⚽ Tottenham vs. Crystal Palace Prediction, Picks & Odds for Thursday's Premier League Match
Spurs are in a world of hurt, reeling near the bottom of the table as they welcome Crystal Palace to Tottenham Hotspur Stadium on Thursday (3 p.m. ET, USA Network).
With discord, frustration, and disunity emitting from Spurs' locker room like the smell of fish from a seafood market, I expect another troubled outing from the home betting favorite in my Tottenham vs. Crystal Palace prediction. Tottenham is the +135 favorite despite having the joint-worst home record.
My player prop features a former Lilywhite who could come back to haunt his former team.
⚽ Tottenham vs. Crystal Palace predictions
See our experts' soccer picks based on the latest Premier League odds.
| Predictions | Best odds | Bet size | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace ML | +200 via FanDuel | 0.5u -> 1 | ⭐⭐⭐ |
| Over 2.5 goals | -120 via FanDuel | 1u -> 0.83 | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
| Brennan Johnson | +380 via BetMGM | 0.2 -> 0.76 | ⭐⭐⭐ |
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💰 Tottenham vs. Crystal Palace best bet
Check out all of our soccer betting analysis and expert predictions this season.
Over 2.5 goals (-120)
Tottenham allowed 12 goals in the previous five games and has conceded 22 at home, the fifth-most in the top flight. Five of its previous seven matches across all competitions had at least three goals, with three featuring at least four.
The Over cashed in four of Crystal Palace's last seven Premier League matches. Both teams are missing a starting center back as Tottenham's Cristian Romero serves the final match of his suspension, and Maxence Lacroix misses out for Palace after being sent off against Manchester United on Sunday.
Score prediction: Crystal Palace 2, Tottenham 2
🙌 Best Tottenham vs. Crystal Palace goal-scorer prediction
Brennan Johnson anytime goal (+380)
The stage is set, and while the script isn't, wouldn't it be the most "Spursy" thing of all time if Brennan Johnson comes back to haunt his former team?
Johnson will be highly motivated after being discarded by Tottenham's former manager, Thomas Frank, who was himself recently shown the door. Johnson has two goals in 12 starts for Palace and scored once in two Champions League matches while he was still playing for Spurs.
I expect him to get some playing time, and I wouldn't be surprised to see him make it count.
💡 Why price shopping at sportsbooks is so important
BetMGM offers odds of +380 on Johnson to score, while FanDuel lists it at +270. That would be a difference in profit of $11 on a winning $10 bet. Sometimes, the odds at the best sports betting sites don't differ much. But then you get examples like this, where the contrast is sizable.
🚀 Tottenham vs. Crystal Palace same-game parlay
💵 Tottenham vs. Crystal Palace SGP picks
- Crystal Palace ML (+200)
- Over 2.5 goals (-130)
- Brennan Johnson anytime goal (+380)
Best odds: +2448 via BetMGM (0.1u -> 2.49u)
⚖️ How I'm handicapping Tottenham vs. Crystal Palace
Tottenham has been in free fall for most of the season, and things haven't improved since Igor Tudor replaced Frank as manager.
From the outside, it appears as bad, if not worse under his stewardship. The lack of unity and direction is astonishing, and I fear the worst for a side that looks more disconnected than an open drawbridge. With Spurs' poor defensive record, I feel more confident in the Over cashing than I do a Crystal Palace victory.
However, given previous performances, it won't be easy for Spurs to come together in this dark moment, especially with their new coach publicly castigating them at every turn.
The Johnson pick is more of a long shot, a gut feel in a sense. That's why I'm only devoting 0.2 units. Each unit is $10.
Tottenham vs. Crystal Palace key stats
| Stat | Tottenham | Crystal Palace |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 38 | 30 |
| Goals against | 43 | 34 |
| Tackles won | 338 | 313 |
| Yellow cards | 69 | 58 |
| Red cards | 3 | 2 |
📊 Tottenham vs. Crystal Palace odds
⬇️ Will Tottenham get relegated?
The odds at FanDuel for Tottenham to get relegated are +500. That's the third-shortest behind West Ham (-160), and Nottingham Forest (+270). Wolves and Burnley aren't listed as they're already presumed to be going down.
Spurs are just five points up on West Ham with 10 matches to play, which isn't much of a buffer considering how poorly the former is playing.
Tottenham is winless in 10 Premier League matches, having lost six, which makes the +500 odds at FanDuel a steal.
Those odds represent a 16.67% implied probability. I reckon it should be higher, much higher. I give them at least a 25% chance of making the drop, which would be catastrophic for a club still competing in the Champions League.
Is it worth a punt? Yes, unequivocally.
🆚 Tottenham vs. Crystal Palace projected lineups
Here are Thursday's projected lineups for Tottenham vs. Crystal Palace; lineups subject to change:
| Tottenham | Crystal Palace |
|---|---|
| Guglielmo Vicario, GK | Dean Henderson, GK |
| Kevin Danso, CB | Jaydee Canvot, CB |
| Micky van de Ven, CB | Christopher Richards, CB |
| Radu Dragusin, CB (FB) | Chadi Riad, CB |
| Pedro Porro, FB | Daniel Muñoz, FB |
| Pape Sarr, M | Adam Wharton, M |
| João Palhinha, M | Daichi Kamada, M |
| Archie Gray, M | Tyrick Mitchel, (winger) |
| Xavi Simons, M | Ismaïla Sarr, (winger) |
| Mathys Tel, F | Brennan Johnson, F |
| Richarlison, F | Jørgen Strand Larsen, F |
📈 Tottenham vs. Crystal Palace betting trends
| Tottenham | Statistic | Crystal Palace |
|---|---|---|
| 7W, 8D, 13L | Season record | 9W, 8D, 11L |
| DLLLL | Last 5 games | DWLWL |
| 2-1 L, Fulham | Previous result | 2-1 L, Manchester United |
| Conceded 12 goals in last 5 games | Key stat | 4 of previous 7 games hit the Over |
🌤️ Tottenham vs. Crystal Palace weather
It will be about 52 degrees at kickoff, with wind gusting to 13 mph and no chance of precipitation.
📺 How to watch Tottenham vs. Crystal Palace
- Date: Thursday, March 5
- Kickoff: 3 p.m. ET
- Location: Tottenham Hotspur Stadium (London)
- Streaming: USA Network, DAZN (Canada)
❓ Tottenham vs. Crystal Palace FAQ
Who is favored to win Tottenham vs. Crystal Palace?
Tottenham is the +135 moneyline betting favorite.
Who is the best Tottenham vs. Crystal Palace bet?
The Over 2.5-goal market (-120) is my best bet for the match.
Where to watch Tottenham vs. Crystal Palace in the US and Canada?
You can streak it on USA Network in the US and DAZN in Canada.
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