Magomed Ankalaev vs. Alex Pereira Prediction, Odds & Expert Picks: UFC 320
I'm breaking down the main event of UFC 320 with my Magomed Ankalaev vs. Alex Pereira prediction for the light heavyweight title rematch.
Ankalaev enters as the -265 betting favorite after methodically dethroning Pereira at UFC 313, and my UFC picks like the champ to retain his belt.
The main card for UFC 320 begins at 10 p.m. ET from T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas (ESPN+ PPV).
🔮 Magomed Ankalaev vs. Alex Pereira predictions: UFC 320
- Pick to win: Magomed Ankalaev (-265 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Best bet: Magomed Ankalaev by KO/TKO or submission (+105 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐
🥊 Magomed Ankalaev vs. Alex Pereira fight preview: UFC 320
Ankalaev proved himself the division’s most complete threat when he dethroned Pereira at UFC 313, using cage control, patient striking, and suffocating clinch work to blunt the Brazilian’s firepower. His takedown numbers don’t tell the story. Instead, his true edge comes from pinning foes to the fence, draining their gas, and landing sharp counters, as he did when he rocked Pereira in Round 2.
Pereira remains a lethal kickboxer with crushing calf kicks and a fight-changing left hook, but once Ankalaev trapped him on the cage, his offense disappeared. At 38, keeping the movement and urgency needed to avoid that Dagestani pressure is tough. Pereira likely needs a fast, destructive Round 1 to reclaim momentum before Ankalaev’s grind takes over.
Ankalaev’s patient but punishing style is tailor-made to smother a dangerous, aging striker. He showed he can absorb Pereira’s early power, turn the fight into a slow grind, and land damaging counters. Unless "Poatan" lands a perfect early bomb, Ankalaev’s pressure and durability should carry him to another title defense.
✅ Prediction: Magomed Ankalaev to win (-265 via FanDuel)
💰 Magomed Ankalaev vs. Alex Pereira best bet: UFC 320
Check our best UFC betting sites for the latest odds for this fight.
🔥 Magomed Ankalaev by KO/TKO or submission (+195)
Ankalaev already broke Pereira’s rhythm once. This time, he’s likely to go a step further. With Poatan forced to take more risks and his gas tank tested under clinch pressure, Ankalaev’s steady punishment and sharp counters could create a late finish.
Add in the threat of chain wrestling and opportunistic submissions, and the “inside the distance” angle gives a better payout than a straight moneyline.
🔮 UFC 320 expert picks
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📊 Magomed Ankalaev vs. Alex Pereira odds: UFC 320
Odds via BetMGM; subject to change.
| Magomed Ankalaev | Method of victory | Alex Pereira |
|---|---|---|
| -263 | Win outright | +210 |
| +200 | Win by KO/TKO/DQ | +300 |
| +125 | Win by unanimous decision | +900 |
| +5000 | Draw | +5000 |
🆚 Magomed Ankalaev vs. Alex Pereira tale of the tape: UFC 320
| Magomed Ankalaev | Alex Pereira | |
|---|---|---|
| 33 | Age | 38 |
| 6-foot-3 | Height | 6-foot-4 |
| 205 lbs | Weight | 205 lbs |
| 75″ | Reach | 80″ |
| 21–1–1 | Record | 12–3–0 |
📺 How to watch UFC 320: Magomed Ankalaev vs. Alex Pereira
- Date: Saturday, Oct. 4
- Time: 10 p.m. ET
- Location: T-Mobile Arena (Las Vegas)
- TV: ESPN+ PPV
❓ Magomed Ankalaev vs. Alex Pereira FAQs
Who is favored to win the Magomed Ankalaev vs. Alex Pereira fight?
Magomed Ankalaev is the -265 favorite over Alex Pereira.
Who will win between Magomed Ankalaev vs. Alex Pereira?
My recommended plays are Magomed Ankalaev moneyline (-265) and Ankalaev to win inside the distance (+195).
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