🏒 Maple Leafs vs. Lightning Prediction & Player Props: Expect an Olympic Hangover

Goals will be tough to come by tonight between the Leafs and Lightning, as I'm expecting both teams to suffer from an Olympic hangover.
Toronto Maple Leafs right wing William Nylander - who's featured in my Leafs vs. Lightning prediction - during the third period.
Pictured: Toronto Maple Leafs right wing William Nylander - who's featured in my Leafs vs. Lightning prediction - during the third period. Photo by: Sergei Belski-Imagn Images
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The Olympics are now (sadly) over and it's back to your regular-scheduled programming, so I've found three plays as part of my Leafs vs. Lightning prediction.

Tampa comes into this one as -225 favorites on the moneyline against their playoff rivals. However, don't expect William Nylander to be silent in what should be a low-scoring affair.


🏒 Leafs vs. Lightning predictions

See all of our experts' NHL picks based on the latest NHL odds.

Bet type Bet Best odds Units
Puck line Leafs +1.5 -135 via FanDuel 1u to win 0.74u
Total Under 6.5  -128 via FanDuel 2u to win 1.56u
Player prop: William Nylander 3+ SOG +150 via FanDuel 1u to win 1.5u

Total wagered: 4 units | Max profit: 3.8 units


💰 Leafs vs. Lightning best bet: Under 6.5 goals (-128) 

Check out all of our NHL analysis and expert predictions this season.

Andrei Vasilevskiy is currently playing some of the most clinical hockey of his career. He enters tonight's game with a 2.11 GAA and a sparkling .920 save percentage, and has been one of the hardest goalies to beat at even strength this year. I'm also expecting a post-Olympic hangover, with many of the marquee stars in this game - including Auston Matthews, William Nylander, and Jake Guentzel - returning from the intensity of the Olympic tournament.

Score prediction: Leafs 2, Lightning 3 


🔥 Best Leafs vs. Lightning prop bet: William Nylander to fire on net (+150)

William Nylander entered the Olympic break firing three pucks on net in three straight games, so I'm a tad confused as to why we're seeing this type of value for three shots on goal. With the heavy power-play minutes the Swede plays, I'm firing Nylander up with confidence as part of my Leafs vs. Lightning predictions.

Our Liam Fox targets a skater from this matchup as part of his NHL anytime goal scorer predictions today.


🚀 Best Leafs vs. Lightning SGP bets

💵 Leafs vs. Lightning same-game parlay

  • Leafs +1.5 (-135) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
  • Under 6.5 goals (-128) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
  • William Nylander 3+ SOG (+150) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Best odds: +675 via FanDuel (.5u to win 3.37u)


📈 Leafs vs. Lightning betting trends

Maple Leafs Statistic Lightning
27-21-9 W–L Record 37-14-4
24-33 Puck line Record 27-28
33-24 O/U Record  26-28-1
4-5-1 Last 10 Games 8-1-1

🚑 Leafs vs. Lightning injuries


📺 How to watch Leafs vs. Lightning

  • Date: Wednesday, Feb. 25
  • Puck drop: 7:30 p.m. ET
  • Location: Benchmark International Arena (Tampa, Fla.)
  • TV: ESPN, SN

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