Jets vs. Patriots Player Props: Our Best Thursday Night Football Prop Bets Tonight
Teams at opposite ends of the standings meet tonight on Thursday Night Football (8:15 p.m. ET, Prime Video), as I offer my Jets vs. Patriots player props for this AFC East matchup at Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, Mass.
The Patriots are the 13-point betting favorite to secure their eighth cover of the season. My picks below, part of the NFL Week 11 predictions, feature two Patriots - Drake Maye and Stefon Diggs - while singling out Justin Fields from the underdogs.
✅ Jets vs. Patriots player prop bets
See all of our experts' NFL picks for Week 11.
💵 Best Jets vs. Patriots player prop bets
💰 Best Thursday Night Football player props
⬆️ Stefon Diggs player prop: Over 53.5 yards (-115) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Stefon Diggs has had an up-and-down season in New England. In four games against the Raiders, Panthers, Bills and Titans, the veteran wideout combined for 29 catches and 337 yards (including back-to-back 100-yard efforts against Carolina and Buffalo). In his other six outings, though, Diggs has 21 receptions for 181 yards.
Diggs’ yardage totals in his last three contests: 14, 38 and 46. So why are we backing Diggs on Thursday night against the Jets, who yield just 190 passing yards per game? Because some of the NFL’s top wideouts have flourished versus New York this season, including Ja’Marr Chase (91 yards), Emeka Egbuka (85), DK Metcalf (83), Jerry Jeudy (78) and Tyreek Hill (67) — and all but Jeudy had to deal with Sauce Gardner.
BetMGM has the best number on this Jets vs. Patriots player prop, and the -115 price carries a 53.49% implied win probability. Bet $10 to win $8.70.
Our Esten McLaren counts on teammates Hunter Henry and Mack Hollins with his anytime touchdown scorer predictions.
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⬆️ Justin Fields player prop: Over 135.5 passing yards (-115) ⭐⭐⭐
Which version of Justin Fields will show up Thursday night — the one who racked up 218, 226, 244 and 283 passing yards in four of his starts? Or the one who managed just 27, 45, 46 and 54 yards in his other four? Clearly, I’m banking on the former.
First off, Fields was stymied by the No. 2 (Browns), No. 3 (Bills), No. 6 (Broncos) and No. 15 (Panthers) pass defenses. But he delivered against the Steelers (32nd), Bengals (30th), Cowboys (29th) and Dolphins (13th). The Patriots are 21st against the pass and have allowed every opposing QB to eclipse 135 yards (with seven topping 220 yards). Yes, Garrett Wilson is out. But Fields still should have no trouble putting up garbage-time stats — something he’s known for.
Bet this Jets vs. Patriots player prop comes at BetMGM, where the -118 odds imply a 54.13% win probability. Risk $10 to collect $8.48.
Our Gary Pearson also expects a decent day from the visitors in his Jets vs. Patriots prediction.
⬆️ Drake Maye player prop: Longest completion Over 36.5 yards (-114) ⭐⭐⭐
In the last five weeks, Patriots quarterback Drake Maye has registered completions of 53 yards (at New Orleans), 39 yards (at Tennessee), 39 and 44 yards (vs. Cleveland), 58 yards (vs. Atlanta), and 54 and 72 yards (at Tampa Bay). He also had a 55-yarder at Miami in Week 2. And get this: Maye didn’t complete more than 21 passes in any of those games.
It’ll be a cold night in Foxborough on Thursday, but wind and rain won’t be a factor. Neither will the aforementioned Sauce Gardner, who is now in Indianapolis. That’s one less stud cornerback for Maye, who is among the leaders in our Clutch Factor QB power rankings, to worry about when he chucks the ball downfield. The Jets will also be without cornerback Azareye'h Thomas who has been ruled out with a concussion.
Place this wager at FanDuel, where the -114 odds equate to a 53.27% implied win probability. A winning $10 wager will return $8.77.
💡 More Week 11 predictions
Want more NFL betting advice? Check out all of our NFL analysis and expert predictions for every game in Week 11.
📺 How to watch Thursday Night Football: Jets vs. Patriots
- Date: Thursday, Nov. 13
- Kickoff: 8:15 p.m. ET
- Location: Gillette Stadium (Foxborough, Mass.)
- TV: Prime Video
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💡 More MNF predictions & picks
- Jets vs. Patriots prediction
- Jets vs. Patriots player props
- Jets vs. Patriots same-game parlay
- Drake Maye player prop bets
- Jets vs. Patriots anytime touchdown scorer predictions
- Jets vs. Patriots first touchdown scorer predictions
- Jets vs. Patriots AI predictions
- Jets vs. Patriots weather report
- Jets vs. Patriots betting report
- Jets vs. Patriots expert picks
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