UFC 324 Odds & Fight Card: Justin Gaethje vs. Paddy Pimblett Betting Lines
Last Updated: January 19, 2026 8:07 PM EST • 5 minute read X Social Google News Link
We're looking at the UFC 324 odds for the first card of the year as Justin Gaethje and Paddy Pimblett clash for the interim lightweight title. It's the first numbered event to not be on pay-per-view in over four years as Paramount+ will carry the entire event from the early prelims through the main event.
The action from T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas kicks off at 5 p.m. ET with the main card starting at 9 p.m. ET.
📊 UFC 324 odds - Main Card
UFC 324 odds updated daily via BetMGM
Justin Gaethje (26-5) vs. Paddy Pimblett (23-3)
| Fighter | Odds to win | Implied win probability |
|---|---|---|
| Justin Gaethje | +190 | 34.48% |
| Paddy Pimblett | -238 | 70.42% |
- Gaethje is a former interim lightweight champ (2020) and is the current No. 4 contender in the division
- Last fight: unanimous-decision (UD) win over Rafael Fiziev at UFC 313 (March 2025)
- Pimblett is a perfect 7-0 since making the leap to the UFC in 2021 and is the No. 5 contender in the division
- Last fight: KO/TKO win over Michael Chandler at UFC 314 (April 2025)
Sean O'Malley (18-3) vs. Song Yadong (22-8-1)
| Fighter | Odds to win | Implied win probability |
|---|---|---|
| Sean O'Malley | -208 | 67.57% |
| Song Yadong | +170 | 3704% |
- O'Malley is a former bantamweight champ and is now the No. 3 contender in the division after dropping two straight title fights
- Last fight: Submission loss to Merab Dvalishvili at UFC 316 (June 2025)
- Song has just one fight in each of the last two years and is the No. 5 contender in the division
- Last fight: UD win over Henry Cejudo in the main event of a Fight Night card (Feb. 2025)
Waldo Cortes-Acosta (16-2) vs. Derrick Lewis (29-12)
| Fighter | Odds to win | Implied win probability |
|---|---|---|
| Waldo Cortes-Acosta | -333 | 76.92% |
| Derrick Lewis | +260 | 27.78% |
- No. 5 heavyweight Cortes-Acosta enters off back-to-back first round KO/TKO finishes, most recently taking down current No. 11 Shamil Gaziev in just 1:22 at a Fight Night in November.
- No. 8 heavyweight Lewis also enters off back-to-back KO/TKO finishes, most recently dropping current No. 15 Tallison Teixeira in just 35 seconds in the main event of a Fight Night (July 2025)
Natalia Silva (19-5-1) vs. Rose Namajunas (15-7)
| Fighter | Odds to win | Implied win probability |
|---|---|---|
| Natalia Silva | -455 | 81.9% |
| Rose Namajunas | +340 | 22.73% |
- Silva has rattled off seven straight wins since joining UFC (2022), rising to No. 2 in the women's flyweight division
- Last fight: UD win over Alexa Grasso at UFC 315 (May 2025)
- "Thug" Rose is a two-time strawweight champ but is just 3-2 since moving to flyweight, ranking No. 6 in the division
- Last fight: UD win over Miranda Maverick at a FIght Night in June 2025
Arnold Allen (20-3) vs. Jean Silva (16-3)
| Fighter | Odds to win | Implied win probability |
|---|---|---|
| Arnold Allen | +225 | 30.77% |
| Jean Silva | -303 | 75.19% |
- No. 6 featherweight Allen snapped a two-bout skid with a win last time out, picking up a UD win over Giga Chikadze in July 2024
- Allen did not fight last year as he rehabbed from a shoulder injury and had announced a move to lightweight, although this fight is indeed at featherweight
- No. 10 Silva suffered his first UFC loss last time out, suffering a second-round KO/TKO loss to Diego Lopes at Noche UFC (Sept. 2025)
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📊 UFC 324 odds - Prelims
Umar Nurmagomedov (19-1) vs. Deiveson Figueiredo (25-5-1)
| Fighter | Odds to win | Implied win probability |
|---|---|---|
| Umar Nurmagomedov | -1667 | 94.34% |
| Deiveson Figueiredo | +850 | 10.53% |
- No. 2 bantamweight Nurmagomedov suffered his lone MMA loss in a title fight to Merab Dvalishvili at UFC 311 (Jan. 2025) but got back on track with a win last time out
