Wizzle's 2014-2015 NBA Thread

[Seto]

Yea it's definitely possible bro. I took your squad the other night against them and it was an easy cover.

Speaking of Dallas, do they get it done tomorrow night?

I think they do. Not sure how the fact that it's a national TV game plays here.

Dirk shot 4/17 last night on basically only open shots. He's old and it's a back to back but gotta expect a bounceback from him.

Monta on the other hand is a huge question mark. Dude looked completely off last night and he probably should have sat out with that injury. I wouldn't be surprised if he sits tonight.

My favourite play today is Chicago. They're 2-5 at home and have had 4 days off for Thibs to hammer them with that. On the other hand the Nets are... the Nets. This feels like a 105-72 hammering.

[Seto]

I'll tell you what. The Jazz really fukking piss me off.

Thought of you when I saw that score

[t-wizzle]

Is SBR odds just late updating today or have a lot of lines not been released yet?

[t-wizzle]

Wizards -4.5 -110 (3x)

[Seto]

Wizards -4.5 -110 (3x)

This looks like a no-brainer. First half is probably a play too.

[t-wizzle]

This looks like a no-brainer. First half is probably a play too.

Yea I might take that too.

[t-wizzle]

Hornets -2.5 -108 (2.5x)

[t-wizzle]

Wizards -4.5 -110 (3x)

Wizards 1H -2 -110 (1x)

[t-wizzle]

Pacers +6.5 -107 (2x)
Pacers 1H +3.5 -110 (1x)

[t-wizzle]

Wizards 1H -2 -110 (1x)

You gotta be shitting me with the ending of that half. Wizards led by more than 2 the entire half.

[t-wizzle]

And now the Pacers will piss away the final 2 minutes of the half.

[t-wizzle]

Pacers lose by the hook.

It doesn't get much worse than the way it's been going lately.

[t-wizzle]

Heat +6 -109 (3.5x); ML +200 (1x)

[t-wizzle]

I am pounding the Thunder tomorrow night.

[SamDiamond]

Heat +6 -109 (3.5x); ML +200 (1x)

Didn't you pick Denver on your spreadsheet?

[t-wizzle]

Didn't you pick Denver on your spreadsheet?

Ncaab.

[SamDiamond]

Ncaab.

Come on man!

Turn this shit around.

Even though I bust balls, I am pulling for you to flip this.

[t-wizzle]

I am pounding the Thunder tomorrow night.

Thunder -2.5 -104 (15x)

If this doesn't hit I will take a break from the nba. Shit is just not going my way at the moment. This is a great spot for OKC though.

[SamDiamond]

Thunder -2.5 -104 (15x)

If this doesn't hit I will take a break from the nba. Shit is just not going my way at the moment. This is a great spot for OKC though.

Come on Man.

15 unit play?

When you're playing .5-3 units, and you're buried, and suddenly you pull out the 15 unit job?

What the fuk?

[Allure]

[GT21Megatron]

Thunder -2.5 -104 (15x)

If this doesn't hit I will take a break from the nba. Shit is just not going my way at the moment. This is a great spot for OKC though.

Cumguzzling camel jockey fuk

[Seto]

Are we buying out?

I don't feel good about this at all now.

[t-wizzle]

Are we buying out?

I don't feel good about this at all now.

Nah. I don't wanna get involved in that game. Letting it ride pal.

[t-wizzle]

Thunder -2.5 -104 (15x)

If this doesn't hit I will take a break from the nba. Shit is just not going my way at the moment. This is a great spot for OKC though.

Well looks like I'll be here after all.

I had Thunder circled for a while. The LeBron thing threw everything off but hey it still hit.

I've also had the Bulls circled for about a week or so. Not for a huge play but it's a good spot. Blazers killed them a few weeks ago in Portland.

I think Pelicans smoke the Cavs.

[Seto]

Well looks like I'll be here after all.

I had Thunder circled for a while. The LeBron thing threw everything off but hey it still hit.

I've also had the Bulls circled for about a week or so. Not for a huge play but it's a good spot. Blazers killed them a few weeks ago in Portland.

I think Pelicans smoke the Cavs.

3 days ago I had 3 games circled, Bulls over Nets yesterday, Thunder over Cavs today and Bulls over Blazers tomorrow. I really think the Bulls are gonna be a team to ride over the next few weeks. They are the ultimate regular season team after all and with Rose finally starting to stop his pussy bullshit they probably go off soon.

If I had been smart I'd be 2-0 and up huge over the last 2 days but I had to add a halftime play on the Bulls yesterday and those fukking Wizards

I agree on the Pelicans. I've had trouble judging how good they are this year but they are most definitely the play tomorrow regardless of whether LeBron suits up or not.

[t-wizzle]

3 days ago I had 3 games circled, Bulls over Nets yesterday, Thunder over Cavs today and Bulls over Blazers tomorrow. I really think the Bulls are gonna be a team to ride over the next few weeks. They are the ultimate regular season team after all and with Rose finally starting to stop his pussy bullshit they probably go off soon.

If I had been smart I'd be 2-0 and up huge over the last 2 days but I had to add a halftime play on the Bulls yesterday and those fukking Wizards

I agree on the Pelicans. I've had trouble judging how good they are this year but they are most definitely the play tomorrow regardless of whether LeBron suits up or not.

Not sure about you but the betting on bad teams has been killing me this year. I hate to admit that because I've never been afraid to put money on a shitty team in the right spot and it certainly wasn't a problem last season but this year it's killed me. I look at tomorrow's card and there's some plays that I just don't even want to touch because of how some of these teams have bit me in the ass so far.

