🩸 UFC Fight Night Odds: Adesanya vs. Pyfer Betting Lines & Card Info

The UFC returns to the Pacific Northwest as Israel Adesanya takes on Joe Pyfer in a critical middleweight main event. The co-main features a massive flyweight rematch between former champion Alexa Grasso and Maycee Barber. We're having a look at the best live UFC odds, along with key stats and betting outlooks for the entire card.

UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer goes down at the Climate Pledge Arena in Seattle on Saturday. Fans in the United States can catch the Prelims starting at 5 p.m. ET and the main card at 8 p.m. ET, with the entire event streaming live on Paramount+.  

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📊 UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer odds - Main Card

Israel Adesanya (24-5) vs. Joe Pyfer (15-3)

Israel Adesanya notes:

• The Vengeful Architect: Needs to prove his elite counter-striking hasn't lost its step against the division's newest power-hitters.
• Key stat: 80" reach (5" advantage)

Joe Pyfer notes:

• The Hype Train Conductor: Since his viral DWCS knockout, Pyfer has steamrolled the middleweight rankings.
• Key stat: 5 of 6 UFC wins by stoppage

🩸 Betting outlook

I'm taking Adesanya's moneyline. I think the veteran savvy should be enough to navigate Pyfer's power and leads to a unanimous decision. If you want to back the underdog here, look to the added value found with the KO/TKO price.

Alexa Grasso (16-5-1) vs. Maycee Barber (15-2)

Alex Grasso notes:

• The Boxing Matriarch: Her crisp Mexican boxing is the gold standard of the division, and she’ll look to repeat her tactical masterclass over Barber from 2021.
• Key stat: 4.11 significant strikes/min, 0.41 takedowns per 15 minutes

Maycee Barber notes:

• The Momentum Machine: Riding a 7-fight win streak since losing to Grasso, "The Future" is finally realizing her potential.
• Key stat: 4.61 significant strikes/min, 1.58 takedowns per 15 minutes

🩸 Betting outlook

You can target this a few ways. First, I think Over 2.5 rounds is a solid choice to add to a parlay. I also don't mind Barber's moneyline, choosing her momentum over Grasso's prior victory over her.

Michael Chiesa (19-7) vs. Niko Price 

Michael Chiesa notes:

• The Maverick’s Final Stand: Fighting in his home state of Washington, Chiesa has confirmed this as his retirement bout.
• Key stat: 3.05 takedowns per 15 mins

Niko Price notes:

• The Hybrid Chaos Agent: Always the spoiler, Price enters on late notice
• Key stat: has lost five of his last six bouts

🩸 Betting outlook

Chiesa by decision is a fun angle to target as he looks to go out on a high in front of fans. You could also consider Under 1.5 rounds here, but it's not my favorite way to attack this one.

Julian Erosa (31-13) vs. Lerryan Douglas (13-5)

Julian Erosa notes:

• The Volume Violator: "Juicy J" is a cardio-intensive nightmare who weaponizes pace.
• Key stat: 6.2 strikes landed/min

Lerryan Douglas notes:

• The Brazilian Buzzsaw: Making his UFC debut, he enters on a five-bout KO/TKO win streak
• Key stat: his only "UFC" fight, in Dana White's Contender Series, lasted just 36 seconds

🩸 Betting outlook

Given the odds here it's hard to find solid value. Douglas via KO/TKO in the first round is a choice, but I tend to shy away from that type of wager. A very small portion of a unit on Erosa by decision is an interesting play, hoping that he can hang in there long enough to overwhelm the newcomer.

Mansur Abdul-Malik (9-0-1) vs. Yousri Belgaroui (9-3)

Mansur Abdul-Malik notes:

• The Blue-Chip Destroyer: He combines elite wrestling credentials with a 100% KO/TKO rate, making him the card’s "must-watch" prospect.
• Key stat: 100% KO/TKO rate (7-0 KO/TKO, 2-0 submission)

Yousri Belgaroui notes:

• The Kickboxing Specialist: Belgaroui has the height and reach to make any striker look amateur, recording a third-round KO/TKO over Azamat Bekoev in his UFC debut (October)
• Key stat: 5.82 strikes landed/min

🩸 Betting outlook

Abdul-Malik's moneyline is very tempting here, given his elite wrestling. I'm having a hard time getting to any other market, despite his finishing rate.

