UFC 323 Odds Tonight: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 Odds
Our UFC 323 odds for Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 break down the whole card with the live, up-to-date best odds.
We have up-to-date UFC 323 odds as two title belts are contested tonight at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas. The main card is headlined by Merab Dvalishvili and Petr Yan clashing for the bantamweight title, and co-headlined by Alexandre Pantoja and Joshua Van tussling for the flyweight strap.
The action starts with the early prelims at 6 p.m. ET (ESPN+), followed by the prelims at 8 p.m. ET (ESPN2), and the main card at 10 p.m. ET (pay-per-view).
UFC 323 odds - Main Card
Odds provided by FanDuel
Merab Dvalishvili (21-4) vs. Petr Yan (19-5)
| Fighter | Odds to win | Implied win probability | Profit ($10 wager) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Merab Dvalishvili | -500 | 83.33% | $2 |
| Petr Yan | +340 | 22.73% | $34 |
- Dvalishvili is the bantamweight champion; Yan the No. 3 contender
- Dvalishvili has won 14 straight bouts (12 via decision) dating back to 2018, including three title defenses
- Last fight: unanimous decision over Cory Sandhagen at UFC 320 on Oct. 4
- Yan is a former champion who has won three straight fights since 2023
- Last fight: unanimous decision over Marcus McGhee on July 26
Alexandre Pantoja (30-5) vs. Joshua Van (15-2)
| Fighter | Odds to win | Implied win probability | Profit ($10 wager) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alexandre Pantoja | -265 | 72.60% | $3.77 |
| Joshua Van | +200 | 33.33% | $20 |
- Pantoja is the flyweight champion; Van the No. 1 contender
- Pantoja carries a eight-bout win streak (four via decision, four via submission), including four title defenses
- Last fight: third-round submission win over Kai Kara-France at UFC 317 in June
- Van has won six of his last seven fights over the last two years, including five straight
- Last fight: decision victory over Brandon Royval in June
Brandon Moreno (23-8-2) vs. Tatsuro Taira (17-1)
| Fighter | Odds to win | Implied win probability | Profit ($10 wager) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Moreno | +102 | 49.50% | $10.20 |
| Tatsuro Taira | -130 | 56.52% | $7.69 |
- Moreno is the #2 flyweight; Taira is the #5 contender
- Moreno is a former two-time champion and enters on a two-fight win streak, although is only 4-3 over his last seven walks to the Octagon
- Last fight: decision victory over Steve Erceg as a Fight Night headliner in March
- Taira bounced back to a split decision loss to Brandon Royval in Oct. 2024 to pick up a submission victory over HyunSung Park next time our (Aug. 2)
Henry Cejudo (16-5) vs. Payton Talbott (10-1)
| Fighter | Odds to win | Implied win probability | Profit ($10 wager) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Cejudo | +215 | 31.75% | $21.50 |
| Payton Talbott | -290 | 74.36% | $3.45 |
- Cejudo is the #10 bantamweight
- Cejudo is a former champion who lost his strap to Aljamain Sterling in 2023 and has dropped both his fights since
- Last fight: decision loss to Song Yadong on Feb. 22
- Talbott bounced back from his first career defeat by picking up a decision victory over Felipe Lima in June
Jan Blachowicz (29-11-1) vs. Bogdan Guskov (18-3)
| Fighter | Odds to win | Implied win probability | Profit ($10 wager) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan Blachowicz | -138 | 57.98% | $7.25 |
| Bogdan Guskov | +108 | 48.08% | $10.80 |
- Blachowicz is the #5 light heavyweight; Guskov the #11 contender
- Blachowicz has lost three of his last five bouts, including two straight - both via decision
- Last fight: unanimous decision loss to Carlos Ulberg in March
