UFC 324 Odds & Fight Card: Justin Gaethje vs. Paddy Pimblett Betting Lines

We're taking a look at the UFC 324 odds as Justin Gaethje and Paddy Pimblett clash for the interim lightweight belt.
Paddy Pimblett reacts as we look at the best UFC 324 odds.
Pictured: Paddy Pimblett reacts as we look at the best UFC 324 odds. Photo by Sam Navarro-Imagn Images
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We're looking at the UFC 324 odds for the first card of the year as Justin Gaethje and Paddy Pimblett clash for the interim lightweight title. It's the first numbered event to not be on pay-per-view in over four years as Paramount+ will carry the entire event from the early prelims through the main event.

The action from T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas kicks off at 5 p.m. ET with the main card starting at 9 p.m. ET. 


📊 UFC 324 odds - Main Card

UFC 324 odds updated daily via BetMGM

Justin Gaethje (26-5) vs. Paddy Pimblett (23-3)

Fighter Odds to win Implied win probability
Justin Gaethje +190 34.48%
Paddy Pimblett -238 70.42%
  • Gaethje is a former interim lightweight champ (2020) and is the current No. 4 contender in the division
    • Last fight: unanimous-decision (UD) win over Rafael Fiziev at UFC 313 (March 2025)
  • Pimblett is a perfect 7-0 since making the leap to the UFC in 2021 and is the No. 5 contender in the division
    • Last fight: KO/TKO win over Michael Chandler at UFC 314 (April 2025)

Sean O'Malley (18-3) vs. Song Yadong (22-8-1)

Fighter Odds to win Implied win probability
Sean O'Malley -208 67.57%
Song Yadong +170 3704%
  • O'Malley is a former bantamweight champ and is now the No. 3 contender in the division after dropping two straight title fights
    • Last fight: Submission loss to Merab Dvalishvili at UFC 316 (June 2025)
  • Song has just one fight in each of the last two years and is the No. 5 contender in the division
    • Last fight: UD win over Henry Cejudo in the main event of a Fight Night card (Feb. 2025)

Waldo Cortes-Acosta (16-2) vs. Derrick Lewis (29-12)

Fighter Odds to win Implied win probability
Waldo Cortes-Acosta -333 76.92%
Derrick Lewis +260 27.78%
  • No. 5 heavyweight Cortes-Acosta enters off back-to-back first round KO/TKO finishes, most recently taking down current No. 11 Shamil Gaziev in just 1:22 at a Fight Night in November.
  • No. 8 heavyweight Lewis also enters off back-to-back KO/TKO finishes, most recently dropping current No. 15 Tallison Teixeira in just 35 seconds in the main event of a Fight Night (July 2025)

Natalia Silva (19-5-1) vs. Rose Namajunas (15-7)

Fighter Odds to win Implied win probability
Natalia Silva -455 81.9%
Rose Namajunas +340 22.73%
  • Silva has rattled off seven straight wins since joining UFC (2022), rising to No. 2 in the women's flyweight division
    • Last fight: UD win over Alexa Grasso at UFC 315 (May 2025)
  • "Thug" Rose is a two-time strawweight champ but is just 3-2 since moving to flyweight, ranking No. 6 in the division
    • Last fight: UD win over Miranda Maverick at a FIght Night in June 2025

Arnold Allen (20-3) vs. Jean Silva (16-3)

Fighter Odds to win Implied win probability
Arnold Allen +225 30.77%
Jean Silva -303 75.19%
  • No. 6 featherweight Allen snapped a two-bout skid with a win last time out, picking up a UD win over Giga Chikadze in July 2024
    • Allen did not fight last year as he rehabbed from a shoulder injury and had announced a move to lightweight, although this fight is indeed at featherweight
  • No. 10 Silva suffered his first UFC loss last time out, suffering a second-round KO/TKO loss to Diego Lopes at Noche UFC (Sept. 2025)

🔍️ Find the best odds for every bet

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📊 UFC 324 odds - Prelims

Umar Nurmagomedov (19-1) vs. Deiveson Figueiredo (25-5-1)

