🏒 Canada vs. Finland Prediction Today: Olympic Hockey Semifinal Odds & Best Bets

Canada barely survived the quarterfinals and now faces another difficult test against the defending Olympic champions on Friday in the semifinal, potentially without captain Sidney Crosby.

My Canada vs. Finland prediction today highlights my three favorite bets for the matchup, including a play on the moneyline and a Connor McDavid player prop. Puck drop is at 10:40 a.m. ET on Friday (CBC, Peacock), with Canada a -500 moneyline betting favorite.

🏒 Canada vs. Finland picks & odds: Feb. 20

Our expert Olympic hockey picks are based on the latest betting odds at the best sports betting sites.

Total wagered: 2.5 units | Max profit: 2.05 units

💰 Canada vs. Finland prediction & best bet:  

Finland +2.5 (-130)

The comeback win over Czechia will likely have the same impact for Canada as the world's strongest sniffing salts.

Finland, meanwhile, will be buzzing with confidence, feeling like it's playing with house money after its stunning two-goal comeback against Switzerland.

Both improbable quarterfinal comebacks should elicit each team's best hockey, and Finland's best will be good enough to remain competitive against a Canadian team that, despite dominating Czechia in shots, also looked vulnerable defensively, leaving Jordan Binnington hanging too often. 

Finland's resistance will be stiff, but in the end, futile. 

Score prediction: Canada 4, Finland 2

🔥 Best Canada vs. Finland player prop bet

Connor McDavid anytime goal (+105)

While he only has two goals, McDavid's been Canada's best offensive player by a mile, other than the teenage sensation he shares a line with.  

It's also an occasion tailor-fit for some McDavid heroics. Whether it's the 4 Nations Face-Off final or the Stanley Cup Final, McDavid usually shows up in the biggest moment. His linemates are world-class, but McDavid rarely endures a dip. And with Sidney Crosby's status up in the air, he will take it upon himself to raise the already sky-high bar.

I'd play this bet to +100. 

💡 How I'm betting Canada vs. Finland

Using your bankroll based on confidence level is a fundamental part of betting.

I'm most confident in Finland remaining competitive and McDavid scoring, which is why I'm placing a full unit on those. While I love McDavid to score two or more points, the -160 odds are too short to pull trigger. 

In terms of the Over/Under, I'm slightly less confident, given Finland's excellent collective defense, along with Juuse Saros playing at his vintage best more often than not. I'm making the bet, though, as I believe Canada's explosive offense, which has scored at least four goals in every game, will offset the contrary. 

🇨🇦 Will Sidney Crosby play in semifinal against Finland? 

Crosby didn't return after leaving in the second period against Czechia. The Canada captain buckled awkwardly after taking a hit from Radko Gudas and Martin Necas and will require imaging to find out the severity of the lower-body injury. 

Our Liam Fox broke down the latest new in his Sidney Crosby injury update ahead of today's game. 

📈 Canada vs. Finland betting insights

Here is how the moneyline has shifted at BetMGM after the opening odds were released:

Here is how the puck line (spread) has shifted at BetMGM after the opening odds were released:

📺 How to watch Canada vs. Finland

• Date: Friday, Feb. 20
• Puck drop: 10:40 a.m. ET
• Location: Milano Santagiulia Ice Hockey Arena (Milan, Italy)
• TV: CBC, CBC Gem, Peacock

🔮 Olympic hockey expert picks

• Canada vs. Finland prediction
• Sidney Crosby injury update
• USA vs. Slovakia prediction
• How to bet the men's Olympic hockey tournament
• Men's Olympic hockey odds & predictions
• Olympic hockey odds at prediction markets