Lions vs. Chiefs Prediction, Picks & Odds: Sunday Night Football Week 6
Oddsmakers project Sunday Night Football’s clash between Detroit and Kansas City at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium (8:20 p.m. ET, NBC) will be the highest-scoring game in Week 6.
My Lions vs. Chiefs prediction agrees, backing the Over 52.5 as the favorite of my SNF picks. I’m also targeting KC’s Tyquan Thornton to make at least one big play in the passing game, and for the Chiefs to square their record at 3-3 with a win on their home turf. Learn more about these NFL predictions for Week 6 below, and visit our NFL picks page for more odds, predictions and picks for Sunday’s NFL action.
📊 Lions vs. Chiefs odds: Sunday Night Football
Latest Sunday Night Football odds updated live in real time.
🏈 Lions vs. Chiefs prediction: Sunday Night Football
NFL expert picks for Sunday Night Football; NFL odds subject to change.
- Game pick: Chiefs -2.5 (-105 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐
- Over/Under pick: Over 52.5 (-110 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Player prop bet: Tyquan Thornton longest reception Over 14.5 yards (-118 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
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✅ Lions vs. Chiefs best bet for SNF
Track the latest NFL scores for line movement and matchup info.
⬆️ Over 52.5 (-110) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Urgency is already setting in in Kansas City, where the 2-3 Chiefs can’t afford many more early-season slip-ups if they’re going to have a shot at winning the AFC West. KC also has a bitter taste in its mouth after committing 13 penalties, allowing a 99-yard pick-six and making several other mental miscues in Monday’s sloppy 31-28 loss at Jacksonville.
In order to beat the Lions, however, you’re going to have to score. Detroit has put up at least 34 points in four straight games, and quarterback Jared Goff has completed 70% or more of his passes in an NFL-record six straight on the road.
Fortunately for the Chiefs, they appear poised to put up plenty of points of their own. KC’s offense has scored 65 points in two games since Xavier Worthy returned from an early-season shoulder injury, and the Chiefs racked up nearly 500 yards of total offense in Monday’s loss at Jacksonville. Meanwhile, the Lions are dealing with numerous injuries in the secondary and gave up three fourth-quarter touchdowns last week in Cincinnati.
Even at 52.5 — the highest total on the Week 6 NFL board — I think there’s still value on the Over, considering that three of the Lions’ last four games eclipsed the total by two touchdowns. Caesars and FanDuel both offered Over 52.5 -110 at the time of writing, implying a 52.38% chance this game clears the total and produces $9.09 profit on a $10 bet.
💡 NFL expert picks for Week 6
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- NFL survivor picks Week 6
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- NFL weather report Week 6
- NFL QB clutch player ratings Week 6
- NFL AI predictions Week 6
- NFL player props Week 6
- NFL expert picks Week 6
- NFL anytime touchdown scorer predictions Week 6
- NFL anytime touchdown scorer parlay Week 6
- NFL best bets Week 6
- NFL record-breaker player props
- NFL long-shot parlay Week 6
💰 Lions vs. Chiefs player prop bet for SNF
Our NFL player prop odds tool shows the best odds for every market across legal sportsbooks in your area.
⬆️ Tyquan Thornton longest reception Over 14.5 yards (-118) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
Thornton is averaging just 2.6 catches and five targets per game on the season, but he’s making the most of his opportunities when he gets them. The speedster’s three catches last week against the Jacksonville Jaguars went for 34, 32 and 24 yards, accounting for three of the Chiefs’ four longest passing plays on the night. He’s also recorded at least one grab of 33 yards or longer in four of five games this season.
Detroit is thin in the secondary with both of its starting cornerbacks injured, forcing the Lions to play Tre Flowers less than a week after signing him. That vulnerability has been exposed all year, with Detroit giving up at least one completion of 30 yards or more in all five of its games.
As long as Thornton gets his hands on the ball a couple of times, he should be able to produce a play that goes Over this low yardage number. I bet this at -118 odds at Caesars, which implies a 54.13% probability and the chance to profit $8.47 on a $10 bet, but DraftKings and FanDuel are also solid options at -120.
📺️ How to watch Sunday Night Football
- Matchup: Lions vs. Chiefs
- When: Sunday, Oct. 12
- Time: 8:20 p.m. ET
- Where: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium (Kansas City, MO)
- TV: NBC
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