NFL Player Props Today: Week 1 Prop Odds, Best Bets & Expert Picks

I'm targeting five star players for my NFL player prop bets today as part of our NFL picks.

Our NFL player props include Aaron Rodgers' debut with the Pittsburgh Steelers in his return to New York against the Jets, and Sunday Night Football between the Baltimore Ravens and Buffalo Bills.

See which player props I'm wagering on below to add to our NFL football predictions for Week 1.

🏈 Best NFL player props: Week 1

NFL player prop bet odds subject to change.

• ✅ Justin Herbert Under 0.5 interceptions (-129 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
• Aaron Rodgers longest pass completion Under 33.5 yards (-115 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐
• Tee Higgins anytime TD scorer (+130 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
• Jahmyr Gibbs Under 96.5 rushing + receiving yards (-118 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
• Derrick Henry race to 20 rushing yards (+110 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐

💰 Best Week 1 player prop bets

Our NFL player prop odds tool shows the best odds for every market across legal sportsbooks in your area.

⬇️ Aaron Rodgers longest pass completion Under 33.5 yards (-115) ⭐⭐⭐

Aaron Rodgers averaged career-lows of 6.7 yards per attempt and 5.8 yards per dropback as the Jets quarterback last year. 

I expect Aaron Glenn to dial up blitzes early and often against Rodgers, as he ranked 28th or worse in CPOE, yards per attempt, and QBR against the blitz last season. 

Since 2022, Rodgers’ QBR with two or more tight ends on the field ranks 15th, while his QBR with one or fewer tight ends in formation is 30th. Head coach Mike Tomlin would be wise to play to Rodgers’ strengths and use more heavy formations while not having him air it out downfield often. Rodgers is currently ranked 14th in Gary Pearson's NFL clutch ratings entering Week 1.

All of our best sports betting sites are in unison with this O/U of 33.5 yards, with the Under juiced to -115. That 53.49% implied probability would result in net $8.70 in profits on a winning $10 wager.

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🔥 Tee Higgins anytime touchdown scorer (+130) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Plain and simple, the Cincinnati Bengals are a better and much more explosive team when Tee Higgins is on the field.

With a healthy Higgins last year, Cincinnati went 8-4 while averaging 28.8 points and 280 passing yards per game. Without Higgins, the Bengals lost four of five games and averaged just 25.4 points and 257 passing yards. 

Higgins has touchdowns in four of eight career games against the Cleveland Browns, and that 50% success rate makes his 45.45% implied probability on the high end of the market to cash this wager reasonable. I am headed to Caesars for this wager, looking to turn my $10 bet into a $13 profit.

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🔥 Jahmyr Gibbs Under 96.5 combined rushing and receiving yards (-118) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

The Green Bay Packers had a difficult time with the NFC’s elite teams last year, going 0-6 against the Detroit Lions, Philadelphia Eagles, and Minnesota Vikings, while allowing those teams to average 28.7 points per game. Against all other teams, Green Bay was 11-1 while giving up an average of 15.7 points.

But the Packers always had a great game plan for Gibbs, holding him to 76 total yards or fewer in both regular-season meetings.

At first glance, this projected total looks too low for a player who averaged 116.9 rushing and receiving yards per game last year. But given Green Bay’s ability to keep him in check and add the fact that the Lions no longer have offensive coordinator Ben Johnson, the Under makes for a great play.

The -118 juice (which carries a 54.13% implied probability) is worth paying up for at FanDuel, as the O/U there is higher than the total of 92.5 on the low end of the market. Even at -118 odds, a $10 winning wager still nets $8.47 in profit.

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🔥 Derrick Henry race to 20 rushing yards (+110) ⭐⭐⭐

DraftKings offers a unique player prop where one can bet on the first player to record 20-plus rushing yards in a game. 

This prop is heavily skewed in favor of whichever team receives the opening kickoff, as gaining 20 rushing yards from a player in one drive is feasible. But there is value at this number as Henry’s implied probability shoots to 57.45% to win the race to 40 yards through the -135 odds.

Henry ran for 283 yards in two meetings with the Buffalo Bills last season, including an impressive 87-yard touchdown scamper in the regular-season game. Thus, he is as likely as anyone to cash this wager for us with one big run.

A $10 winning wager returns us $11 in profits.

💡 NFL expert picks for Week 1

• NFL picks against the spread Week 1
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• NFL best bets Week 1

❓ NFL betting FAQs

What are the best NFL player props for Week 1?

My best NFL player props for Week 1 back the Under on Justin Herbert’s interceptions, Aaron Rodgers’ longest pass completion, and Jahmyr Gibbs’ combined rushing and receiving yards. I also expect Tee Higgins to score a touchdown and for Derrick Henry to be the first in the Ravens-Bills game to run for 20 yards.

How do NFL player props work?

Player props are wagers on individual performances rather than the outcome of the game. Common props include passing yards, rushing yards, receiving yards, and touchdown scorers. For example, if a QB’s passing yards line is set at 250.5, you can bet the Over (251-plus yards) or Under (250 or fewer yards). You can also bet on if a specific player will score a touchdown in the entire game, the first or last touchdown, and more NFL odds.

You can determine the payouts and implied probabilities for any wager - or convert odds to different formats - with our odds converter.

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