Will Sam Darnold Throw an Interception in Super Bowl 2026? Predictions and Odds
Last Updated: February 8, 2026 12:16 PM EST • 2 minute read X Social Google News Link
With the New England Patriots taking on the Seattle Seahawks tonight at 6:30 p.m. ET (NBC/Peacock) in Super Bowl 60 from Levi's Stadium in Santa Clara, Calif., one of the biggest questions is will Sam Darnold throw an interception?
The former No. 3 overall pick is one win away from completing his redemption arc and has the Seahawks entering the Big Game as a 4.5-point betting favorite and the popular pick for many Super Bowl predictions.
🏈 Will Sam Darnold throw an interception in Super Bowl?
Get ready for the Big Game with our Super Bowl exact score predictions and our Super Bowl AI prediction for Super Bowl 60 tonight.
Sam Darnold to throw an interception (-128)
Will Darnold's past struggles in big games continue to haunt the man who once saw ghosts for the New York Jets? While he's managed to avoid throwing an INT through two playoff games, he threw the third-most during the regular season (14).
Even as someone who's backing Seattle in his Seahawks vs. Patriots prediction, I expect Darnold to throw at least one interception in the Super Bowl. He's thrown 82 in 100 career regular-season games.
New England leads the playoffs in interceptions (5) and has a defense that's ranked No. 4 in EPA per dropback (including playoffs).
📊 Sam Darnold Super Bowl interception odds
See the latest NFL odds and our experts' NFL picks for the Super Bowl.
| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Profit on $10 bet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Darnold 'Yes' interception | -128 via FanDuel | 56.14% | $7.81 |
| Sam Darnold 'No' interception | -102 via FanDuel | 50.5% | $9.80 |
| Sam Darnold 2+ interceptions | +290 via FanDuel | 25.64% | $29 |
| Sam Darnold 3+ interceptions | +880 via FanDuel | 10.2% | $88 |
💰 Why Sam Darnold will throw an interception in the Super Bowl
Not sure if you should be on Darnold to win Super Bowl MVP? Check out our Super Bowl MVP predictions.
Best Sam Darnold Super Bowl INT bet: Over 0.5 interceptions (-128)
- Darnold threw at least one interception in nine of 17 regular season games
- Against defense ranked in the top half of the league in EPA per dropback, Darnold threw 10 interceptions in seven games during the regular season
- Darnold accounted for the eighth-most turnover-worthy plays among QBs during the regular season (19) and had the sixth-highest turnover-worthy play rate (3.4%)
- Even during his career renaissance, Darnold has thrown 26 interceptions in the last two seasons
- Betting on Darnold to throw an INT shouldn't be something Seahawks bettors stay away from either, Seattle is 7-2 ATS in games he's thrown at least one interception
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