🩸 UFC Fight Night Odds: Sean Strickland vs. Anthony Hernandez Betting Lines & Card Info

The Toyota Center in Houston is the home of the UFC again this weekend as UFC Fight Night: Sean Strickland vs. Anthony Hernandez pits a former champ against a surging star on Saturday, Feb. 21. The co-main event features Geoff Neal will try to slow the heavy-fists of Uros Medic.

There are no titles on line, but plenty of ranking ramifications. The early prelims start at 5 p.m. ET with the main card set for 8 p.m. ET, and it can all be streamed on Paramount+.

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📊 UFC Fight Night odds - Main Card

Sean Strickland (29-7) vs. Anthony Hernandez (15-2)

Sean Strickland notes:

• The defensive specialist: Strickland is a former UFC middleweight champion, and is 3-2 in his last five fights, including a 1-2 mark in title fights
• Key stat: Strickland lands 5.95 significant strikes per minute and posts an impressive 60% striking defense

Anthony Hernandez notes:

• Unstoppable Engine: Hernandez is a former LFA middleweight champ and enters on an eight-fight win streak
• Key stat: Averages a staggering 6.46 takedowns per 15 minutes

🩸 Betting outlook

This is a major clash of styles, and if Strickland can keep his back off the fence and keep his jab working he'll be a live dog, but Hernandez's pace makes him a deserved favorite.

Geoff Neal (16-7) vs. Uros Medic (12-3)

Geoff Neal notes:

• The gatekeeper: Ranked #12 in the division but is just 1-3 in his last four fights
• Key stat: Absorbs 5.48 strikes per minute

Uros Medic notes:

• The quick-finish: Has recorded back-to-back 63 second first-round KO victories
• Key stat: Has never seen the judges' scorecards in his professional career

🩸 Betting outlook

Medic is the hotter fighter, but Neal is a massive step up and has a huge experience edge. It should be enough to earn him the victory.

Dan Ige (19-10) vs. Melquizael Costa (25-7)

Dan Ige notes: 

• 50K: Ige will seemingly fight anyone, any time, but has won just one of his last four scraps
• Key stat: With an iron chin (and maybe rubber joints), Ige has never been stopped via KO/TKO/Submission in his career

Melquizael Costa notes:

• Rising contender: Enters on a five-bout win streak with wins by submission, KO/TKO, and decision
• Key stat: Has better averages than Ige in Strikes Landed, Striking Accuracy, Strikes Absorbed, Takedowns Averaged, Takedown Accuracy, Takedown Defense and Submission Average

🩸 Betting outlook

Despite Costa having many statistical edges, Ige's durability is the x-factor here. I'm siding with the ascending favorite, Costa, but Ige is certainly a live dog.

Serghei Spivac (17-6) vs. Ante Delija (26-7)

Serghei Spivac notes:

• The Polar Bear's Grip: Spivac is ranked #7 in the heavyweight division and is known for his sambo-style wrestling
• Key stat: Spivac will turn to his wrestling, where he averaged 4.21 takedowns/15 minutes

Ante Delija notes:

• PFL Powerhouse: No. 9 Delija is a former PFL champion, but is just 1-1 in two UFC fights, both finishing via first round KO/TKO (win vs. Marcin Tybura, loss vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta)
• Key stat: Despite his last four fights ending in under four minutes (2-2), he is 7-1 in eight career fights that have gone the distance

🩸 Betting outlook

Under 2.5 rounds is a strong look here: If Spivac gets the clinch early, it’s a long night for Delija. However, Delija’s power is superior.

Jacobe Smith (11-0) vs. Josiah Harrell (11-0)

Jacobe Smith notes:

• Blue-chip prospect: Smith has a perfect record, including two wins at the UFC level over Preston Parsons (KO/KO, Jan. 2025) and Niko Price (submission, June 2025)
• Key stat: Smith has nine finishes in 11 career fights and is on a run of five bouts that have ended before the third round

Josiah Harrell notes:

• (Almost) Only finishes: Harrell, also 11-0, has 10 finishes and just one decision in his career
• Key stat: "Muscle Hamster" is making his UFC debut, last appearing in LFA just over a month ago

🩸 Betting outlook

Someone is picking up their first loss, and that someone will be Harrell. Smith is a massive step up for Harrell, who has eight of his career fights coming in the Ohio Combat League. Smith's wrestling will win out.

Zachary Reese (10-2) vs. Michel Pereira (31-14)

Zachary Reese notes:

• Hometown Hero? Fighting on home soil as he looks to improve on a second-round submission win over Jackson McVey in November
• Key stat: Ten of his 12 fights have ended in finish, with both of his losses coming via KO/TKO

Michel Pereira notes:

• Battle-tested: Despite being only 32 years old, Pereira has nine more pro fights than any other fighter on the card
• Key stat: Enters on a three-bout skid, with losses to Anthony Hernandez (fifth-round KO/TKO), Abus Magomedov (unanimous decision), and Kyle Daukaus (first-round KO/TKO)

🩸 Betting outlook

Despite Pereira's experience, he has struggled recently, while Reese is on a hot streak with home-field advantage. Reese’s grappling should be the difference here. 

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📊 UFC Fight Night odds - Prelims

🔍️ Find the best odds for every bet

Search the best UFC betting sites for any team or player across every market from legal sportsbooks in your area.

Chidi Njokuani (25-11) vs. Carlos Leal (22-7)

Ode Osbourne (13-9) vs. Alibi Idiris (11-1)

Alden Coria (11-3) vs. Luis Gurule (10-2)

Nora Cornolle (9-3) vs. Joselyne Edwards (16-6)

Ramiz Brahimaj (13-5) vs. Punahele Soriano (12-4)

Phil Rowe (11-6) vs. Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani (9-2)

Jordan Leavitt (12-3) vs. Yadier del Valle (10-0)

Juliana Miller (5-3) vs. Carli Judice (5-2)

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📺 Where to watch UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez

• Date: Saturday, Feb. 21
• Start times: Prelims: 5 p.m. ET, Main Card: 8 p.m. ET
• Location: Toyota Center (Houston)
• Streaming: Paramount+

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