Sean Brady vs. Michael Morales Prediction & Odds: Who Will Win UFC 322 New York?
My Sean Brady vs. Michael Morales prediction for UFC 322 spotlights a key welterweight matchup on tonight's main card. Brady enters as the -138 betting favorite ahead of the action at Madison Square Garden in New York, while Morales comes in as a live +110 betting underdog with an undefeated record and sharp striking pedigree
We’re backing Brady to win, leaning on his suffocating wrestling pressure and proven ability to control elite opponents over extended stretches.
✅ Sean Brady vs. Michael Morales predictions: UFC 322 expert picks
See all of our UFC picks for this weekend's fights.
💵 Sean Brady vs. Michael Morales best bets
- Pick to win: Sean Brady (-138 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Best bet: Brady by decision (+190 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
🥊 Sean Brady vs. Michael Morales fight preview
This is a classic clash of styles. Morales wants long-range striking exchanges, using his clean mechanics and 5.62 strikes-landed-per-minute output to control distance. His 89% takedown defense is strong on paper, and he’s outlanded every opponent so far, but he hasn’t faced a pressure grappler like Brady.
Brady’s game is built on suffocating forward movement, clinch pressure, and chained takedowns. Once he’s on top, he settles into half guard, applies heavy shoulder pressure, and forces opponents to carry his weight rather than scramble free. His approach isn’t about big damage; it’s about draining the gas tank, winning minutes, and breaking rhythm.
Morales can win moments at range, but Brady’s ability to cut the cage and turn clean strikes into grappling exchanges should tilt the majority of rounds his way. At -138, Brady has a 57.9% implied win probability, returning $7.25 profit on a $10 bet.
Prediction: Sean Brady to win (-138 via bet365)
💰 Sean Brady vs. Michael Morales best bet
Check our best UFC betting sites for the latest odds for this fight.
🔥 Brady by decision (+190)
Brady’s methodical approach aligns perfectly with a decision outcome. His game is built on control, not chaos: slow the pace, pressure the fence, secure takedowns, and stack minutes of top time. Morales is tough, disciplined, and defensively sound enough to avoid getting stopped, but spending extended periods underneath Brady makes it extremely difficult to win rounds.
Brady’s combination of cage cutting, chain wrestling, and composure in top position consistently produces 29–28 scorecards in his favor. At +190, a decision implies a 34.5% chance and returns $19 profit on a $10 wager.
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📊 Sean Brady vs. Michael Morales odds
Odds via bet365; subject to change.
| Sean Brady | Michael Morales | |
|---|---|---|
| -138 | Win outright | +110 |
| +700 | Win by KO/TKO/DQ | +300 |
| +190 | Win by decision | +300 |
| +425 | Win by submission | +2500 |
| +8000 | Draw | +8000 |
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🆚 Sean Brady vs. Michael Morales tale of the tape
| Sean Brady | Michael Morales | |
|---|---|---|
| 32 | Age | 26 |
| 5'10" | Height | 6'0" |
| 170 lbs | Weight | 170 lbs |
| 72" | Reach | 79" |
| 18-1-0 | Record | 18-0-0 |
| 3 | Wins by KO | 13 |
| 6 | Wins by submission | 1 |
| 9 | Wins by decision | 4 |
📺 How to watch Sean Brady vs. Michael Morales: UFC 322
- Date: Saturday, Nov. 15
- Time: 10 p.m. ET (main card)
- Location: Madison Square Garden (New York)
- TV: Pay-per-view
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