🏒 Golden Knights vs. Avalanche Prediction & Odds: NHL Picks Today (April 11)
The Vegas Golden Knights will hit the road to take on the Colorado Avalanche on Saturday night. The Avs have locked up the top seed in the Western Conference playoffs, while the Golden Knights just saw their four-game win streak snapped in a 4-3 shootout loss to the Kraken.
To no surprise, the Avalanche are a -135 betting favorite at home tonight, while the total hovers at 6.0 or 6.5. Puck drop from Ball Arena in Denver is set for 8 p.m. ET, airing on ABC.
My Golden Knights vs. Avalanche prediction centers on Vegas as a road underdog, backing the team with more at stake due to their tight Pacific Division race with the Oilers. There's also a correct score prediction at +3500 odds, as well as Mitch Marner in the player prop market.
🏒 Golden Knights vs. Avalanche picks & odds today: April 11
See all of our experts' NHL picks based on the latest NHL odds; picks rated on a 1-to-5 star confidence scale based on betting value.
| Bet type | Units | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Golden Knights Moneyline (+115 via Caesars) | 1u -> 1.15u | Golden Knights 4-1 SU in last 5 games. |
| Under 6.5 (-135 via DraftKings) | 1u -> 0.74u | Under 10-4 in last 14 H2H matchups. |
| Mitch Marner Over 0.5 assists (-118 via FanDuel) | 1u -> 0.84u | Marner has 1+ assists in 3 of past 4 starts |
Total wagered: 3.0 units | Max profit: 2.73 units
📃 Affiliate disclosure
Sportsbook Review may receive a commission if you sign up through our links. Not intended for use in MA. Bonuses not applicable in Ontario. 21+ only. (Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER)
💰 Golden Knights vs. Avalanche prediction & best bet
Golden Knights moneyline (+115)
The Avalanche are just 2-6 SU in their last eight starts at Ball Arena. Vegas has been on a tear, winners of four straight before a surprising shootout loss in their last outing. Only one point separates the Golden Knights and Oilers atop the Pacific Division, while the Avalanche have much less motivation due to securing the No. 1 overall playoff seed.
In the past two matchups this season, the Avalanche have won 4-2 and 6-5 in Vegas. This time, expect the Golden Knights to return the favor. Let's bet on Vegas to win outright at solid +115 odds.
Score prediction: Golden Knights 5, Avalanche 1 (+3500 odds via FanDuel)
🔥 Best Golden Knights vs. Avalanche player prop bet
Mitch Marner Over 0.5 assists (-118)
Mitch Marner took awhile to settle into his new role in Vegas this year. Now, the Golden Knights' star forward is playing with momentum, logging seven points in his last four starts.
Marner's 1+ points prop is too juiced on books for tonight's road game against the Avalanche. So, we're going to invest in his Over 0.5 assists prop at a much more reasonable -118 price.
Marner has four assists in his last four starts, only going one game without setting up a goal. He's only faced the Avalanche once this season; however, it was productive, leading to two points, including a goal back in October.
Secure Marner's Over 0.5 assists prop with the best available odds at -118 on FanDuel.
📊 Live Golden Knights vs. Avalanche odds
Since opening at -130, the Avalanche have now ballooned to -135 odds in moneyline betting markets. The total has stayed flat at 6.5.
While public bettors and oddsmakers appear to be increasingly confident in Colorado to defend home ice, their lack of motivation, while also going 2-6 SU at Ball Arena lately, creates high value on the Golden Knights.
Vegas has gone under 6.5 in three of its past five matchups. They are 1-1- on this line against the Avalanche this year.
🚀 Golden Knights vs. Avalanche same-game parlay
My Golden Knights vs. Avalanche SGP picks revolve around the road underdog, Vegas Golden Knights, to win outright at plus odds. Colorado is not going to put up a huge effort with so much at stake lying ahead in the Stanley Cup Playoffs.
Under 6.5 is also the recommended total play in this contest. The Avalanche are the most profitable under team in the NHL this season at 43-32-3, while the Golden Knights are 39-40 on unders.
Mitch Marner's usage in Vegas' offense has led to the star forward notching four assists in his last four starts. He's logged an assist in his lone start against the Avalanche this season, which is why our third leg features Marner to go over 0.5 assists at -118 odds.
This results in a beefy +591 Golden Knights vs. Avalanche SGP that warrants a half-unit stake.
💵 Golden Knights vs. Avalanche SGP picks
- Golden Knights Moneyline (+115)
- Under 6.5 (-135)
- Mitch Marner Over 0.5 assists (-118)
Best odds: +591 via FanDuel (0.5u -> 2.9u)
💵 My betting record for NHL picks
All NHL picks, including SGPs, have been tracked since April 1.
| Bet type | Record | Net profit | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-16-1 | -5.57 units ❌ | -26.5% ❌ |
| Player props | 1-5 | -4.35 units ❌ | -72.5% ❌ |
| Parlays | 1-5 | +0.18 units ✅ | +5.8% ✅ |
💡 How I'm betting Golden Knights vs. Avalanche
Follow all of our NHL analysis and expert predictions this season.
I'm betting on the Golden Knights to go into Ball Arena and hand the Avalanche a lopsided loss. This is based on motivation, with Colorado already locking up the top playoff seed, looking to prioritize health over a win.
Unders have also hit in most of the matchups between the Golden Knights and Avalanche. Under 6.5 has hit in four straight games for Colorado, while the Golden Knights are 3-2 on this line in their last five outings.
For my player prop, Mitch Marner stood out as the highest value play in the over 0.5 assists betting market. He's logged four assists in his last four starts, earning quality minutes alongside other quality scorers like Jack Eichel, Pavel Dorofeyev, and Mark Stone, so taking -118 odds on Marner to notch another assist feels right.
📈 Golden Knights vs. Avalanche betting trends
| Golden Knights | Statistic | Avalanche |
|---|---|---|
| 36-26-17 | W-L record | 52-16-10 |
| 31-48 | ATS record | 40-38 |
| 40-39 | O/U record | 32-43-3 |
| 4-1 | Last 5 games | 3-2 |
🚑 Golden Knights vs. Avalanche injuries
📺 How to watch Golden Knights vs. Avalanche
- Date: Saturday, April 11
- Puck drop: 8 p.m. ET
- Location: Ball Arena (Denver)
- TV: ABC
Related Articles
