Gaethje Primed to Upset Pimblet: Justin Gaethje vs. Paddy Pimblett Betting Preview & Prediction
Justin Gaethje and Paddy Pimblett have made weight, and the interim lightweight title is officially up for grabs in the UFC 324 main event Saturday night in Las Vegas. Main card action starts at 9 p.m. ET and can be seen by American viewers on Paramount+, while Canadians can catch it live on pay-per-view.
Paddy Pimblett is the UFC 324 odds favourite at -235.
🆚 Justin Gaethje vs. Paddy Pimblett fight preview
Check our best UFC betting sites for the latest odds for this fight.
Gaethje enters this fight having won three of his last four. In all three of those wins, he cashed as the betting underdog, much to the delight of his backers. He's getting the same status in the Justin Garthje vs. Paddy Pimblett odds. At 37 years old, he doesn’t appear to be slowing down just yet and looks to have a couple more high-profile wins left in him.
In the Americans’ 14-fight UFC run, he’s competed against the likes of Charles Oliveira, Dustin Poirier, Max Holloway, and Khabib Nurmagomedov. Paddy Pimblett has yet to test himself against the upper echelon of the division and is facing his toughest opponent yet. Expect a closely contested first few rounds before Gaethje’s championship pedigree emerges late.
Prediction: Justin Gaethje to win (+195 via DraftKings)
🩸 Justin Gaethje vs. Paddy Pimblett Predictions: UFC 324
See all of our UFC picks for this weekend's fights; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale.
| Market | Pick | Odds | Confidence |
| Pick to win | Justin Gaethje ML | +195 via DraftKings | ⭐⭐⭐ |
| Best bet | Over 2.5 Rounds | -116 via FanDuel | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
💰 Justin Gaethje vs. Paddy Pimblett Best Bet: Over 2.5 Rounds (-116)
Both fighters historically do their best work the later the fight goes, and with five rounds to work with, expect the action to really heat up in the second half. Gaethje sports an absurd 20 career wins by KO.
However, he’s facing an opponent in Paddy Pimblett who has never been knocked out in his 13-year fight career. Both men have gone Over 2.5 rounds in three of their last four fights. And with so much on the line, they'll likely respect each other early and try not to make a mistake.
Take the Over on 2.5 rounds for one of your UFC 324 best bets.
📊 Justin Gaethje vs. Paddy Pimblett odds
Odds via BetMGM; subject to change.
| Justin Gaethje | Paddy Pimblett | |
| +195 | Win outright | -235 |
| +350 | Win by KO/TKO/DQ | +400 |
| +2500 | Win by submission | +100 |
| +550 | Win by decision | +550 |
| Over: -115 | Over/Under 2.5 rounds | Under: -115 |
⚖️ Justin Gaethje vs. Paddy Pimblett tale of the tape
| Justin Gaethje | Paddy Pimblett | |
| 37 | Age | 31 |
| 5’11 | Height | 5’10 |
| 155 | Weight | 155 |
| 70” | Reach | 73” |
| 26-5 | Record | 23-3 |
| 20 | Wins by KO | 7 |
| 1 | Wins by submission | 10 |
| 0/0 | Head-to-head | 0/0 |
📺 How to watch Justin Gaethje vs. Paddy Pimblett: UFC 324
- Date: Saturday, Jan. 24
- Start times: 5 p.m. ET (early prelims), 7 p.m. ET (prelims), 9 p.m. ET (main card)
- Location: T-Mobile Arena (Las Vegas)
- TV: Paramount+
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