NFL Rookie Player Prop Bets Week 5: Dillon Gabriel Runs for His Life in London

As Dillon Gabriel makes his debut for the Cleveland Browns in London, I’m here to dish out my top NFL rookie player prop bets for Week 5 as our NFL picks series continues. Last week, we cashed two four-star props for Jaxson Dart and Omarion Hampton on our way to a 5-1 showing, bringing us to 10-2 since Week 3. 

While you’re here, check out the rest of our NFL predictions for Week 5 – you don’t want to miss out on any winning plays! This week, we’re backing Dillon Gabriel against the Vikings, but we aren’t trusting him to do his damage through the air.

🏈 Best NFL rookie player props: Week 5

NFL rookie player prop bets made Thursday; odds subject to change.

• Dillon Gabriel Over 12.5 rushing yards (-115 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
• Ashton Jeanty Over 63.5 rushing yards (-115 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
• Omarion Hampton Under 65.5 rushing yards (-115 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
• Cam Ward Over 182.5 passing yards (-113 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐
• Cam Skattebo Over 16.5 receiving yards (-118 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐
• Jaxson Dart Over 172.5 passing yards (-114 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐

💰 Best Week 5 rookie prop bets

Our NFL player prop odds tool shows the best odds for every market across legal sportsbooks in your area.

⬆️ Dillon Gabriel Over 12.5 rushing yards (-115) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

The Browns are throwing rookie quarterback Dillon Gabriel into the fire versus the Vikings in London this week. Minnesota is coming off a frustrating loss, and defensive coordinator Brian Flores may be even more aggressive than usual. His scheme is generating pressure at an incredible clip of 31.7%, which has helped the team rank fourth in total passing yards allowed to quarterbacks (685).

Gabriel, an undersized quarterback, flashed his mobility in the preseason by scrambling in the pocket. While he often released the football instead of running it himself, the volume of roll-outs we saw was encouraging. While the Vikings have stymied quarterbacks as passers, they have also coughed up 68 yards to them on the ground (17 per game) despite playing several less-than-mobile quarterbacks.

If Aaron Rodgers can run for eight total yards (a 10-yard gain and two kneels), Gabriel, who averaged  18.9 rushing yards per game in college (and that’s minus sack yards!), should easily run for at least 13. Look for the Vikings to break the Browns’ protection scheme several times in London and for Gabriel to respond with desperate scrambles. Buy the Over 12.5 for -115 (53.5%) at BetMGM to score an $8.70 profit on a $10 bet.

📊 Dillon Gabriel player prop bet odds

⬆️ Ashton Jeanty Over 63.5 rushing yards (-115) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

I have featured Ashton Jeanty in this column every week, and we are a whopping 4-0 on his props. I cashed Unders through Week 3 before correctly predicting his breakout Week 4 performance, and I think he runs it back (no pun intended) in Week 5. Two of Jeanty’s first three opponents are top-five in run-stop win rate, which was a problem for this offensive line. Fortunately, this week he gets the Colts, who rank 27th (27%), putting them in the same ballpark as last week’s opponent, the Bears.

Despite his slow start – and the Las Vegas offensive line generating a league-low one yard before contact per carry for him – Jeanty is now averaging 70.5 rushing yards per game. He leads the league in yards after contact (217), ranks third in yards after contact per attempt (3.2), and also leads the league in broken tackles (15). Those are all problems versus a Colts team that is tied for the 12th-most missed tackles (28).  

The sportsbooks’ skepticism of Jeanty likely stems from the projected game script. Indianapolis is a near-touchdown home favorite for this contest. That said, the Colts have gotten very lucky thus far, and I don’t know how long that can last. Don’t be surprised if the Raiders keep things close and cover the spread, largely thanks to several broken plays by Jeanty. Buy the over 63.5 for -115 (53.5%) at BetMGM.

📊 Ashton Jeanty player prop bet odds

⬇️ Omarion Hampton Under 65.5 rushing yards (-115) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Hampton has exploded since the Chargers lost fellow running back Najee Harris for the season, but those expecting another big game out of him this week will be disappointed – at least in terms of his rushing yards. He draws the Commanders this week, who rank an impressive third in run-stop win rate (35%) and 14th in rushing yards allowed to running backs (324).

Worse, Hampton may have to run behind an injury-riddled offensive line. Tackle Joe Alt is doubtful. He is an asset in the ground game and ranks 10th among all tackles in run-block win rate (82%). Guard Mekhi Becton is also questionable with a concussion. Even if Becton plays, the Chargers are likely without both projected Week 1 starters at tackle, compromising the edge.

Hampton has leaned on his offensive line thus far. He ranks third among all eligible rushers in yards before contact per attempt (3.3) but 34th in yards after contact per attempt (1.7). Although the Chargers are favored, leading to a projected run-heavy game script, things could get ugly if the offensive line can’t keep the Commanders out of the backfield.

Fade Hampton by buying him for Under 65.5 rushing yards for -115 (53.5%) at BetMGM.

📊 Omarion Hampton player prop bet odds

❓NFL rookies betting FAQs

Who are the best rookies in the NFL?

The best rookies in the NFL include Cam Ward, who leads the class in passing yards (614) and touchdowns (2), Ashton Jeanty, who leads the class in rushing yards (282), and Emeka Egbuka, who leads the class in receiving yards (282) and touchdowns (4).

What are the best NFL rookie prop bets for Week 5?

The best NFL rookie prop bets for Week 5 include Dillon Gabriel Over 12.5 rushing yards, Ashton Jeanty Over 63.5 rushing yards, and Omarion Hampton Under 65.5 rushing yards.

How do NFL player props work?

Player props are wagers on individual performances rather than the outcome of the game. Common props include passing yards, rushing yards, receiving yards, and touchdown scorers. For example, if a QB’s passing yards line is set at 250.5, you can bet the Over (251-plus yards) or Under (250 or fewer yards). You can also bet on if a specific player will score a touchdown in the entire game, the first or last touchdown, and more NFL odds.

You can determine the payouts and implied probabilities for any wager - or convert odds to different formats - with our odds converter.