15 Last-Minute Super Bowl Picks & Prop Bets for Seahawks vs. Patriots

With kickoff closing in, I break down my favorite bets for Super Bowl 2026 to help you beat the buzzer on your picks and prop bets.
Seattle Seahawks wide receiver Jaxon Smith-Njigba (11) celebrates after a touchdown catch as we break down our 15 last-minute Super Bowl bets for Seahawks vs. Patriots.
Pictured: Seattle Seahawks wide receiver Jaxon Smith-Njigba (11) celebrates after a touchdown catch as we break down our 15 last-minute Super Bowl bets for Seahawks vs. Patriots. Photo by Brett Davis / Imagn Images.
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If you, like me, enjoying waiting until the last possible second to place all of your Super Bowl bets, then you've come to the right place for all of your best picks and prop bets for both the Seattle Seahawks and New England Patriots ahead of the Big Game.

With time running out before Super Bowl 2026 kicks off at 6:30 p.m. ET (NBC), I've broken down 15 last-minute Super Bowl bets that I would recommend to my friends or family if they only have time to bet these props. These are all among my biggest positions in my Super Bowl betting manifesto, which breaks down all 95 bets I'm making this year with analysis for every pick and prop bet as part of our Super Bowl predictions for Seahawks vs. Patriots.


⌛ Last-minute Super Bowl picks & prop bets: Seahawks vs. Patriots

See the latest NFL odds and our experts' NFL picks for every game this season.

1) Seahawks -4.5 (-105 via BetMGM)

As I wrote about in our Super Bowl ATS picks, I've gone back and forth on the spread but still can't overcome the feeling that Seattle is built to win this game no matter what shape it takes. The Seahawks' defense should present a major issue for the Patriots up front, and I trust Sam Darnold more than Drake Maye given their supporting cast and opposing defense. This one has blowout potential.

2) Under 45.5 (-110 via BetMGM)

This Seahawks defense is one of the best of all time based on the advanced Super Bowl stats entering this matchup, and the Patriots' defense has allowed 9.0 PPG since star defensive tackle Milton Williams returned in Week 18. Yet New England's offense has been historically inept for a Super Bowl finalist, so I'm betting the full-game Under (and also adding a separate bet on the Patriots team total Under 20.5 to double down on Seattle's defense).

3) Jaxon Smith-Njigba to win Super Bowl MVP (+550 via FanDuel)

Jaxon Smith-Njigba was the most popular pick in our Super Bowl MVP predictions and for good reason - he's the best player on the field and has a clear path to massive volume and the lion's share of credit for a potential Seahawks win. While Christian Gonzalez is an elite cornerback on the other side, JSN has cooked top corners all season long and will likely be at the center of it all if Seattle hoists the Lombardi Trophy.

4) Drake Maye Over 30.5 pass attempts (-114 via FanDuel)

I don't know how Maye will fare against arguably the best defense he's ever faced. I'm not even sure that he's fully healthy after missing practice last week with a throwing shoulder injury and illness. What I do know is the Patriots don't have a shot unless Maye gives them one, so I expect Josh McDaniels to put the ball in his young quarterback's hands as he's done all season long - whether to build on an early lead or claw back from a deficit.

5) Drake Maye to throw an interception (-120 via FanDuel)

I gave out Maye to throw an interception as one of my 10 Super Bowl bets to make right now immediately after this matchup was confirmed when it was still dealing at +115 odds. Alas, the market caught up to that wager, though these -120 odds still only imply a 54.55% chance that Maye throws a pick in his Super Bowl debut - I'm all over that price and his odds to throw two interceptions, which features a 22.73% implied probability.

6) Rhamondre Stevenson Under 48.5 yards (-112 via DraftKings)

The Seahawks had the best run defense in league this year and one of the best of all time by advanced metrics, anchored by the elite 1-2 punch of Leonard Williams and Byron Murphy (more on them later). Stevenson is a solid between-the-tackles runner who offers more value in this game as a pass protector than a high-volume rushing threat.

7) AJ Barner first Seahawks reception (+650 via FanDuel)

The same logic applies here for the Seahawks, but we're getting even more generous prices thanks to the gravitational pull that JSN has on this market. The Seahawks very well might target their top receiver on the first play, but if they don't, we'll be pretty well covered here with long odds across the board. Keep an eye on Saubert, a backup tight end for Seattle who could see real opportunity in 12 and 13 personnel looks.

