NFL MVP Odds: Herbert, Mayfield, Hurts Make Moves in Week 3
Is anyone playing better than Justin Herbert right now? The Los Angeles Chargers' ace, receiving the third-shortest NFL MVP odds, became the second-fastest quarterback to reach 2,000 completions en route to completing a comeback win over the Denver Broncos.
Which of the other quarterbacks joined Herbert as the most impressive in Week 3, and who should you select as your MVP NFL picks? I round up the most notable performances across a wild week in the NFL.
📊 Live NFL MVP odds 2025
The latest NFL MVP odds; NFL odds update in real time.
📈 Week 3 MVP key takeaways
- Josh Allen remains the NFL MVP odds favorite (+300) after tossing 3 TD passes against the New York Jets.
- Lamar Jackson, who faces the Detroit Lions on MNF, is trading just behind Allen, with +330 odds.
- Justin Herbert ascended to third on the odds leaderboard, with his odds improving from +1400 to +800 after he led the Chargers to a late comeback win over the Denver Broncos.
- Influential in the Tampa Bay Buccaneers' 3-0 start, Baker Mayfield has only seen his odds improve from +3000 to +2200.
- Despite starting 3-0 and overturning a 19-point deficit against the Los Angeles Rams, Jalen Hurts' odds barely moved (+2200 to +2000).
- Daniel Jones' odds (+8000) didn't improve after leading the Indianapolis Colts to their third straight victory, a 41-20 triumph over the Tennessee Titans.
- Jordan Love saw his odds drop from +900 to +1400 after being upended by the Cleveland Browns (13-10).
⚡️ Justin Herbert showcasing MVP pedigree
Take a bow, Mr. Regular Season.
For now, Herbert is the AFC's classiest and most impressive QB. Despite seeing his offensive line collapse like a straw house in a hurricane, the 27-year-old signal caller held his nerve, demonstrated his oft-underrated elusiveness and led the Chargers to a critical divisional win.
Guard Mekhi Becton and right tackle Trey Pipkins suffered injuries and were replaced by Jamaree Salyer and Austin Deculus, respectively.
According to ESPN, the Chargers allowed nine pressures in the first quarter alone, an obscene 64% rate. Herbert was sacked five times but still found a way to win, finishing with 300 passing yards, a touchdown, and an unlucky first-half pick that saw the ball deflected into the waiting arms of Brandon Jones.
While it wasn't pretty, Herbert got the job done thanks to a 12-for-15, 123-yard fourth quarter. His game-tying TD toss was arguably his most impressive moment as he avoided being dropped for the sixth time.
If Herbert can maintain his elite form and continue improving the Chargers' Super Bowl odds, he'll remain among the most likely to secure the NFL's most coveted individual honor. Of the best sports betting sites, bet365 offers the best odds (+800).
🦅 Jalen Hurts makes a statement
Offering the best value on the MVP odds leaderboard, Hurts stepped into the spotlight in Week 3, throwing his first three TD passes of the season, all of which occurred in the second half.
His +2200 odds at FanDuel represent a 4.35% win probability. The Eagles were finally forced to unleash their Super Bowl MVP after they went down 26-7 early in the second half to the Los Angeles Rams.
His three TD passes came on three of the Eagles' final four possessions, reinforcing just how good he is when his number is called. The improbable comeback victory barely moved the needle on his MVP odds, offering exquisite value in backing him to win.
At +2200, FanDuel provides the best value.
🏆 NFL MVP odds favorite
Our NFL player prop odds features the latest MVP odds for every player and updates live in real time.
🦬 Josh Allen, Bills (+300)
Allen didn't need to don his Superman cape for TNF against the Miami Dolphins. It's remarkable to consider that an average Allen performance includes three TD passes, yet that's the incredibly high bar the reigning MVP has set for himself.
With Jackson set to play on MNF, which I covered in my Lions vs. Ravens prediction, Allen is the MVP odds favorite. A winning $10 bet on his best odds, +300 at DraftKings, would profit $30.
🎯 Best long-shot bets to win MVP
⛵️ Baker Mayfield (+2200)
Mayfield was among the most clutch QBs entering Week 3, and he proved why again against the New York Jets. In a bizarre, unhinged final few minutes, Mayfield - a.k.a Mr. Clutch - was required to mount his third comeback win in as many weeks.
The 30-year-old overcame a sore hand, a porous, injury-riddled offensive line and prevailed after his team almost found a way to cough up what appeared earlier as a sure thing.
🔴 Patrick Mahomes (+2500)
Although he hasn't played like an MVP for much of the first three weeks, you never know when Patrick Mahomes will crank it up a few notches. And remember, he's been without Xavier Worthy and Rashee Rice since the former went down early in the opener.
🐏 Matthew Stafford (+3000)
Matthew Stafford deserved a victory in Philly, and he was a blocked field goal away from getting it. He's been excellent to start the season and will be among the contenders all season if he stays healthy.
🦁 Jared Goff (+6000)
Jared Goff broke out against the Chicago Bears, tying his career best with five TD passes. Let's see how he reacts on MNF against the Baltimore Ravens, one of the Super Bowl odds favorites.
🐴 Daniel Jones (+8000)
Don't look now, but Jones has arguably been the most impressive quarterback outside of Allen, Jackson and Herbert. Can he continue his surprising resurgence in Indy, and are you willing to take a flier on him?
❓ NFL MVP FAQs
Who is the favorite to win NFL MVP?
Buffalo Bills QB Josh Allen is the MVP odds favorite (+300). Those odds represent an implied probability of 25%, according to our odds converter.
When will the 2025-26 NFL MVP be announced?
The 2025-26 NFL MVP will likely be announced on the Thursday ahead of the 2026 Super Bowl at NFL Honors.
Who was the NFL MVP last year?
Buffalo Bills QB Josh Allen was crowned the NFL MVP for the first time after closing as the betting favorite in the regular season.
Who was the last back-to-back MVP winner?
Aaron Rodgers won back-to-back MVPs in 2020 and 2021.
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