- Last fight: UD win over Mario Bautista at UFC 321 (Oct. 2025)
- No. 6 Figueiredo is a former two-time flyweight champ and is 4-2 since moving to bantamweight, although snapped a two-fight skid with a win last time out
- Last fight: split-decision win over Montel Jackson in a Fight Night (Oct. 2025)
Ateba Gautier (9-1) vs. Andrey Pulyaev (10-3)
| Fighter | Odds to win | Implied win probability |
|---|---|---|
| Ateba Gautier | -1000 | 90.91% |
| Andrey Pulyaev | +625 | 13.79% |
- Gautier is a relative newcomer, with a 3-0 mark since joining the UFC from Dana White's Contenders Series (DWCS), all three coming as first-round KO/TKO wins
- Pulyaev's UFC debut (March 2025) was a UD loss to Christian Leroy Duncan, but he bounced back with a second-round KO/TKO win over Nick Klein in August
Nikita Krylov (30-11) vs. Modestas Bukauskas (19-6)
| Fighter | Odds to win | Implied win probability |
|---|---|---|
| Nikita Krylov | +125 | 44.44% |
| Modestas Bukauskas | -149 | 59.88% |
- Krylov is the No. 13 light heavyweight contender, but has lost two straight both via first-round KO/TKO (most recently to Bogdan Guskov in July 2025)
- Bukauskas has ratted off four straight wins - two via KO/TKO, one via submission, and one via UD (most recently a KO/TKO win over Paul Craig in Sept. 2025)
📊 UFC324 odds - Early Prelims
Alex Perez (25-10) vs. Charles Johnson (18-7)
| Fighter | Odds to win | Implied win probability |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Perez | +170 | 37.04% |
| Charles Johnson | -208 | 67.57% |
- Perez has lost five of his last six fights, losing by submission to Asu Almabayev (Nov. 2025), but is hanging on as the No. 11 contender in the flyweight division
- Johnson has won five of his last six fights, topping Lone'er Kavanagh by KO/TKO (Aug. 2025), and is the No. 13 contender in the division
Michael Johnson (25-19) vs. Alexander Hernandez (18-8)
| Fighter | Odds to win | Implied win probability |
|---|---|---|
| Michael Johnson | +135 | 42.55% |
| Alexander Hernandez | -161 | 61.73% |
- Johnson enters off three straight wins, most recently topping Daniel Zellhuber via UD at UFC 318 (July 2025)
- Hernandez comes in on a four-bout win streak, beating Diego Ferreira via KO/TKO at Noche UFC (Sept. 2025) last time out
Josh Hokit (7-0) vs. Denzel Freeman (7-1)
| Fighter | Odds to win | Implied win probability |
|---|---|---|
| Josh Hokit | -250 | 71.43% |
| Denzel Freeman | +200 | 33.33% |
- Former Bellator and LFA fighter, Hokit dispatched Max Gimenis via KO/TKO in just 56 seconds in his UFC debut (Nov. 2025)
- Freeman made the leap from LFA last time out, picking up a UD win over Marek Buijo on a Fight Night card in November
Ricky Turcios (13-5) vs. Cameron Smotherman (12-6)
| Fighter | Odds to win | Implied win probability |
|---|---|---|
| Ricky Turcios | +165 | 37.74% |
| Cameron Smotherman | -200 | 66.67% |
- Turcios has just five career losses, but three have come across his last four bouts - including two straight
- Last fight: UD loss to Bernardo Sopaj at UFC 311 (Jan. 2025)
- Smotherman also enters on a two-bout skid, losing via UD to Ricky Simon last time out in June 2025
Adam Fugitt (10-5) vs. Ty Miller (6-0)
| Fighter | Odds to win | Implied win probability |
|---|---|---|
| Adam Fugitt | +315 | 24.10% |
| Ty Miller | -417 | 80.65% |
- Fugitt is just 2-3 across his five career UFC bouts, suffering a first-round KO/TKO defeat to Islam Dulatov (July 2025) last time he took the walk
- It's a UFC debut for Miller, weight recent stops at LFA and DWCS (most recently scoring a UD victory over Jimmy Drago at DWCS in Aug. 2025)
📺 How to watch UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett
- Date: Saturday, Jan. 24
- Start times: 5 p.m. ET (early prelims), 7 p.m. ET (prelims), 9 p.m. ET (main card)
- Location: T-Mobile Arena (Las Vegas)
- TV: Paramount+
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