- Guskov has won four straight since losing his UFC debut to Volkan Oezdemir via submission
- Last fight: first-round KO/TKO over Nikita Krylov at a Fight Night in July
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UFC 323 odds - Prelims
Grant Dawson (23-2-1) vs. Manuel Torres (16-3)
| Fighter | Odds to win | Implied win probability | Profit ($10 wager) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Dawson | -235 | 70.15% | $4.26 |
| Manuel Torees | +180 | 35.71% | $18 |
- Dawson is the #13 lightweight
- Dawson has won three straight bouts (two via decision, one via KO/TKO)
- Last fight: decision victory over Diego Ferreira on Jan. 18
- Torres has seen 11 straight first-round finishes (8-3), including 4-1 since joining the UFC
- Last fight: first-round KO/TKO over Drew Dober in March
Terrance McKinney (17-7) vs. Chris Duncan (14-2)
| Fighter | Odds to win | Implied win probability | Profit ($10 wager) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Terrance McKinney | +130 | 43.48% | $13 |
| Chris Duncan | -166 | 62.41% | $6.02 |
- Each of McKinney's 24 career bouts has ended via stoppage, with an 8-5 mark via KO/TKO and a 9-2 record via submission
- Last fight: first-round submission win over Viacheslav Borschev in June
- Duncan has a 5-1 mark since making the leap from Dana White's Contender Series, with three decision wins and two submission victories
- Last fight: decision over Mateusz Rebecki in August
Maycee Barber (14-2) vs. Karine Silva (19-5)
| Fighter | Odds to win | Implied win probability | Profit ($10 wager) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Maycee Barber | -192 | 65.75% | $5.21 |
| Karine Silva | +148 | 40.32% | $14.80 |
- Barber is the #5 women's flyweight; Silva the #9 contender
- Barber has rattled off six consecutive wins, with all but one going to the judges
- Last fight: decision over Katlyn Cerminara at a Fight Night in March 2024
- Barber has had multiple scheduled fights canceled for health issues, including pneumonia, staph infections, and seizures
- Silva has had three straight fights finish via decision (2-1), but those fights came on the heels of seven consecutive submission wins that stretch back to pre-UFC
- Last fight: decision over Dione Barbosa at UFC 319 in August
Nazim Sadykhov (11-1-1) vs. Fares Ziam (17-4)
| Fighter | Odds to win | Implied win probability | Profit ($10 wager) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nazim Sadykhov | +114 | 46.73% | $11.40 |
| Fares Ziam | -146 | 59.35% | $6.85 |
- Sadykhov is 4-0-1 since making the leap to the UFC, with three wins via KO/TKO (including two TKOs by doctor's stoppage) and one submission victory
- Last fight: second-round KO/TKO win over Nikolas Motta at a Fight Night in June
- Ziam has won five straight, four of which came via decision
- Last fight: decision win over Mike Davis in February
UFC 323 odds - Early Prelims
Marvin Vettori (19-9-1) vs. Brunno Ferreira (14-2)
| Fighter | Odds to win | Implied win probability | Profit ($10 wager) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marvin Vettori | -120 | 54.55% | $8.33 |
| Brunno Ferreira | -106 | 51.46% | $9.43 |
- Vettori is the #14 middleweight
- Vettori has lost three straight, four of his last five, and five of his last seven
- Last fight: decision defeat to Brendan Allen in July
- Ferreira has never had a career fight go to the judges, but both of his career losses have come over a seven-fight UFC career
- Last fight: first-round submission win over Jackson McVery at UFC 318 in July
Edson Barboza (24-13) vs. Jalin Turner (14-9)
| Fighter | Odds to win | Implied win probability | Profit ($10 wager) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Edson Barboza | +230 | 30.30% | $23 |
