Man City vs. Nottingham Forest Prediction, Odds & Picks: Premier League Preview (March 4)
Last Updated: March 3, 2026 9:15 AM EST • 4 minute read X Social Google News Link
Regardless of whether Erling Haaland features, I'm backing the home betting favorite in my Man City vs. Nottingham Forest prediction.
City is the -250 favorite to decrease Arsenal's lead to two points. Like most people who follow the Premier League, I'm predicting that's what will happen.
I've combined it with a second leg to optimize potential returns while featuring an Antoine Semenyo goal-scoring prop. Wednesday's match at Etihad Stadium kicks off at 2:30 p.m. ET (Peacock).
⚽ Man City vs. Nottingham Forest predictions
See our experts' soccer picks based on the latest Premier League odds.
| Predictions | Best odds | Bet size | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Man City & Over 2.5 goals | -110 via BetMGM | 2u -> 1.82u | ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
| Over 2.5 goals | -175 via BetMGM | 2u -> 1.14 | ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
| Antoine Semenyo anytime goal | +135 via FanDuel | 0.5 -> 0.675 | ⭐⭐⭐ |
Total wagered: 4.5 units | Max profit: 3.64 units
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🚑 Will Erling Haaland play vs. Nottingham Forest?
Haaland is expected to train with the team on Tuesday, indicating he is close to being fit enough to play.
However, with all of the important forthcoming matches, including Real Madrid in the Champions League, I doubt he will feature in a home match against Nottingham Forest.
Guardiola can ill afford to have his top goal scorer out of the lineup long term, and his squad should be able to take care of business in his absence comfortably.
💰 Man City vs. Nottingham Forest best bet
Check out all of our soccer betting analysis and expert predictions this season.
Man City win & Over 2.5 goals (-110)
Man City shouldn't require Haaland's services for its home match against relegation favorite Nottingham Forest.
The Citzyzens are unbeaten in 13 matches in the Premier League and have won seven in a row in all competitions at home. During their current winning run, City has outscored opponents 25-3 at Etihad Stadium.
While Forest has fared admirably on the road for a team fighting for their Premier League life, it has lost two in a row on enemy turf and is facing an in-form City that, being just five points behind Arsenal with a game in hand, couldn't be more motivated.
Score prediction: Man City 3, Nottingham Forest 1
🙌 Best Man City vs. Nottingham Forest goal-scorer prediction
Antoine Semenyo, Man City (+135)
I feel lost when I can't back Haaland to bag at least one. With the Norwegian's status up in the air, I'm on the Semenyo train, which paid dividends when I picked him to score against Fulham last month.
The new arrival is fitting in well in Manchester, having scored four goals in the last six Premier League encounters, including two in the previous three. And by the way, he netted in two of the previous three meetings against Nottingham Forest, when he still played for Bournemouth.
With the outrageous amount of talent he plays alongside, I can only see that return improving. I'd play this bet to +120.
💡 Sportsbook price shopping
Sometimes, the odds at the best sports betting sites vary widely, with Semenyo's goals prop a prime example. BetMGM offers -120 for him to score, while FanDuel offers +135. That's a $51.67 difference in profit on a winning $100 bet.
🚀 Man City vs. Nottingham Forest same-game parlay
💵 Man City vs. Nottingham Forest SGP picks
- Man City & Over 2.5 goals (-110)
- Antoine Semenyo anytime goal (+135)
Best odds: +349 via FanDuel (0.5u -> 1.75)
⚖️ How I'm handicapping Man City vs. Nottingham Forest
Despite having to use a combo play to elicit decent value, Man City at home against a relegation contender is a dream scenario for soccer bettors.
The combo, 2-leg play for teams like City and Arsenal at home is one of my favorite soccer picks.
As I'm so confident in the 2-leg parlay and the Over, I'm devoting 2 units to both. Each unit is $10. I'm not as confident in Semenyo scoring, which is why it's a .5-unit play.
Man City vs. Nottingham Forest key stats
| Man City | Nottingham Forest | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 57 | 26 |
| Goals against | 25 | 41 |
| Total passes | 16,078 | 11,748 |
| Tackles won | 258 | 282 |
📊 Man City vs. Nottingham Forest odds
🆚 Man City vs. Nottingham Forest projected lineups
Here are Wednesday's projected lineups for Man City vs. Nottingham Forest. Lineups subject to change:
| Man City | Nottingham Forest |
|---|---|
| Gianluigi Donnarumma, GK | Matz Sels, GK |
| Matheus Nunes, FB | Ola Aina, FB |
| Rúben Dias, CB | Nikola Milenković, CB |
| Marc Guéhi, CB | Murillo, CB |
| Rayan Aït-Nouri, FB | Neco Williams, FB |
| Nicolás González, MF | Ibrahim Sangaré, MF |
| Rayan Cherki, MF | Elliot Anderson, MF |
| Tijjani Reijnders, MF | Dan Ndoye, MF |
| Phil Foden, MF | Morgan Gibbs-White, MF |
| Antoine Semenyo, F | Callum Hudson-Odoi, MF |
| Omar Marmoush, F | Igor Jesus, F |
📈 Man City vs. Nottingham Forest betting trends
| Man City | Statistic | Nottingham Forest |
|---|---|---|
| 18-5-5 | Season record | 7-6-15 |
| DWWWW | Last 5 games | DLDLL |
| 1-0 W, Leeds | Previous result | 2-1 L, Brighton |
| Unbeaten in 13 at home in Premier League | Key stat | Forest has the third-fewest away goals (13) |
🌤️ Man City vs. Nottingham Forest weather
It will be a cool 45 degrees at kickoff, with just 1% chance of precipitation. Wind will also be a non-factor, gusting to 10 mph.
📺 How to watch Man City vs. Nottingham Forest
- Date: Wednesday, March 4
- Kickoff: 2:30 p.m. ET
- Location: Etihad Stadium (Manchester)
- TV: Peacock
👊 How successful are Gary Pearson's bets?
Here are Gary Pearson's betting results for February and thus far in March:
- Overall February record: 80/150 (53% success rate), +19 units
- March bets thus far: 8/15, +4.87 units
❓ Man City vs. Nottingham Forest FAQ
Who is favored to win Man City vs. Nottingham Forest?
Man City is the clear -250 moneyline betting favorite.
Who is the best Man City vs. Nottingham Forest bet?
I'm backing Man City to win in a game with at least three goals (-110).
Where to watch Man City vs. Nottingham Forest in the US and Canada?
You can stream it on Peacock in the US and on DAZN in Canada.
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