However, I do think the Sixers can win another one tomorrow night. The Nets are in disarray and the Sixers were very close to beating them a few weeks ago. Curious to see that spread. I think whatever it is, sharps will knock it down.

[Seto]

Not sure about you but the betting on bad teams has been killing me this year. I hate to admit that because I've never been afraid to put money on a shitty team in the right spot and it certainly wasn't a problem last season but this year it's killed me. I look at tomorrow's card and there's some plays that I just don't even want to touch because of how some of these teams have bit me in the ass so far.

However, I do think the Sixers can win another one tomorrow night. The Nets are in disarray and the Sixers were very close to beating them a few weeks ago. Curious to see that spread. I think whatever it is, sharps will knock it down.

It's hard to really pinpoint one thing I've done wrong this year, particularly since I was up pretty big about 3 weeks ago after hitting that big Lakers ml in Houston.

I've made a really stupid bet here and there and had a couple bad breaks but at the end of the day I've just not been hitting plays at the rate I would've wanted to, especially the larger ones. Tonight might be the first "big" play I've won this season.

The 2 best examples would be Kings over Pacers last week and Hornets over Blazers 3 weeks ago or so. I hit both for a decent amount and honestly could've gone even bigger and they just both didn't win. Sometimes it's like that.

It's not like this season has been a disaster for me either - I'm up 4 units in the thread, just about breaking even if you include live plays with which I've struggled early kinda like last year. Frustrating after being up big earlier but it's all runs.

I'm confident we'll get going soon. Today can be a starting point. Didn't win as much as I would've wanted to with OKC but 400 is ok.

[Seto]

I liked Sacramento in this game fwiw. Initially liked Houston but just figured it was really square after having a good think about it. Leet hitting the Rockets for 5 units confirmed that.

I'm not sure if I should take them if/when Houston makes a run. Still have that stupid Pacers game in mind.

[t-wizzle]

It's hard to really pinpoint one thing I've done wrong this year, particularly since I was up pretty big about 3 weeks ago after hitting that big Lakers ml in Houston.

I've made a really stupid bet here and there and had a couple bad breaks but at the end of the day I've just not been hitting plays at the rate I would've wanted to, especially the larger ones. Tonight might be the first "big" play I've won this season.

The 2 best examples would be Kings over Pacers last week and Hornets over Blazers 3 weeks ago or so. I hit both for a decent amount and honestly could've gone even bigger and they just both didn't win. Sometimes it's like that.

It's not like this season has been a disaster for me either - I'm up 4 units in the thread, just about breaking even if you include live plays with which I've struggled early kinda like last year. Frustrating after being up big earlier but it's all runs.

I'm confident we'll get going soon. Today can be a starting point. Didn't win as much as I would've wanted to with OKC but 400 is ok.

No what's funny pal? Almost a year ago to the day, I hit a 15 unit play on OKC and it kickstarted my season. I think I was somewhere around breaking even but I took Thunder like -4 over Pacers on a Sunday afternoon and it cashed easily.

I might leave the first half plays alone. They can be profitable but getting burned twice last night was annoying and it's just not worth the time.

[Seto]

No what's funny pal? Almost a year ago to the day, I hit a 15 unit play on OKC and it kickstarted my season. I think I was somewhere around breaking even but I took Thunder like -4 over Pacers on a Sunday afternoon and it cashed easily.

I might leave the first half plays alone. They can be profitable but getting burned twice last night was annoying and it's just not worth the time.

I remember that game. I had Thunder over Pacers and Heat over Pistons both for 2.5 units and didn't break a sweat on either.

First half plays almost always seem to come down to the last 2 minutes. I wonder why I even bother with them. Even when I win them it's a massive sweat. The thing is in certain situations (when I'm afraid to lay a lot of points fullgame because of the backdoor so I try to "balance it out" with a first half play is the main one, just like that fukking Chicago game yesterday) I somehow talk myself into believing it's the right thing to do even though I don't think I've ever had success with first half bets. Would be interested to track my record with them. I doubt it's good.

What would be even more interesting would be to judge what the hell I'm afraid of not wanting to put it all on full game. I'd be very curious to know how many times I've bet half time and full game and got bailed out by the half time play. I can't think of one.

Let's try and leave them alone lol.

[t-wizzle]

The Hornets are playing a little better. Now do we avoid them given what I just said about bad teams?

[Seto]

Come to think of it, there is one excuse to bet first half - that's if you're betting on the Boston Celtics.

[Seto]

The Hornets are playing a little better. Now do we avoid them given what I just said about bad teams?

I'm not sure if they're really a bad team.

I have made it a point to avoid bad teams since last year and I think overall it's saved me money.

You like them over Memphis tomorrow? Fading Memphis at home is always a nightmare.

[t-wizzle]

I'm not sure if they're really a bad team.

I have made it a point to avoid bad teams since last year and I think overall it's saved me money.

You like them over Memphis tomorrow? Fading Memphis at home is always a nightmare.

Yea I actually think they might win that game. Crazy, I know.

[Seto]

Yea I actually think they might win that game. Crazy, I know.

A bit but I can't rule that out.

The Pistons could win in Phoenix too while we're talking crazy things. They could also lose by 60 though. Fukk them.

Think I'm gonna focus on Chicago and New Orleans tomorrow. I might not be able to resist Miami as a dog in Utah too.