8) Milton Williams to record a sack (+188 via FanDuel)

Both of these teams enter Super Bowl 2026 with questions about their offensive line, which I think could decide the outcome one way or the other. The Patriots' pass rush has taken off lately with Williams and Barmore anchoring the middle, and both could tee off against struggling Seahawks guard Anthony Bradford. Meanwhile, the Seahawks' pass rush has been elite all year without blitzing, so I'm taking a shot on four different Seattle stars to bring down Maye, who's been sacked at an alarming rate this postseason.

9) Jaxon Smith-Njigba to score anytime TD (-105 via FanDuel)

I touched on this earlier, but I'm going all in on JSN to have a big game today against a Patriots secondary that has held lesser receivers in check but struggled to contain true WR1 talents. Smith-Njigba went off for 153 yards and a touchdown in the NFC Championship, and I can't believe we're catching near-even money on him to score at any point in Super Bowl 60.

10) AJ Barner to score anytime TD (+250 via FanDuel)

This feels like an AJ Barner game to me with how the Seahawks are best positioned to attack a Patriots front with size up front but less bulk on the perimeter. The Seahawks are the best team in the NFL against base personnel, so if they can utilize 12 personnel (two tight ends) and 13 personnel (three tight ends) to force New England's bigger bodies on the field, that opens the door for Barner to scoot downfield and catch his third touchdown in five games.

11) George Holani to score anytime TD (+500 via FanDuel)

My biggest under-the-radar target this year is George Holani, whom I wrote about in great detail as a tremendous first touchdown bet (which I still highly recommend). If you only place one Holani bet, though, this one has the clearest path to viability with the second-year back assuming the passing-down role for the Seahawks after Zach Charbonnet's injury. He'll play too many snaps to justify books offering this long of a price.

12) Shortest touchdown Under 1.5 yards (-130 via DraftKings)

This is my favorite prop bet every single year, as it's cashed eight of the last 10 years (80%) and 25 of the last 36 years (69.4%) with some games featuring multiple such scores. I bet this at -175 last year (and won), so this feels like an absurd value with an implied probability of just 56.52%. If you only place one bet, make it this one.

13) 1Q total points to be even (-108 via FanDuel)

I got burned on this last year, but I'm willing to be hurt again after this prop cashed in the previous 12 consecutive years in the Super Bowl. That may feel like a complete fluke - and maybe it is - but you can start to notice a pattern emerging with the 1Q scores of the past: they're mostly 10 or 0. It's more common to see that happen than for one team to score once (or both teams to combine for 3+ scores), so this bet holds a lot more value than these near-even odds suggest.

14) Team that scores last wins the game (-220 via DraftKings)

Nobody likes laying a short price on a yes/no prop, but you should make an exception for this one. Last year's garbage-time touchdown to Worthy broke a 12-year run for the Super Bowl winner scoring last, which has happened in 44 of 59 years (74.6%) - a shade higher than the implied odds for this bet (69.60%).

15) Exact score: Seahawks 21, Patriots 20 (+22500 via BetMGM)

Yes, I know I'm betting the Seahawks to cover the spread at -4.5, but when you simulate the entire play-by-play with a Super Bowl AI prediction and the result is an exact score with odds this long ... well, I'd regret it the rest of my life if I didn't put something down.


📺 How to watch Super Bowl 2026: Seahawks vs. Patriots

  • Date: Sunday, Feb. 8
  • Kickoff: 6:30 p.m. ET
  • Location: Levi's Stadium (Santa Clara, Calif.)
  • TV: NBC/Peacock

See our full breakdown for how to watch Super Bowl 2026, including TV info and streaming options for Seahawks vs. Patriots in Super Bowl 60.


❓ Super Bowl 60 FAQs

Who is favored to win the Super Bowl?

The Seattle Seahawks are the Super Bowl favorites with odds of -240 to beat the New England Patriots in Super Bowl 2026. Those odds carry an implied probability of 70.59% for the Seahawks to win the Super Bowl, according to our odds converter.

When is the Super Bowl?

The Super Bowl will be on Sunday, Feb. 8, at 6:30 p.m. ET from Levi's Stadium in Santa Clara, Calif.

Where is the Super Bowl?

Super Bowl 60 will be at Levi's Stadium in Santa Clara, Calif., on Sunday, Feb. 8 at 6:30 p.m. ET.

Who's playing in the Super Bowl?

The NFC champion Seattle Seahawks will face the AFC champion New England Patriots in Super Bowl 2026.


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