Maple Leafs vs. Avalanche Prediction, Picks & Best Bets Today: Best NHL Bets (Monday, Jan. 12)
My Maple Leafs vs. Avalanche prediction breaks down Monday's marquee showdown between the league's best team and a Toronto squad that's won five of its six games since the calendar turned to 2026.
While this matchup features superstars Nathan MacKinnon and Auston Matthews, my NHL picks include backing an underrated goal scorer instead. Puck drop is at 10 p.m. ET from Ball Arena in Denver (ESPN+, Sportsnet+), with the Avalanche a -265 home betting favorite.
🏒 Maple Leafs vs. Avalanche predictions
See all of our experts' NHL picks based on the latest NHL odds.
| Player/Team/Total | Prop bet | Best odds | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Avalanche | -1.5 puck line | -105 via DraftKings | ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
| Over/Under | Under 6.5 | -115 via DraftKings | ⭐⭐⭐ |
| Player prop: Brock Nelson, C, Avalanche | Anytime goal | +180 via FanDuel | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
💰 Maple Leafs vs. Avalanche best bet: Avalanche -1.5 (-105) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
Check out all of our NHL analysis and expert predictions this season.
The Avalanche have been nearly unbeatable on home ice this season, with a 19-0-2 record at Ball Arena that includes zero regulation losses.
Colorado is favored by as much as -265 on the moneyline, so the -1.5 puck line is the better target here.
And even with the Maple Leafs turning around their season with zero regulation losses over their last nine games, the Avalanche are simply too much to handle in their own building.
Colorado has a plus-60 goal differential at home, winning by an average of three goals per game.
Score prediction: Avalanche 4, Maple Leafs 2
🔥 Best Maple Leafs vs. Avalanche prop bet: Brock Nelson anytime goal (+180) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Brock Nelson now ranks second on the Avalanche in goals behind league-leader Nathan MacKinnon after scoring 15 over his last 20 games.
And he's picking his spots well without a ton of shooting volume, as he leads Colorado with a 22.3 shooting percentage.
Given his recent form and the +180 price tag at FanDuel, I love backing Nelson to score tonight instead of MacKinnon's minus-money odds.
That's why Nelson is one of my favorite NHL anytime goal scorer predictions today.
🚀 Best Maple Leafs vs. Avalanche SGP bets
💵 Maple Leafs vs. Avalanche same-game parlay
- Avalanche -1.5 (-105) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Under 6.5 (-115) ⭐⭐⭐
- Brock Nelson anytime goal (+175) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Best odds: +904 via DraftKings ($10 to win $90.35)
📈 Maple Leafs vs. Avalanche betting trends
| Maple Leafs | Statistic | Avalanche |
|---|---|---|
| 22-15-7 | W-L record | 33-4-7 |
| 19-25 | ATS record | 25-19 |
| 24-20 | O/U record | 19-25 |
| 4-0-1 | Last 5 games | 3-2-0 |
🚑 Maple Leafs vs. Avalanche injuries
📺 How to watch Maple Leafs vs. Avalanche
- Date: Monday, Jan. 12
- Puck drop: 10 p.m. ET
- Location: Ball Arena (Denver)
- TV: ESPN+, Sportsnet+
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