Patriots vs. Broncos Same Game Parlay: AFC Championship Game SGP Picks
Last Updated: January 25, 2026 10:00 AM EST • 2 minute read X Social Google News Link
My Patriots vs. Broncos same-game parlay for the AFC Championship Game is focusing on a low-scoring tilt with defenses shining, and Rhamondre Stevenson playing a key role.
It's all part of our conference championship predictions, with this clash to determine who represents the AFC in the Super Bowl beginning at 3 p.m. ET from Empower Field at Mile High (CBS). The Patriots enter as the -4.5 betting odds favorites.
🏈 Patriots vs. Broncos same-game parlay: AFC Championship Game
See the latest NFL odds and our experts' NFL picks for every game this season.
| Parlay bet | Odds (FanDuel) | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| Under 42.5 | -104 | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
| Jarrett Stidham Under 200.5 passing yards | -114 | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ |
| Rhamondre Stevenson to score a touchdown | +125 | ⭐⭐⭐ |
Best SGP odds: +623 via FanDuel ($10 to win $62.30)
🎊 AFC Championship Game contests
🚀 Best Patriots vs. Broncos SGP & parlay picks
Under 42.5 (-104) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Stifling defenses will play the largest role in keeping scoring low, with the Patriots averaging 18.3 points allowed and the Broncos at 18.8. Toss in the Broncos keeping the ball out of Jarrett Stidham's hands and New England's sixth-ranked rushing attack, and the clock will keep churning.
💡 A grind-it-out affair
Our Dustin Saracini is also expecting scoring to be difficult as part of his Patriots vs. Broncos prediction
Jarrett Stidham Under 200.5 passing yards (-114) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
It's fun to dream on the backup shocking us all in a massive moment, and compare Jarrett Stidham to Nick Foles. But even if he looks the part, it's difficult to imagine the Broncos asking Stidham to do much heavy lifting against the league's fourth-ranked scoring defense.
The Patriots have given up just 19 points across two playoff games and 185.5 passing yards per contest.
Rhamondre Stevenson to score a touchdown (+230) ⭐⭐⭐
An otherwise imposing Broncos defense has been vulnerable against pass-catching running backs. The unit surrendered the third-most touchdowns through the air to the position during the regular season (six).
Rhamondre Stevenson is fresh off his second-best season as a pass-catcher and finished with 345 yards. He also posted 75 receiving yards during the wild-card round.
💡 More NFL predictions
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📺 How to watch Patriots vs. Broncos: AFC Championship Game
- Date: Sunday, Jan. 25
- Kickoff: 3 p.m. ET
- Location: Empower Field at Mile High
- TV: CBS
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Sean Tomlinson X social