UFC Fight Night Odds: Mario Bautista vs. Vinicius Oliveira Betting Lines & Card Info for Tonight

Want to beef up your bankroll ahead of Super Bowl Sunday? Look toward tonight's UFC card. UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira is set for tonight at the Meta Apex in Las Vegas. We have live UFC Fight Night Odds and betting outlooks for the entire card, with key stats and insights for every fighter.

Top bantamweights Mario Bautista and Vinicius Oliveira headline a night stacked with prospects and veterans, all streaming live on Paramount+ starting with the prelims at 5 p.m. ET.  

---

📈 UFC fight night betting insights

Here are some betting insights from BetMGM before the fights begin.

Most-bet fighters

1. Vinicius Oliveira (+120)
2. Muin Gafurov (-135)
3. Rizvan Kuniev (+135)
4. Klaudia Sygula (-170)
5. Amir Albazi (+300)

Most-bet props

1. Cong Wong by submission in Round 3 (+2800)
2. Cong Wong by submission in Round 2 (+1800)
3. Jacob Wiklacz by submission (+275)
4. Kyoji Horiguchi by decision/technical decision (-140)
5. Michal Oleksiejczuk in Round 1 (-120)

---

📊 UFC Fight Night odds - Main Card

Mario Bautista (16-3) vs. Vinicius Oliveira (23-3)

Mario Bautista notes:

• Back on track? Bautista had an eight-fight win streak snapped last time out, losing a decision to Umar Nurmagomedov in October
• Key stat: Lands a whopping 5.58 significant strikes per minute, coupled with a 54.09% accuracy

Vinicius Oliveira notes:

• Highlight reel: Sixteen of LokDog's 23 career wins have come via KO/TKO, although his last three bouts have gone to the judges
• Key stat: While Oliveira doesn't rely on submissions, he averages more takedowns/15 minutes (1.67) with more accuracy (50%) and a better takedown defense (80%) thana Bautista

🩸 Betting outlook

 Bautista brings a wealth more experience, with Oliveira having only four UFC fights on his resume; however, his one-punch power and takedown defense will keep him as a live dog. Our Cody Saftic backs the Brazilian to pull off the upset in his UFC Fight Night predictions and best bets.

Amir Albazi (17-2) vs. Kyoji Horiguchi (35-5)

Amir Albazi notes:

• Never finished: Albazi has just two career losses (one in Brave CF, and one in UFC), both coming via decision; he's 5-0 via KO/TKO and 9-0 via submission
• Key stat: Albazi ranks in the top 10 of the flyweight division in numerous wrestling categories - not all positive - including control time (22.6%) and top position percentage (16.9%) but also bottom time (1:25) and bottom percentage (1.73%)

Kyoji Horiguchi notes:

• Back in the big show: Horiguchi had eight fights (including a title fight) between 2013-16, before leaving for Rizin & Bellator; won his UFC re-debut via submission over Tagir Ulanbekov in November
• Key stat: Horiguchi has an edge in strikes landed per minute (3.64 to 2.72), striking accuray (46% to 34%), and strikes absorbed per minute (2.26 vs. 3.71)

🩸 Betting outlook

Horiguchi should be a great position to score volume on scorecards if he's able to keep Albazi from securing a finish, which is a tough ask against someone with as much experience and cage IQ as Kyoji

Jailton Almeida (22-4) vs. Rizvan Kuniev (12-3-1)

Jailton Almeida notes:

• The replacement: Almeida was announced as a replacement for Ryan Spann on Jan. 20; he last suffered a split decision loss to Alexander Volkov in October
• Key stat: Almeida is one of the best wrestlers in the heavyweight division, with four submission wins across 10 UFC fights and a 6.66 takedown average

Rizvan Kuniev notes:

• Sad debut: Lost a split decision to Curtis Blaydes in his UFC debut in January
• Key stat: Kuniev is a giant (6-foot-4, 264 lbs) with six KO/TKO wins across 12 victories

🩸 Betting outlook

Kuniev could be live if his line creeps closer to +175 or +200 instead of its current range, he has the size and pedigree to perhaps give Almeida a run for his money. However, even on short notice, Almeida could use his superior wrestling to control his way to a victory.

