Texans vs. Broncos Picks, Predictions NFL Week 2: Denver Hosts Houston as Big Chalk
Russell Wilson's debut with the Denver Broncos certainly didn't go according to plan. They'll hope for a better all-around effort at home against the Houston Texas. Here are our top Texans-Broncos picks.
The Denver Broncos are coming off a sloppy performance in their 17-16 season-opening loss to the Seattle Seahawks on Monday Night Football. The Texans hit the road after escaping with a 20-20 tie in their Week 1 home date with the Indianapolis Colts.
Sunday’s contest marks the first meeting between these teams since 2019 and the Texans’ first visit to Denver since 2018. The Broncos have largely dominated in recent dates with Houston, winning and covering in three of their past four, with each of those victories coming by double-digit margins.
Here are our top picks for the NFL Week 2 game between the Atlanta Falcons and Los Angeles Rams (odds via DraftKings Sportsbook, FanDuel Sportsbook, and Caesars Sportsbook; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Texans vs. Broncos Game Info
Date: Sunday, Sept. 18, 4:25 p.m. ET
TV: CBS
Location: Empower Field at Mile High, Denver, CO
Weather: 84 degrees, 0% chance of precipitation, 3mph
winds
Texans vs. Broncos Odds Analysis
The Broncos have received the support of 68% of the handle on 77% of the tickets but the spread has dropped from Denver -11 to -10.
The total has gone the other way from an opening line of 42 with 83% of the handle and 62% of the tickets boosting the Over/Under to 45 as of Sunday morning.
Texans vs. Broncos Picks
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Texans vs. Broncos ATS Pick
Broncos -10 (-110) ★★★★
Faced with an opponent on an emotional high and beset by bad bounces and questionable play-calling by rookie bench boss Nathaniel Hackett, Monday’s contest was more a case of the Broncos beating themselves than losing to the Seahawks.
Assuming Hackett has learned his lesson after taking the ball out of Russell Wilson’s hands late in Monday’s game, and barring a repeat of the two costly goal line fumbles that shifted momentum in Seattle’s favor, the Broncos should be well-positioned to outpace a Texans squad that struggled to score on the road last season.
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Texans vs. Broncos O/U Pick
Over 45.5 (-110) ★★★★
Given that the Texans were limited to single-digit point totals on the road on five occasions last season, NFL betting fans can be forgiven for being attracted to the Under. In addition, the Colts limited the Texans to just 73 total yards the rest of the way after spotting them an early 20-3 lead last week.
However, few contributions may be needed from the Texans for the Over to pay out. As discussed, the Broncos bring some anger to this game after Monday’s loss. Accordingly, expect the Broncos to seize any offensive opportunities presented to them against a Texans defense that will see a lot of work, capped by garbage time points from the Texans that will push the total Over.
Texans vs. Broncos Prop Pick
Wilson Over 244.5 passing yards (-115) ★★★
Despite the Broncos’ failure to earn him the win, Russell Wilson is coming off a solid Week 1 performance in which he racked up 340 passing yards. Wilson developed instant chemistry with receiver Jerry Jeudy, connecting for 112 yards and one score. He also made effective use of the short pass, finding rusher Javonte Williams on 11 of 12 attempts for 65 yards.
Considering the Texans’ struggles to contain Colts pivot Matt Ryan, who victimized them for 352 yards last week, there is little reason to doubt that Wilson will approach, if not exceed, 300 passing yards once again.
Where to Bet on Texans vs. Broncos Picks
Here are our top-rated sportsbooks:
Texans-Broncos picks made 9/16/2022 at 12:35 p.m. ET
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