Ravens vs. Chiefs Prediction: Odds & Expert Picks for NFL Week 4

My best Ravens vs. Chiefs prediction focuses on the offensive prowess of both teams ahead of Sunday’s 4:25 p.m. ET (CBS) kickoff from GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, Mo. The Ravens are 2.5-point betting favorites, and with the public's NFL picks backing them to cover, this number could jump to the key number.

However, my best NFL predictions for Week 4 focus on the Over/Under (48.5) and Xavier Worthy’s return to the field.

📊 Ravens vs. Chiefs odds

Latest NFL odds updated live in real time.

🏈 Ravens vs. Chiefs predictions

NFL expert picks for Week 4; odds subject to change.

• Game pick: Ravens -2.5 (-115 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐
• Over/Under pick: Over 48.5 (-110 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
• Player prop bet: Xavier Worthy Over 4.5 receptions (+120 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

✅ Ravens vs. Chiefs expert pick

Track the latest NFL scores for line movement and matchup info.

⬆️  Over 48.5 (-110) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

The Chiefs have yet to play in a game with more than 48 points this season, but that will change Sunday. Every Ravens game has featured at least 58 points, as Baltimore leads the NFL with 37.0 points per game.

While the Chiefs are only averaging 20.0 points per contest, they’re facing the second-worst scoring defense in the NFL. The Ravens have given up at least 38 points in two of their three games, and they let the Cleveland Browns score a season-high 17.

Additionally, Chiefs wide receiver Xavier Worthy is set to return, which gives quarterback Patrick Mahomes a much-needed reliable option in the passing attack. I expect Mahomes to carve up the second-worst pass defense in the league (266.3 yards allowed per game), as both teams trade blows from start to finish.

The price of -110 available at BetMGM suggests a 52.38% chance this Over hits. A $10 bet would pay $9.09.

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💰 Ravens vs. Chiefs player prop bet

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⬆️  Xavier Worthy Over 4.5 receptions (+120) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Kansas City wideout Xavier Worthy returns for the first time since Week 1, as he looks to record his first catch of the season. Not only will Worthy get one, I'm backing him to get at least five against a defense that has struggled against number-one wide receivers this season.

In Week 1, the Ravens gave up eight catches for 112 yards to Buffalo Bills WR Keon Coleman, and last week, Detroit Lions WR Amon-Ra St. Brown had seven catches for 77 yards.

Worthy had at least five catches in his final eight games last year. Considering no one in the receiving corps stepped up in his absence, I expect Mahomes to go to him often again.

Many sportsbooks are offering this prop at 3.5 receptions, but the price for the Over is astronomical. Therefore, wager at DraftKings where a $10 bet would pay $12. The price of +120 implies a 45.45% chance he hits this Over.

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