| Jalin Turner | -310 | 75.61% | $3.23 |
- Barboza has dropped two straight, four his last six, and is just 5-9 over his last 14
- Last fight: decision loss to Drakkar Klose at UFC 319 in August
- Turner also enters on a two-fight skid and has just one win in his last five walks
- Last fight: first-round submission defeat to Ignacio Bahamondes at UFC 313 in March
Iwo Baraniewski (6-0) vs. Ibo Aslan (14-3)
| Fighter | Odds to win | Implied win probability | Profit ($10 wager) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Iwo Baraniewski | -200 | 66.67% | $5 |
| Ibo Aslan | +154 | 39.37% | $15.40 |
- Baraniewski is making his UFC debut after six straight first-round finishes to start his career (4-0 via KO/TKO, 2-0 via submission)
- Last fight: first-round KO/TKO of Mahamed Aly at Dana White's Contender Series on Sept. 16
- Aslan enters on a two-fight skid (one submission, one decision), which follows a six-bout streak of KO/TKO victories that pre-dates his UFC career
- Last fight: decision loss to Billy Elekana at a Fight Night in July
Mansur Abdul-Malik (8-0-1) vs. Antonio Trocoli (12-5)
| Fighter | Odds to win | Implied win probability | Profit ($10 wager) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mansur Abdul-Malik | -1400 | 93.33% | $0.71 |
| Antonio Trocoli | +680 | 12.82% | $68 |
- Abdul-Malik had an eight-fight win streak halted with a third-round draw to Cody Brundage at a Fight Night in July, his fist first that got out of the second round
- Trocoli is 0-2 in the UFC, with a KO/TKO loss to Shara Magomedov (June 2024) and a submission loss to Tresean Gore (Nov. 2024)
Muhammad Naimov (13-3) vs. Mairon Santos (17-1)
| Fighter | Odds to win | Implied win probability | Profit ($10 wager) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Muhammad Naimov | +210 | 32.26% | $21 |
| Mairon Santos | -280 | 73.68% | $3.57 |
- Naimov is 2-0 in 2025, both via decision, with wins over Kaan Ofli (Feb.) and Bogdan Grad (June)
- Santo is 3-0 in the UFC (starting with a TUF final at a Fight Night)
- Last fight: decision win over Sodiq Yusuff in May
UFC 323 best bets tonight
- UFC 323 odds
- UFC 323 predictions
- Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan prediction
- Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van prediction
- Brandon Moreno vs. Tatsuro Taira prediction
UFC 323 betting insights
We have some betting insights from BetMGM ahead of tomorrow's fights.
Most bet fights (tickets)
- Alexandre Pantoja - Joshua Van
- Merab Dvalishvili - Petr Yan
- Brandon Moreno- Tatsuro Taira
- Henry Cejudo - Payton Talbott
- Marvin Vettori - Brunno Ferreira
Most bet fighters to win (tickets)
- Petr Yan +320 (68% of the bets vs. Dvalishvili)
- Henry Cejudo +200 (82% of the bets vs. Talbott)
- Joshua Van +190 (52% of the bets vs. Pantoja)
- Brandon Moreno +105 (64% of bets vs. Taira)
- Jan Blachowicz -125 (64% of bets vs. Guskov)
Most bet fighters to win (handle)
- Alexandre Pantoja -235 (73% of handle vs. Van)
- Terrance McKinney +125 (91% of handle vs. Duncan)
- Payton Talbott -250 (71% of handle vs. Cejudo)
- Merab Dvalishvili -425 (69% of handle vs. Yan)
- Nazim Sadykhov +110 (95% of handle vs. Ziam)
Most bet props (tickets)
- Alexandre Pantoja by Submission +125
- Joshua Van (MYA) by KO/TKO or DQ +525
- Grant Dawson (USA) in round 3 +950
- Grant Dawson (USA) in round 2 +500
- Chris Duncan (SCO) in round 2 +650
Where to watch UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2
- Date: Saturday, Dec. 6
- Start times: Early Prelims - 6 p.m. ET, Prelims - 8 p.m. ET, Main Card - 10 p.m. ET
- Location: T-Mobile Arena (Las Vegas)
- TV: Early Prelims - ESPN+, Prelims - ESPN2, Main Card - Pay-per-view
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