Raiders vs. Broncos Picks, Predictions Week 11: Will Russ Serve Home Cooking?
The 2022 season has been a nightmare for the 3-6 Denver Broncos and the 2-7 Las Vegas Raiders. One of the AFC West squads will attempt to save their season Sunday. Read on for our top Raiders-Broncos Week 11 picks.
The Kansas City Chiefs were always expected to win the AFC West, but the Broncos and Raiders were supposed to put up much more of a fight. A pair of new head coaches, along with a couple of stud talent acquisitions, had both fan bases giddy with excitement before it all went wrong.
Denver suffered five one-score losses, and their other defeat was against Las Vegas in Week 4 following a late touchdown run by Raiders running back Josh Jacobs. Broncos quarterback Russell Wilson, a nine-time pro bowler, is having the worst year of his career by several metrics and the rest of the team has followed suit.
Luckily, they should have a lay up in this week’s opponent. Vegas dropped three straight games, including four of their last five. They’re 0-5 on the road and the rigors of playing at Mile High won’t help turn things around. Can Denver take advantage of this matchup?
Here are our top Raiders-Broncos Week 11 NFL picks (odds via Caesars Sportsbook, DraftKings Sportsbook, and FanDuel Sportsbook; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Check out our NFL best bets and all of our top picks for Week 11.
Raiders vs. Broncos Game Info
Date: Sunday, Nov. 20, 4:05 p.m. ET
TV: FOX
Location: Empower Field at Mile High, Denver, CO
Weather: 50 degrees, 0% chance of precipitation, 5-mph winds
Raiders vs. Broncos Odds
Raiders vs. Broncos Odds Analysis
The total opened at 41.5, dropped to 40 on Friday, and climbed back up to 41. Some books are still hanging a 41.5, offering value to bettors at FanDuel, Caesars, and BetRivers.
The spread has not moved since it opened with the Broncos favored by 2.5.
Raiders vs. Broncos Picks
- Spread: Broncos -2.5 (-118 via FanDuel) ★★★★★
- Over/Under: Under 41.5 (-110 via Caesars) ★★★★★
- Prop: Russell Wilson Over 0.5 interceptions (+110 via DraftKings) ★★★★★
Raiders vs. Broncos ATS Pick
Broncos -2.5 (-118) ★★★★★
The value of this game’s money line market is kind of low, but there’s a lot to like about taking the Broncos to cover at -2.5. The absolute best value is at either FanDuel or Caesars, where the spread is -2.5 as opposed to the -3 odds DraftKings and BetRivers offered.
One of the bright spots in Denver’s season is their consistently solid defense, which is a relief considering the loss they felt when star linebacker Von Miller left last year. No team allows fewer points per game than the Broncos (16.6). The Raiders are a top-15 in league scoring, but can also be stone-walled by elite defenses. Even the porous New Orlean Saints completely shut them out. Denver only needs to win by a field goal to cover, which seems fairly safe.
Raiders vs. Broncos O/U Pick
Under 41.5 (-110) ★★★★★
The Broncos have been kings of low-scoring football this season – an NFL last in both points scored (14.6) and points allowed (16.6). They’ve also given up the league's fewest passing yards (1,769) and touchdowns (12). The Raiders were the only team to score 20 points or more on them in Week 4.
In the scheme of things, that game is an anomaly. Denver’s ground defense isn’t as elite as their passing defense, but still ranks in the top-10. Jacobs is unlikely to rush for anything close to the 144 yards and two touchdowns he put up last time. That contest is also the only time the Broncos have been in a game that eclipsed 41 points this season. Don't let it affect your decision to take the Under.
Raiders vs. Broncos Prop Pick
Wilson Over 0.5 interceptions (+110) ★★★★★
Wilson has been far from his usual ‘DangeRuss’ self since coming to Denver, with his last productive outing four weeks ago in Las Vegas. He may very well rebound in this seemingly slam-dunk matchup, but that doesn’t eliminate his likelihood of throwing a pick.
He's thrown at least one interception in three of his last four games, and may be more inclined to do so with wideout Jerry Jeudy out. Wide receiver K.J. Hamler may also miss this one, leaving WR Courtland Sutton the primary option – something that likely sees him draw double coverage en route to a pick. All signs point to this prop smashing.
Where to Bet on Raiders vs. Broncos Picks
Raiders-Broncos picks made 11/18/2022 at 4:05 p.m. ET
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