⚽ PSG vs. Monaco Same-Game Parlay, Odds: UCL Knockout Playoffs Predictions (Feb. 25)
The defending champions are a solid outing away from joining the other juggernauts in the Round of 16 as I offer my PSG vs. Monaco same-game parlay and odds for Wednesday's Champions League match.
After winning a 5-goal thriller in Monaco last week, PSG takes a 3-2 advantage into Wednesday's home match at Parc des Princes (3 p.m. ET, Paramount+). The French champions are the massive -380 moneyline betting favorite to win the second leg. With such short odds, I'm focusing on three different bets for the featured 3-leg same-game parlay.
💰 PSG vs. Monaco SGP parlay
- Leg 1: PSG leading at halftime (-170)
- Leg 2: Under 3.5 goals (-110) | Parlay total: +203
- Leg 3: Desire Doue anytime goal (-115) | Parlay total: +467
SGP total odds: +467 via BetMGM ($10 to win $46.70)
💵 Bankroll management
Properly managing your bankroll is the most crucial aspect of sports betting, regardless of the sport or your preferred bet types. Our betting calculator can help you decide how much to commit to each wager, and we advise tracking your deposits, withdrawals, and bets. Here's a look at how I'll bet this parlay.
- Leg 1 -> 0.6 units
- Add Leg 2 -> 0.2 units
- Add Leg 3 -> 0.2 units
- Total risk: 1 units | Total possible profit: 4.67 units
One unit represents a $10 bet. To learn more about this topic, check out our LJ Blut's how-to-bankroll-management article.
🔥 PSG leading at halftime
Don't miss the rest of our soccer picks for every game this season.
Monaco managed a halftime draw at home last week against PSG, but Wednesday's match in Paris will not be so kind to the visitors. Monaco struggled on the road in the group stage, winning one of four matches.
Monaco was outscored in enemy environments 12-5, including a 6-1 drubbing at the hands of Real Madrid. On the other hand, PSG is outstanding at home, scoring 30 goals while allowing just four in 11 Ligue 1 contests.
Leg 1: PSG leading at halftime (-170) | Implied probability: 62.96%
⬇️ Under 3.5 goals
As I discussed in my Champions League knockout expert picks, the second leg will unfold in an entirely different manner than last week's high-scoring opener.
Monaco cannot afford to get into a shootout with such a prolific attacking team, which calls for cagey, defensive start. PSG will also want to play a much more solid defensive game, which they often do at home.
PSG allowed one goal in its previous four home matches, and Monaco bagged just one in the last four in enemy environments.
Leg 2: Under 3.5 goals (-110) | Implied probability: 52.38%
Parlay total: +203 | Implied probability: 33%
⚽ Desire Doue anytime goal
Doue is full of desire. Sorry, I couldn't help myself. And nor can Doue, who bagged two goals in the first leg.
He has four goals in five Champions League matches since returning from injury. With only four goals in 14 Ligue 1 matches, Doue saves his best footy for this competition. PSG's creative players had their way with Monaco in the opener, and while I expect the visitors to be better at the back, Doue should get at least one opening.
Leg 3: Desire Doue anytime goal (-115) | Implied probability: 53.49%
Parlay total: +467 | Implied probability: 17.64%
💡 How I'm betting PSG vs. Monaco
I'm placing just one full unit ($10) on the same-game parlay, given its low 17.64% chance of cashing. Each leg, on its own, has at least a 52% probability.
As every leg needs to hit, it's important not to invest too much money or units in same-game parlays. The return on investment makes putting more money down alluring, but you'll want to refrain due to the overall improbability.
PSG will come out firing, and it will be focused on adding to its goal advantage early. After scoring early-ish, I expect them to lock it down at the back while bossing the ball.
If PSG scores first but Doue isn't responsible, he'll have a prime opportunity to bag one on the counter as Monaco attempts to cut the aggregate deficit. That's the game script I envision, with PSG winning 2-0.
📊 Live PSG vs. Monaco odds
See the latest Champions League odds for every game in real time.
🌤️ PSG vs. Monaco weather
There's nothing concerning in Paris' forecast on Wednesday, with 54 degrees at kickoffs and wind gusting to 12 mph.
📺 How to watch PSG vs. Monaco
- Date: Wednesday, Feb. 25
- Kickoff: 3 p.m. ET
- Location: Parc des Princes (Paris)
- How to watch: Paramount+
💡Champions League predictions
- Champions League knockout expert picks
- Inter Milan vs. Bodo/Glimt same-game parlay
- Atletico Madrid vs. Club Brugge same-game parlay
- Juventus vs. Galatasaray same-game parlay
- PSG vs. Monaco same-game parlay
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