NFL MVP Odds After Week 7: Mahomes Takes Command; Maye, Stafford, Jones Rising
Patrick Mahomes is on a tear, and he's taken command of the MVP odds race, with his odds shortening to +175 after another dominant performance.
Mahomes' two biggest threats, Josh Allen and Baker Mayfield, were idle on Sunday, and the Kansas City Chiefs QB took full advantage, tossing three touchdown passes en route to a 31-0 demolition of the Las Vegas Raiders.
Mayfield and his Tampa Bay Buccaneers will face the Detroit Lions on Monday Night Football, which we cover extensively in our NFL picks. Meanwhile, Drake Maye's MVP odds are now the fourth shortest after another historic week for the 23-year-old dynamo.
📊 Live NFL MVP odds 2025
Latest NFL MVP odds for the 2025 season; NFL odds update in real time.
📈 Biggest risers and fallers after Week 7 (Odds via FanDuel)
- Mahomes remains the MVP odds favorite after his odds shortened to +175
- Maye's odds shortened from +1600 to +750 after tossing two TD passes against the Tennessee Titans
- Matthew Stafford's odds improved from +1500 to +1200 after throwing five TD passes against the Jacksonville Jaguars in London
- Daniel Jones has seen his odds improve from +2700 to +2000 after adding two TD passes in a convincing 38-24 triumph over the Los Angeles Chargers
- Dak Prescott and Jalen Hurts have +3300 odds
🔴 Patrick Mahomes takes command of MVP race
Mahomes tossed another three TD passes, making it 11 in the last four games. He has 13 touchdowns compared to a single pick in that span, ascending the MVP odds leaderboard in the process.
He's now the +175 MVP odds favorite, trading ahead of the idle Allen (+350) and Mayfield (+450), the league's most clutch QB entering Week 7.
Mahomes' odds imply a 36.36% probability of winning his third regular-season MVP award. And based on the last four weeks, only Mayfield, Maye, Jones, and arguably Matthew Stafford are performing at a comparative level.
His level was so impressive today that he became the only QB since 2000 with 200 passing yards and three passing touchdowns on the first three drives of the game. Unsurprisingly, he was rested in the fourth quarter.
Allen is still receiving the second-shortest odds despite struggling in the last two weeks. Jones, trading at +2000, deserves more credit than he's receiving.
However, Mahomes is in the driver's seat, and rightly so. Entering Week 7, Mahomes led the Chiefs in rushing. That's a testament to Mahomes' dominance in all phases, along with a condemnation of the team's lacklustre ground game.
A winning $10 bet on Mahomes at FanDuel will profit $17.50.
❓ NFL MVP FAQs
Who is the favorite to win NFL MVP?
The Kansas City Chiefs' Patrick Mahomes is the MVP odds favorite (+175). Those odds represent an implied probability of 36.36%, according to our odds converter.
When will the 2025-26 NFL MVP be announced?
The 2025-26 NFL MVP will likely be announced on the Thursday ahead of the 2026 Super Bowl at NFL Honors.
Who was the NFL MVP last year?
Buffalo Bills QB Josh Allen was crowned the NFL MVP for the first time after closing as the betting favorite in the regular season.
Who was the last back-to-back MVP winner?
Aaron Rodgers won back-to-back MVPs in 2020 and 2021.
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