Best Ravens vs. Chiefs Player Prop Picks for Week 4: Worthy Set for Big Return

My best Ravens vs. Chiefs player props focus on Patrick Mahomes, Xavier Worthy, and Zay Flowers, ahead of Sunday’s 4:25 p.m. ET (CBS) game at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, Mo. The Ravens are favored by 2.5, and the total is set at 48.5.

Worthy having success in his return is one of my best NFL predictions for Week 4. And with Worthy back, I expect Mahomes to thrive, while Flowers struggles in a tough matchup. For more on this game, check out our best NFL picks.

🏈 Ravens vs. Chiefs player props

NFL player prop bets for Week 4; odds subject to change.

• Xavier Worthy Over 4.5 receptions (+120 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
• Patrick Mahomes Over 237.5 passing yards (-115 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
• Zay Flowers Under 63.5 receiving yards (-114 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

💰 Best Ravens vs. Chiefs player prop picks

Our NFL player prop odds tool shows the best odds for every market across legal sportsbooks in your area.

⬆️ Xavier Worthy Over 4.5 receptions (+120) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

In my Ravens vs. Chiefs prediction article, I chose this as my best prop bet of the game. Worthy finished his rookie year with just 59 catches for 638 yards, but he was excellent down the stretch. He caught at least five passes in his final five regular-season games. In the postseason, he caught 19 of 21 targets, including at least five in all three games, for 287 yards and three touchdowns.

The Ravens are allowing 266.3 passing yards per game, which is second-most in the league. Additionally, they’ve allowed number-one receivers to catch 19 passes in three games.

DraftKings is offering Over 4.5 receptions for +120. This price implies a 45.45% chance that Worthy catches at least five passes. A $10 bet would pay $12.

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⬆️ Patrick Mahomes Over 237.5 passing yards (-115) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Mahomes has only thrown for more than 237.5 yards in one game this season. However, with the total for this game set at 48.5, and the Ravens scoring at least 30 in every contest so far, I expect Mahomes to have plenty of opportunities against the second-worst pass defense in football.

Teams have run with ease on the Ravens, as they’re allowing 149.0 yards per game (third-most in the league). However, the Chiefs have not run well this season. Last week, in a game they led most of, the Chiefs managed just 105 rushing yards against the Giants’ second-worst-ranked rush defense. This means the Chiefs’ offensive success relies on Mahomes.

Every major sportsbook has this set at 238.5 except for BetMGM. The price of -115 suggests a 53.49% chance Mahomes hits this Over. A $10 bet would pay $9.09.

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⬇️ Zay Flowers Under 63.5 receiving yards (-114) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

After seven catches for at least 75 yards in each of his first two games, Flowers caught just two passes for 13 yards last week. And because of this matchup, his going under his projected yardage total for the second consecutive week is one of the best Ravens vs. Chiefs player props.

Steve Spagnuolo’s defense has been excellent at taking away number-one receivers this season. While Ladd McConkey had six catches for 74 yards in Week 1, AJ Brown and Malik Nabers have combined for just seven catches for 40 yards in the two games since.

Despite being the Ravens’ top receiver last season, Flowers had 10 games with fewer than 64 receiving yards. FanDuel’s price of -114 implies that Flowers has a 53.27% chance of hitting this Under, but in a tough matchup, it seems much more likely than that. A $10 bet would pay $8.77.

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📊 Ravens vs. Chiefs odds

Latest NFL odds updated live in real time.

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