Terrance McKinney (17-8) vs. Kyle Nelson (17-6-1)

Terrance McKinney notes:

• The first-round assassin: McKinney is the definition of "all or nothing." Every single one of his UFC wins has come in the first round, and three of his five UFC losses have also come in the first round
• Key stat: 100% finish rate in a career that started in 2017

Kyle Nelson notes: 

• The Monster of the North: Canada’s own "Monster" has reinvented himself as a durable, tactical grinder
• Key stat: Nelson's fighters last nearly eight minutes longer on average (10:24) than McKinney's (2:46)

🩸 Betting outlook

There are two plus money plays you can choose from here, but it's a bit of pick your poison on which fighter you want to back. McKinney via first-round KO is an option, Nelson moneyline is the other play. 

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📊 UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer odds - Prelims

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Ignacio Bahamondes (17-6) vs. Tofiq Musayev (22-6)

Ignacio Bahamondes notes:

• The Chilean Sniper: A 6'3" lightweight who uses dynamic spinning kicks and long-range jabs to pick opponents apart
• Key stat: 6.55 strikes/min

Tofiq Musayev notes:

• The Iron Veteran: Musayev brings championship-level experience (Rizin FF) and a heavy-handed style that can drop anyone
• Key stat: Eighteen of his 22 career wins are via KO/TO

Chase Hooper (16-4-1) vs. Lance Gibson Jr. (9-2)

Chase Hooper notes:

• The Grappling Prodigy Evolved: No longer just a submission specialist, "The Dream" has added a high-volume striking game to his world-class Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu
• Key stat: 2.13 submissions per 15 mins

Lance Gibson Jr. notes:

• The Legacy Contender: Lost his debut to King Green via split decision in December
• Key stat: Absorbed 4.33 strikes per minute in his UFC debut, landing just 2.00 strikes per minute

Marcin Tybura (27-10) vs. Tyrell Fortune (17-3)

Marcin Tybura notes:

• The Polish Anchor: A veteran gatekeeper who uses superior weight distribution and clinch work to drown younger, faster heavyweights
• Key stat: 33.82% takedown accuracy

Tyrell Fortune notes: 

• The Heavy-Handed Newcomer: A late replacement with massive power, Fortune comes in on a 3-fight KO streak.
• Key stat: 35 years old (Heavyweight prime)

Casey O'Neill (10-2) vs. Gabriella Fernandes (11-3)

Casey O'Neill notes:

• The King of the Coast: Relies on a smothering pace and one of the highest strike-output rates in the flyweight division
• Key stat: 7.89 strikes landed/min

Gabriella Fernandes notes:

• Tough sledding: Two of her three career losses have come since joining the UFC
• Key stat: Has allowed 5.19 strikes per minute over her five UFC fights, going 3-2

Navajo Stirling (8-0) vs. Bruno Lopes (14-2)

Navajo Stirling notes:

• City Kickboxing Heir: Undefeated prospect with three decision victories to start his UFC career
• Key stat: 75% takedown defense

Bruno Lopes notes:

• The Gritty Enforcer: A durable veteran (career started in 2013) who thrives in high-pressure situations.
• Key stat: 100% takedown defense

Ricky Simon (22-7) vs. Adrian Yanez (17-6)

Ricky Simon notes:

• The Bantamweight Battery: A cardio machine whose game plan is 15 minutes of relentless takedown attempts and suffocating top control
• Key stat: 4.66 takedowns per 15 mins

Adrian Yanez notes: 

• The Texas Sharpshooter: Yañez excels at countering aggressive wrestlers with precise, heavy-handed combinations.
• Key stat: 6.23 strikes landed/min

Alexia Thainara (13-1) vs. Bruna Brasil (11-6-1)

Alexia Thainara notes:

• "The Rising Contender": Currently ranked #13, Thainara is on an 11-fight win streak
• Key stat: 100% takedown defense across three UFC bouts

Bruna Brasil notes:

• The Versatile Striker: Brasil is a dangerous striker with a penchant for flashy kicks.
• Key stat: 2.57 strikes landed/min

Zhu Kangjie (20-4) vs. Marcio Barbosa (17-2) 

Zhu Kangjie notes:

• Chinese contender: Zhu is one of a growing wave of Chinese fighters, but has plenty of experience on the regional scene
• Key stat: 2.89 strikes landed/min

Marcio Barbosa notes:

• Finisher from Brazil: Only one of his 19 pro fights has gone to the judges (14-2 via TKO, 2-0 via submission)
• Key stat: 8.27 strikes landed/min

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📺 Where to watch UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer

• Date: Saturday, March 28
• Start times: Prelims - 5 p.m. ET, Main Card - 8 p.m. ET
• Location: Climate Pledge Arena (Seattle)
• Steaming: Paramount+

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