Panthers vs. Falcons Player Props: Best Bets & TD Picks for NFL Week 11

My Panthers vs. Falcons player props predict a monster outing for Rico Dowdle against a run defense that can’t catch a break lately. On the other side, we believe the market still hasn’t caught up to Tyler Allgeier’s prowess near the goal line for this Atlanta offense.

The action for Panthers vs. Falcons kicks off from Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, Sunday at 1 p.m. ET (FOX). The Falcons are 3.5-point betting favorites as part of our NFL Week 11 predictions.

✅ Panthers vs. Falcons player prop bets

See all of our experts' NFL picks for Week 11.

• Rico Dowdle player prop: Over 85.5 rushing yards (-114 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
• Tetairoa McMillan player prop: Under 4.5 receptions (-105 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
• Tyler Allgeier player prop: anytime TD scorer (+190 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

💰 Best Panthers vs. Falcons player props

⬆️Rico Dowdle player prop: Over 85.5 rushing yards (-114) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

Fresh off a demolition by Jonathan Taylor's churning legs, the Falcons are sitting with the 29th-ranked run defense in the NFL (146.4 yards per game allowed).

Rico Dowdle could be in store for his fourth 100-yard rushing output since the start of October, as he has drawn 43 carries to Chuba Hubbard's eight over the past two weeks. Dowdle is averaging 117.5 rushing yards per game over his past six contests, with 5.3 YPC on the campaign.

The most favorable line on Rico Dowdle’s rushing total comes from DraftKings, with -114 odds on Over 85.5 yards. The implied probability at those odds is 53.27%. A winning $10 wager on this prop would profit $8.77.

⬇️ Tetairoa McMillan player prop: Under 4.5 receptions (-105) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

As weak as the Falcons are defensively on the ground, they're that strong through the air. Only the Vikings have allowed fewer receptions to wide receivers than Atlanta (84) this season.

Tetairoa McMillan has fallen short of 4.5 receptions in five of his past eight games. Mike Evans, Deebo Samuel, and Jaylen Waddle are responsible for the only occasions all season in which a wide receiver has racked up five or more receptions against the Falcons. In his first game against Atlanta earlier this season, McMillan logged three catches.

The best odds on Under 4.5 receptions come from BetMGM at -105. That equates to an implied probability of 51.22%. A winning $10 wager on this prop would profit $9.52.

6️⃣ Best Panthers vs. Falcons touchdown scorer bet

🔥 Tyler Allgeier TD pick: anytime TD scorer (+190) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

While we bemoan the vulture in fantasy football, there's still an opportunity to take advantage of Tyler Allgeier's red-zone prowess when it comes to player props. Allgeier has found the end zone in five of his nine games played this season, including a double-dip last Sunday against Indianapolis.

Allgeier carries +190 odds at BetMGM on his anytime TD scorer prop, equating to just a 34.48% implied probability at those odds.

With a 55.5% hit rate amid strong red-zone usage, we like the value on Allgeier's prop again this week. A winning $10 wager on this prop would profit $19.00.

📊 Panthers vs. Falcons anytime touchdown scorer odds

See live NFL odds for every game in Week 11.

📺 How to watch Panthers vs. Falcons

• Date: Sunday, Nov. 16
• Kickoff: 1 p.m. ET
• Location: Mercedes-Benz Stadium (Atlanta)
• TV: FOX