Michal Oleksiejczuk (21-9) vs. Marc-Andre Barriault (17-10)

Michal Oleksiejczuk notes:

• Quick work: Oleksiejczuk enters off two straight first round KO/TKO victories last year, over Sedriques Dumas (Apriil) and Gerald Meerschaert (August)
• Key stat: Seventeen of Hussar's 21 victories have come via stoppage (three decisions pre-UFC debut in 2017), and seven of his nine losses have come via finish

Marc-Andre Barriault notes:

• Dirty boxing, dirtier results: Barriault thrived as a grind out artist, but lately, not so much: he has four losses in his last five fights, two via decision and two via first-round KO/TKO
• Key stat: His 5.70 significant strikes landed per minute often helped overwhelm opponents earlier in his career, but at 35 it seems his best days are behind him

🩸 Betting outlook

Recent results here lend to idea that this match could find its way to a very early finish, so the move here might be to look toward a quick finish 

Jean Matsumoto (17-1) vs. Farid Basharat (14-0)

Jean Matsumoto notes:

• Too close to call: Matsumoto's last two fights have both ended via split decision, with his lone-career loss coming to Rob Font in Feb. 2025 and a bounce back win vs. Miles Jones in August
• Key stat: Matsumoto lands more strikes per minute (5.43 vs. 4.05) but also absorbs many, many more strikes per minute (5.43 vs. 2.47)

Farid Basharat notes:

• The undefeated: Basharat has rattled off five straight UFC wins since joining the company, improving to a perfect 14-0 (1-0 via TKO/KO, 6-0 via submission)
• Key stat: His takedown averages (accuracy, defense) don't rank him within the top 10 in the bantamweight division, but both are higher than Matsumoto

🩸 Betting outlook

Both of these fighters have regularly gone the judges throughout their UFC careers, leading to the smart play perhaps being on the Over rounds, the fight to go the distance, or Basharat by points

Dustin Jacoby (21-9-1) vs. Julius Walker (7-1)

Dustin Jacoby notes:

• Second wind: Jacoby was around the fringes of MMA, including two UFC fights, between 2010-2015 before stepping away and returning to the UFC in 2020
• Key stat: Jacoby is one of the most experienced active light heavyweights, and his 5.37 significant strikes per minute are amongst the weight class elite

Julius Walker notes:

• Size and youth: Walker may have much less experience, but at 26 years old (to Jacoby's 37 years) he has youth on his side; he stands at 6'4" (one inch taller) and has a two-inch reach advantage
• Key stat: Walker has averaged a commanding 3.50 takedowns per 15 across his two UFC fights, which could nullify Jacoby's advantage on the feet

🩸 Betting outlook

This might be a spot to focus on live betting: if Walker looks to be able to get takedowns, jump on the underdog early.

---

📊 UFC Fight Night odds - Prelims

🔍️ Find the best odds for every bet

Search the best UFC betting sites for any team or player across every market from legal sportsbooks in your area.

Alex Morono (24-12) vs. Daniil Donchenko (13-2)

Alex Morono notes:

• Gatekeeping: Morono has become a bit of a gatekeeper in the division, with five defeats in his last seven fights dating back to 2022
• Key stat: Relies almost exclusively on his standing game, with just a 0.33 takedown average and a 0.33 submission average

Daniil Donchenko notes:

• The TUF Tiger: Donchenko is a TUF winner that brings elite Muay Thai to the UFC, recording a KO/TKO victory in his debut vs. Rodrigo Sezinando in September
• Key stat: Donchenko's debut was fierce, with 8.76 significant strikes per minute accompanied with a 59.15% accuracy

🩸 Betting outlook

This looks to be another loss in the ledger for Morono, but you'll need to look at KO/TKO or decision prices to get on the younger Donchenko

Nikolay Veretennikov (13-7) vs. Niko Price (16-9)

Nikolay Veretennikov notes:

• Short (but not as short as Price) King: Veretennikov stepped in to replace Eric Nolan vs. Jose Henrique Souza in mid January, taking the fight on relatively short notice
• Key stat: Lands plenty of body and leg shots, with a 56% significant strike accuracy

Niko Price notes:

• Short (notice) king: Price has stepped in on just days of notice to replace Souza, making the fight Veretennikov vs. Price instead of the originally scheduled Nolan vs. Souza
• Key stat: Lands (5.13) and absorbs (5.55) a similar number of significant strikes per minute

🩸 Betting outlook

Price carries more experience in the UFC, and with both fighters taking this battle on short notice he'll be looking to grind this out by turning it into a brawl.

