Super Bowl Weather Odds at Prediction Markets: Mostly Mild Conditions Expected from Kalshi
The Super Bowl weather at prediction markets is promising ahead of the Seattle Seahawks and New England Patriots finally clashing at 6:30 p.m. ET tonight from Levi's Stadium.
The Seahawks enter as the 4.5-point favorite in the 2026 Super Bowl, and although there's the possibility of some late-game fog or isolated showers, weather isn't expected to factor significantly into your Super Bowl predictions.
🌡️ Highest temperature odds in San Francisco today
The prediction market at Kalshi is even more optimistic about the expected high temperature.
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Santa Clara, the site of Levi's Stadium, is about 45 minutes away from San Francisco on the southern end of the bay. But similar weather is expected, and this nonetheless gives us a good impression of the potential betting impacts as we make final Super Bowl predictions and ATS picks.
The market at Kalshi peaked at 62.3 degrees early Sunday morning, and it's now leveled off at around 61.8. Temperatures by kickoff are forecasted to drop a little lower to the high 50s, with a slight chance of isolated showers or fog.
Super Bowl weather prediction
Though there is a possibility of wetness that both quarterbacks would need to navigate, that remains low and shouldn't come with a major impact.
The championship contest features two of the league's top-three scoring offenses that thrive through the air, and the primary obstacle seems unlikely to be wind or precipitation. It'll be the imposing defenses, and especially the fierce and high-flying unit the Seahawks field.
That's reflected in the game total too when making your Super Bowl final score prediction, with the Over/Under still at 45.5.
🌥️ 2026 Super Bowl weather at prediction markets
The Super Bowl weather forecast for 2026 has always been promising, with mostly mild conditions expected and a low chance of precipitation. There will be some wind, but nothing overbearing, with gusts up to 10 mph, according to NFLWeather.
And as is customary in the Bay Area, there's the possibility of fog rolling in around 8 p.m. ET.
| Category | Forecast |
|---|---|
| 🌡️ Temp. | 57 degrees at kickoff and dropping to 55 degrees |
| 💨 Wind | 6 mph NW with gusts up to 10 mph |
| 🌧️ Prec. | 32% chance of rain throughout |
| ☀️ Humidity | 75% humidity in the first quarter, 83% in the fourth quarter |
🫨 Will there be an earthquake in San Francisco?
Maybe we'll get the 2026 version of the famed Beast Quake with Seahawks fans expected to flood their NFC West rival's home field and make up the majority of the crowd at Levi's Stadium, but the prediction markets show little chance of the real thing happening, thankfully.
A cluster of small earthquakes jolted the Bay Area last week, the strongest of which was measured at a magnitude of 4.2 near San Ramon, which is located on the eastern side of the bay and about a 35-minute drive from Levi's Stadium. The main urban centers of San Francisco and Oakland are 48 km away and still felt shaking, according to The Associated Press.
About a dozen smaller quakes occurred around that time last Monday at 6:30 a.m. ET, continuing on for roughly an hour.
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