10; 3-1; 0-1
Game 2 (B) win = 6-4; 0-1; 0-1
Game 3 (C) win = 1-3; 0-1

Labby Line ($20 = 1unit)
(A) 9 * 64.98
(B)
(C)

Regular
No Play

Filtered
No Play

5/2
No Play

[grecycle99]

Thanks Trojanman8, you are doing a great job!

I used pinnacle last year, but sites that I used for historical odds don't have pinnacle anymore. So just stick with scoresandodds!