DapperDan Baseball 2016
Hello Fellas, back at it again. Time to make some money.
Will post my results from years past in the next day or two.
Focused on tmrws card for now, betting a lot heavier than years past as well as doing daily fantasy lineups for baseball which I have never done before (draftkings bc I prefer two pitchers, u/n: dapperdan86)
Anyways feel free to chime in on games or fantasy ideas. In baseball I pick pretty conservatively with only 1 maybe 2 games a day, lets see if I can hold to that early on as all the day action on monday looks very appetizing, havent even really looked into those yet but will do tmrw. Anyways will post writeups for the most part in games and my average bet is 1 unit a game with an occasional 2x unit bet so nothing crazy in here folks just good ole winner picking.
4/3/16
St. Louis (+110) Risking 1 unit to win 1.1 units
Liriano has notoriously struggled early on in seasons past. Except for 2015 he had an exceptional april but pretty much before that he has always struggled. He has a 12% BB%, a 1.48 WHIP, and .328 wOBA for the month of april, last years exceptional numbers did little to sway his career failures in april. He's starting off againsts a cardinals team that can hit lefties well (especially carpenter, holiday and molina) [put them in your fantasy lineups. Lirano should be a little erratic and Cardinals were the 7th best in the league in walk % as they walked 8.2% of the time. They are familiar with lirano and have hit him well historically with a .328 wOBA on 230 PA and have racked up walks on him with a 10% BB%. On the other side we have Wainwright returning to form. Someone who is very experienced at opening day success, sporting a 2-1 record over the last 3 years starting every opening day, with only 4 walks, 21 SOs, a 1.22 WHIP and 1.48 FIP. As a team Cardinals are much better at starting off the season in April over the last 3 years, with a .321 wOBA and 2.6/9.3 Off/Def (fangraphs stats) compared to the pirates who are .276 wOBA and -21.8/1.1 Off/Def.
Any questions, comments, observations feel free to chime in,
I usually fizzle out by july but Ill be at this hardcore daily number crunching until then...
hoping to see some regulars back and posting again as the mlb forum seems a little dead the night before.....pacocn, 2dabank, nocoin, bifftfinancial.....hope to see you all soon and best of luck this season
Will post my results from years past in the next day or two.
Focused on tmrws card for now, betting a lot heavier than years past as well as doing daily fantasy lineups for baseball which I have never done before (draftkings bc I prefer two pitchers, u/n: dapperdan86)
Anyways feel free to chime in on games or fantasy ideas. In baseball I pick pretty conservatively with only 1 maybe 2 games a day, lets see if I can hold to that early on as all the day action on monday looks very appetizing, havent even really looked into those yet but will do tmrw. Anyways will post writeups for the most part in games and my average bet is 1 unit a game with an occasional 2x unit bet so nothing crazy in here folks just good ole winner picking.
4/3/16
St. Louis (+110) Risking 1 unit to win 1.1 units
Liriano has notoriously struggled early on in seasons past. Except for 2015 he had an exceptional april but pretty much before that he has always struggled. He has a 12% BB%, a 1.48 WHIP, and .328 wOBA for the month of april, last years exceptional numbers did little to sway his career failures in april. He's starting off againsts a cardinals team that can hit lefties well (especially carpenter, holiday and molina) [put them in your fantasy lineups. Lirano should be a little erratic and Cardinals were the 7th best in the league in walk % as they walked 8.2% of the time. They are familiar with lirano and have hit him well historically with a .328 wOBA on 230 PA and have racked up walks on him with a 10% BB%. On the other side we have Wainwright returning to form. Someone who is very experienced at opening day success, sporting a 2-1 record over the last 3 years starting every opening day, with only 4 walks, 21 SOs, a 1.22 WHIP and 1.48 FIP. As a team Cardinals are much better at starting off the season in April over the last 3 years, with a .321 wOBA and 2.6/9.3 Off/Def (fangraphs stats) compared to the pirates who are .276 wOBA and -21.8/1.1 Off/Def.
Any questions, comments, observations feel free to chime in,
I usually fizzle out by july but Ill be at this hardcore daily number crunching until then...
hoping to see some regulars back and posting again as the mlb forum seems a little dead the night before.....pacocn, 2dabank, nocoin, bifftfinancial.....hope to see you all soon and best of luck this season
day results: 0-2 -2.2 units......28 runners LOB. 