Fighter Odds to win Implied win probability
Umar Nurmagomedov -1667 94.34%
Deiveson Figueiredo +850 10.53%
  • No. 2 bantamweight Nurmagomedov suffered his lone MMA loss in a title fight to Merab Dvalishvili at UFC 311 (Jan. 2025) but got back on track with a win last time out
    • Last fight: UD win over Mario Bautista at UFC 321 (Oct. 2025)
  • No. 6 Figueiredo is a former two-time flyweight champ and is 4-2 since moving to bantamweight, although snapped a two-fight skid with a win last time out
    • Last fight: split-decision win over Montel Jackson in a Fight Night (Oct. 2025)

Ateba Gautier (9-1) vs. Andrey Pulyaev (10-3)

Fighter Odds to win Implied win probability
Ateba Gautier -1000 90.91%
Andrey Pulyaev +625 13.79%
  • Gautier is a relative newcomer, with a 3-0 mark since joining the UFC from Dana White's Contenders Series (DWCS), all three coming as first-round KO/TKO wins
  • Pulyaev's UFC debut (March 2025) was a UD loss to Christian Leroy Duncan, but he bounced back with a second-round KO/TKO win over Nick Klein in August

Nikita Krylov (30-11) vs. Modestas Bukauskas (19-6)

Fighter Odds to win Implied win probability
Nikita Krylov +125 44.44%
Modestas Bukauskas -149 59.88%
  • Krylov is the No. 13 light heavyweight contender, but has lost two straight both via first-round KO/TKO (most recently to Bogdan Guskov in July 2025)
  • Bukauskas has ratted off four straight wins - two via KO/TKO, one via submission, and one via UD (most recently a KO/TKO win over Paul Craig in Sept. 2025)

📊 UFC324 odds - Early Prelims

Alex Perez (25-10) vs. Charles Johnson (18-7)

Fighter Odds to win Implied win probability
Alex Perez +170 37.04%
Charles Johnson -208 67.57%
  • Perez has lost five of his last six fights, losing by submission to Asu Almabayev (Nov. 2025), but is hanging on as the No. 11 contender in the flyweight division
  • Johnson has won five of his last six fights, topping Lone'er Kavanagh by KO/TKO (Aug. 2025), and is the No. 13 contender in the division

Michael Johnson (25-19) vs. Alexander Hernandez (18-8)

Fighter Odds to win Implied win probability
Michael Johnson +135 42.55%
Alexander Hernandez -161 61.73%
  • Johnson enters off three straight wins, most recently topping Daniel Zellhuber via UD at UFC 318 (July 2025)
  • Hernandez comes in on a four-bout win streak, beating Diego Ferreira via KO/TKO at Noche UFC (Sept. 2025) last time out

Josh Hokit (7-0) vs. Denzel Freeman (7-1)

Fighter Odds to win Implied win probability
Josh Hokit -250 71.43%
Denzel Freeman +200 33.33%
  • Former Bellator and LFA fighter, Hokit dispatched Max Gimenis via KO/TKO in just 56 seconds in his UFC debut (Nov. 2025)
  • Freeman made the leap from LFA last time out, picking up a UD win over Marek Buijo on a Fight Night card in November

Ricky Turcios (13-5) vs. Cameron Smotherman (12-6)

Fighter Odds to win Implied win probability
Ricky Turcios +165 37.74%
Cameron Smotherman -200 66.67%
  • Turcios has just five career losses, but three have come across his last four bouts - including two straight
    • Last fight: UD loss to Bernardo Sopaj at UFC 311 (Jan. 2025)
  • Smotherman also enters on a two-bout skid, losing via UD to Ricky Simon last time out in June 2025

Adam Fugitt (10-5) vs. Ty Miller (6-0)

Fighter Odds to win Implied win probability
Adam Fugitt +315 24.10%
Ty Miller -417 80.65%
  • Fugitt is just 2-3 across his five career UFC bouts, suffering a first-round KO/TKO defeat to Islam Dulatov (July 2025) last time he took the walk
  • It's a UFC debut for Miller, weight recent stops at LFA and DWCS (most recently scoring a UD victory over Jimmy Drago at DWCS in Aug. 2025)

📺 How to watch UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett

  • Date: Saturday, Jan. 24
  • Start times: 5 p.m. ET (early prelims), 7 p.m. ET (prelims), 9 p.m. ET (main card)
  • Location: T-Mobile Arena (Las Vegas)
  • TV: Paramount+

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