🩸 Max Holloway vs. Charles Oliveira Prediction, Picks & Odds: BMF Title on the Line

The BMF title is up for grabs tonight at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas as Max “Blessed” Holloway collides with Charles “Do Bronxs” Oliveira in a rematch nearly 11 years in the making. It’s time to take a deeper look at my Holloway vs. Oliveira predictions for this highly anticipated UFC 326 main event. 

Both men are future first-ballot Hall of Famers with legendary status already established among fight fans, but it’s Holloway who is the more proven competitor. The UFC all-time leader in significant strikes landed, I expect another vintage performance from the Hawaiian that will see him score a TKO stoppage inside three rounds. The entire card streams live on Paramount+, with prelims beginning at 5 p.m. ET and the main card starting at 8 p.m. ET. Current UFC 326 odds list Holloway as a -210 betting favorite.

🩸 Max Holloway vs. Charles Oliveira predictions: UFC 326

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💰 Max Holloway vs. Charles Oliveira best bet: Holloway TKO (+170)

Charles Oliveira has made a career out of being an all-action fighter. His “Kill or be Killed” mentality has seen him finish 89% of his 36 wins, but has also seen him get finished in nine of his 11 pro losses.

He will no doubt be dangerous early, but in the end, Max Holloway’s superior volume striking will take over by the middle rounds and eventually lead him to scoring a TKO victory. With five rounds to work with, there will be plenty of opportunities to capitalize on and expect the defending BMF champ to do just that.

🆚 Max Holloway vs. Charles Oliveira fight preview

Check our best UFC betting sites for the latest odds for this fight.

Oliveira’s win condition is that he needs to finish Holloway within the first two rounds. Everything outside of that favors Holloway, who has made a career out of dragging opponents into the championship rounds where he thrives.

Oliveira is no doubt a big fan favorite, but his exciting style often comes at a price, and tonight, it will be his undoing. It might not be as easy as the first fight, but the result will be the same with Holloway getting his hand raised for a second time.

Prediction: Holloway to win (-210 via FanDuel)

💡 How I'm handicapping Max Holloway vs. Charles Oliveira

The way I’m attacking this fight from a betting standpoint is to take Holloway specifically by TKO.

There’s next to no chance that he scores a submission, and with Oliveira having been finished in nine of his 11 pro losses, a decision win seems unlikely as well. Instead, this fight will come down to Holloway’s superior work rate, as I expect him to stuff the takedowns and make it a rough night for the Brazilian.

📊 Max Holloway vs. Charles Oliveira odds

Odds via BetMGM; subject to change.

⚖️ Max Holloway vs. Charles Oliveira tale of the tape

📺 How to watch Max Holloway vs. Charles Oliveira: UFC 326

• Date: Saturday, March 7
• Time: 5 p.m. ET (early prelims), 7 p.m. ET (prelims), 9 p.m. ET (main card)
• Location: T-Mobile Arena (Las Vegas)
• TV: Streaming on Paramount+