Turning Point USA Super Bowl Halftime Show Odds: Kid Rock, Nicki Minaj, Jason Aldean Favorites

Kid Rick is the favorite to headline Turning Point USA's All-American Super Bowl Halftime Show, though Nicki Minaj presents mega value.
Erika Kirk and Nicki Minaj talk on stage during AmericaFest, a Turning Point USA summit as we look at who'll headline the All-American Super Bowl halftime show
Pictured: Erika Kirk and Nicki Minaj talk on stage during AmericaFest, a Turning Point USA summit as we look at who'll headline the All-American Super Bowl halftime show. Photo by REUTERS/Caitlin O'Hara.
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The Seattle Seahawks will take on the New England Patriots in the 2026 Super Bowl, but at halftime, a separate two sides will do battle. Turning Point USA's All-American Super Bowl halftime show will provide an alternative to NBC's broadcast of Bad Bunny's halftime show performance at Levi's Stadium in Santa Clara, Calif., on Sunday, Feb. 8.

The alternate halftime show, available on YouTube at the same time Bad Bunny takes the stage, is in response to the NFL selecting the primarily Spanish-speaking singer as the headline act of Super Bowl 60.


🎤 Who'll headline the All-American Super Bowl halftime show?

Prediction market via Kalshi. You can use our Kalshi promo code for a $10 bonus by signing up today. Market subject to change.

Kid Rock is the heavy favorite in the prediction trading market, with his 61% chance and 75 cent yes price leading to a $20 profit on a $100 investment on him to be the headline performer.

Here's how the percentages stack up as American odds:

Performer Chance American odds Yes price (cents)
Kid Rock 61% -156 75¢
Nicki Minaj 21% +375 21¢
Jason Aldean 17% +488 15¢
Lee Greenwood 12% +733 12¢
Morgan Wallen 11% +809 10¢
Lara Trump 10% +900 10¢

↪️ What is the Turning Point USA All-American Super Bowl halftime show?

The Turning Point USA All-American halftime show is a response to Bad Bunny, who primarily sings in Spanish, being chosen as the headliner of the 2026 Super Bowl halftime show at Levi's Stadium in Santa Clara, Calif.


🩷 Prediction to headline the All-American halftime show 

Here is my prediction to headline Turning Point USA's All-American halftime show:

Nicki Minaj (21%)

Minaj, born in Trinidad and Tobago, recently declared herself to be President Donald Trump's No. 1 fan, and unveiled her "gold card" visa, which offers residency and a path to U.S. citizenship.

Minaj has also been seen at Turning Point USA events alongside Erika Kirk, the widow of the late Charlie Kirk.


🖥️ How to watch the All-American Super Bowl halftime show?

The All-American halftime show will air concurrently with Bad Bunny's Super Bowl halftime show, in the middle of Seahawks vs. Patriots.

It will be streamed on multiple YouTube channels, including Turning Point USA and the Charlie Kirk Show. It will also be available on the platform's Rumble channel and X page.


What is Kalshi and how does it work for the All-American halftime show?

Kalshi is a U.S.-regulated prediction market exchange overseen by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, where users trade on real-world outcomes using simple contracts. In the context of the All-American halftime show, that means a prediction market on who will headline the event.

Each contract pays out $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it does not. If you think an artist will win and buy a “Yes” contract at 40 cents, that implies a 40 percent chance. If the artist wins, the contract settles at $1, netting 60 cents per share. If not, it settles at $0. Prices fluctuate as users buy and sell, so the market reflects the collective expectations of the crowd.

How does Kalshi differ from sportsbooks?

Unlike sportsbooks, Kalshi users trade directly with each other in an open market rather than betting against a house. Prices are expressed in cents as implied probabilities, and positions can be sold early to lock in gains or limit losses. For entertainment events like the All-American halftime show, the focus is on forecasting outcomes, not beating a fixed line, offering more flexibility and transparency than traditional betting.

Why should I wager on the All-American halftime show at Kalshi?

Kalshi offers four unique advantages over traditional sportsbooks:

  • Flexibility: Unlike a "locked-in" bet, you can sell your contract at any time.
  • Transparency: You trade against other users, which can allow you to find better value.
  • Federal regulation: As a CFTC-regulated exchange, your funds are held in a secure, transparent environment.
  • Availability: Kalshi is available in many regions where traditional sportsbooks aren't yet legal.

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