Bruna Brasil (11-5-1) vs. Ketlen Souza (15-6)

Bruna Brasil notes:

• Mixed bag: Brasil is 3-3 since making the leap from Dana White's Contenders Series, but picked up the biggest win of her career over Shi Ming in August
• Key stat: Uses her grappling and takedowns (64.29% accuracy, 1.46 average) to dictate how her fights play out

Ketlen Souza notes:

• Esquentadinha: "Little hothead" relied heavily on her boxing in her early MMA days but is 1-1 via submission and 1-2 via decision across five UFC bouts
• Key stat: Despite not recording KO/TKO wins like during her ascension, she's still recording 4.56 strikes per minute in the UFC

🩸 Betting outlook

Brasil will use her reach advantage and takedowns to dictate this fight, sending it the judges. There are opportunities for Brasil by decision or in the total rounds/go the distance markets.

Said Nurmagomedov (18-5) vs. Javid Basharat (14-2)

Said Nurmagomedov notes:

• Dangerous finisher: Nurmagomedov has struggled to record wins in recent fights, but three of his last four have come via submission
• Key stat: Nurmagomedov has an impressive 1.15 submission average

Javid Basharat notes:

• Stopping the slide: Basharat's last three bouts finished no contest (vs. Victor Henry, Oct. 2023), a decision loss (vs. Aiemann Zahabi, March 2024), and a KO/TKO loss to Ricky Simon (Feb. 2025)
• Key stat: Basharat has an 83.9% takedown defense, tied for fourth in the bantamweight division, which will be key to slowing Nurmagomedov's wrestling

🩸 Betting outlook

Basharat has enough wrestling and striking defense to utilize his strikes landed per minute and striking differential to stop his slide and continue Nurmagomedov's descent.

Wang Cong (8-1) vs. Eduarda Moura (12-1)

Wang Cong notes:

• No one's laughing now: "The Joker" has a huge hype train as she has recorded wins in three of her four UFC fights
• Key stat: Cong brings elite striking, with 7.48 strikes landed per minute (57% accuracy) and only 2.68 absorbed per minute (63% defense)

Eduarda Moura notes:

• Putting you on the mat: Across Moura's 12 career wins, four have come via TKO/KO and five via submission (with her
• Key stat: Moura brings a 3.73 takedown average, but her accuracy is just 37%

🩸 Betting outlook

Cong has 100% takedown defense, lending to a heavy lean to the favorite winning by keeping things on her feet

Muin Gafurov (20-6) vs. Jakub Wiklacz (17-3-2)

Muin Gafurov notes:

• Steady footing: After dropping his first two UFC bouts, Gafurov has recovered with back-to-back decision wins over Kyung Ho Kang and Rinya Nakamura
• Key stat: Gafurov is 10-0 by KO/TKO and 7-1 via submission, going just 3-5 when it goes to the judges

Jakub Wiklacz notes:

• The newcomer: The former KSW champion had his UFC debut in October, picking up a split-decision victory over Patchy Mix
• Key stat: Wiklacz is a submission specialist, with 10 of his 17 victories coming via submission

🩸 Betting outlook

Gafurov carries knockout power and enters with momentum, but there is some value on the underdog Wiklacz to win via submission

Klaudia Sygula (7-2) vs. Priscila Cachoeira (13-7)

Klaudia Sygula notes:

• Polish promise: The Polish prospect lost her UFC debut in Nov. 2024, falling by second-round KO/TKO to Melissa Mullins, but recorded a unanimous-decision win over Irina Alekseeva in her follow up
• Key stat: Sygula delivers a solid 5.30 significant strikes per minute, which would rate fourth in the division if it continues across five fights (per UFC stats)

Priscila Cachoeira notes:

• Stepping stone: Cachoeira entered the UFC in 2018 as an undefeated prospect (8-0) but has since gone just 5-7, losing by points, KO/TKO, and submission
• Key stat: Cachoeira absorbs an absolutely unbelievable 7.23 strikes per minute

🩸 Betting outlook

This is setting up as a commanding 30-27 or KO/TKO victory for the Polish Sygula

---

📺 Where to watch UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira

• Date: Saturday, Feb. 7
• Start times: 5 p.m. ET (prelims), 8 p.m. ET (main card)
• Location: Meta APEX (Las Vegas)
• TV: Paramount+

---

📃 Affiliate disclosure

Sportsbook Review may receive a commission if you sign up through our links. Not intended for use in MA. Bonuses not applicable in Ontario. 21+ only. (Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER)