⚽ Wolves vs. Liverpool Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tuesday's Premier League Match
Liverpool is on the road to visit bottom-of-the-table Wolves on Tuesday, March 3, and my Wolves vs. Liverpool prediction will have you all set before the action kicks off from Molineux at 3:15 p.m. ET (USA Network).
While Wolves picked up a shocking home victory over Aston Villa last time out, Liverpool will present a totally different type of challenge. Oddsmakers have Liverpool lined as a -225 moneyline betting favorite, so we'll have to look elsewhere to find our Premier League best bets for the day.
⚽ Wolves vs. Liverpool predictions
See our experts' soccer picks based on the latest Premier League odds.
| Predictions | Best odds | Bet size | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool -1 | +120 via bet365 | 0.5 units -> 0.6 units | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
| Over 2.5 goals | -175 via bet365 | 0.5 units -> 0.43 units | ⭐⭐⭐ |
| Andre to commit 2+ fouls | +120 via bet365 | 0.75 units -> 0.9 units | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
| Dominik Szoboszlai anytime goal scorer or assist | +110 via bet365 | 0.25 -> 0.28 units | ⭐⭐⭐ |
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💰 Wolves vs. Liverpool best bet
Check out all of our soccer betting analysis and expert predictions this season.
Liverpool -1 (+120)
Liverpool's run of strong results has them well-positioned to make a push for a Champions League spot. Liverpool has an xG of 1.74/match, very nearly in line with their 1.68 goals scored/match. The Reds have potted 12 goals across their last five Prem games, allowing just five.
Wolverhampton's second win of the season came on Friday despite having fewer shots, shots on target, corners, and possession. Wolves' -31 goal differential highlights a consistent inability to deal with elite transitions.
The hosts will crash back to earth on Tuesday, likely while losing to nil.
Score prediction: Liverpool 3, Wolves 0
🔥 Best Wolves vs. Liverpool prop bet
Andre to commit 2+ fouls (+120)
Andre is going to have his hands full against the Liverpool midfield, particularly Ryan Gravenberch and Alexis Mac Allister, who are both adept at drawing fouls. Wolves have struggled with possession against squads near the top of the table, which often forces their midfield to commit more fouls.
Andre's 32 fouls place him second on the squad behind just Joao Gomes (54 fouls), but the latter is -188 for two or more fouls committed. Andre's nine yellow cards are also second on the team. He's one of the team's biggest "enforcers."
Liverpool's high-transition play, combined with a 85.9% passing accuracy in the Premier League, will leave Andre needing to commit tactical fouls to break up play.
🙌 Best Wolves vs. Liverpool goal-scorer prediction
Dominik Szoboszlai, Liverpool, anytime goal scorer or assist (+110)
The Wolves have allowed a whopping 51 goals, while scoring only 20; the natural move here is to identify a Liverpool player who can get involved. Many of the usual suspects are priced much worse than this, which is a wild given Szoboszlai's recent form.
The Hungarian has potted five goals while tallying three assists across his last 10 games, failing to find the scoresheet just three times in that stretch. Two of those games saw him lined up at right back, which I don't anticipate being the case on Tuesday. Frimpong was available off the bench on Saturday and should be nearing his return to the starting lineup, meaning Szoboszlai should be set to compete in the midfield.
There's a certain amount of excitement when he stands over a free kick within reach of the goal, as he can produce absolute world-class goals.
🚀 Wolves vs. Liverpool same-game parlay
This is a game where Arne Solt and co. know they need to come away with three points. I expect Liverpool to be effective offensively, play tight defensively, and dominate possession. It should lead to Liverpool covering the spread, the total exceeding 2.5 goals, and Andre racking up fouls.
💵 Wolves vs. Liverpool SGP picks
- Liverpool -1 (+120)
- Over 2.5 (-175)
- Andre 2+ fouls committed (+120)
Best odds: +500 via bet365 (0.2 units -> 1 unit)
⚖️ How I'm handicapping Wolves vs. Liverpool
I'm not reading too much into Wolverhampton's recent besting of Aston Villa, but I'm also a little bit leery of Liverpool's recent road form (back-to-back 1-0 victories over Nottingham Forest and Sunderland). It's just that the moneyline price (-225) is too steep to play on its own. My favorite play here is the Andre 2+ fouls, as I think he's going to have his hands quite full with Gravenberch and Mac Allister.
Wolves vs. Liverpool key stats
| Wolves | Liverpool | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 20 | 47 |
| Goals against | 51 | 37 |
| Home record / away record | 2-3-10 | 6-3-5 |
| Both teams to score home / away | 47% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 goals at home / away | 53% | 64% |
📊 Wolves vs. Liverpool odds
Liverpool is by far the more popular team, and surely will attract more money as we near gametime. We've already seen the line move from a -200 to as long as -240, and I suspect the market ends up near the higher end of the market across the board.
The Over 2.5 is priced absolutely as high as I could dip into already, at -175, and 3.5 is absolutely off the books right now given Liverpool's recent road woes. I think as it stands now, "Both Teams to Score: No (+100)" would be my choice over the total.
🆚 Wolves vs. Liverpool projected lineups
Here are Tuesday's projected lineups for Wolves vs. Liverpool; lineups subject to change:
| Wolves (3-4-2-1) | Liverpool |
|---|---|
| Sa (GK) | Alisson (GK) |
| Krejci | Frimpong |
| Santi Bueno | Konate |
| Toti | van Dijk |
| Hugo Bueno | Kerkez |
| Joao Gomes | Gravenberch |
| Andre | Mac Allister |
| Tchatchoua | Salah |
| Mane | Szoboszlai |
| Gomes | Gakpo |
| Armstrong | Ekitike |
📈 Wolves vs. Liverpool betting trends
| Wolves | Statistic | Liverpool |
|---|---|---|
| 2-7-20 | Season record | 14-6-8 |
| Liverpool 2, Wolves 1 | Reverse fixture | Dec. 27, 2025 |
| LDDLW | Last 5 games | WLWWW |
| Wolves 2, Aston Villa 0 (Feb. 27) | Previous result | Liverpool 5, West Ham 2 (Feb. 28) |
| Wolves have kept a clean sheet in just 20% of their home games, while failing to score themselves in 40% | Key stat | Liverpool have won their last six matches against Wolverhampton |
Wolves picked up just their second win of the season last time out, and in doing so, removed any chance of having the worst season in Premier League history. A 2-0 victory where they scored on both shots on goal isn't likely to repeat against a Liverpool side that's better across the board than Villa.
Liverpool, similarly, isn't super likely to replicate it's five goal outburst from Saturday against West Ham. Liverpool scored three first-half goals from corners, which is a hard act to repeat.
🌤️ Wolves vs. Liverpool weather
The weather should have almost no impact on the Wolves vs. Liverpool game on Tuesday, with the forecast in Wolverhampton, England, in the mid-to-high 40s. Winds are expected to average just under 10 mph, with gusts only reaching the 15 mph range, and there is very little chance of rain (kind of shockingly).
📺 How to watch Wolves vs. Liverpool
- Date: Tuesday, March 3
- Kickoff: 3:15 p.m. ET
- Location: Molineux Stadium (Wolverhampton, England)
- TV: USA Network
❓ Wolves vs. Liverpool FAQ
Who is favored to win Wolves vs. Liverpool?
Liverpool is favored to win Wolves vs. Liverpool on Tuesday. Liverpool is a -225 betting favorite.
Who is the best Wolves vs. Liverpool bet?
My best bet for Wolves vs. Liverpool is Andre to have 2+ fouls (+125); I also will be backing Liverpool -1 (+120).
Where to watch Wolves vs. Liverpool in the US and Canada?
You can watch Wolves vs. Liverpool on USA Network in the United States, or steam the game on Fubo TV in Canada.
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